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Esteghlal FC - Al Shamal

AFC Champions League November 03, 2026 17:00
Esteghlal FC
#4 · 6 pts
vs
Al Shamal
#6 · 5 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.02%
Win
Esteghlal FC
31.81%
Draw
32.17%
Win
Al Shamal
1.4
Expected xG
1.0

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.81%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Esteghlal FC a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Al Shamal. Expected goals are 1.4 for Esteghlal FC and 1.0 for Al Shamal (total 2.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.81% probability.

Season Stats

Esteghlal FC
2W 0D 1L
Al Shamal
1W 2D 0L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.3
1.0
Conceded
0.7
3.7
Shots OT
3.3
2.7
Corners
3.3
43%
Poss.
46%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
33%
33%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Esteghlal FC Al Shamal →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1% 9.1% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.7% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.8% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC
L Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2–0
W Al-Gharafa 1–2
W Al Sadd 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Al Shamal Al Shamal
W Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–1
D Tractor Sazi 0–0
D Al-Ittihad FC 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC
Attack
35
Defence
60
Form
56
Al Shamal Al Shamal
Attack
36
Defence
53
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

West Region

# Team G Pts
1 Al Ain Al Ain 3 9
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 9
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 7
4 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 3 6
5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 6
6 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3 5
7 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 5
8 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 3 4
9 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 2 3
10 Neftchi Neftchi 3 3
11 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 3
12 Pakhtakor Pakhtakor 3 2
13 Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi 3 1
14 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3 1
15 Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 3 0
16 Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC 2 0

What's at stake · West Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Esteghlal FC Al Shamal
Current #4 #6
→ Esteghlal FC #3 #6
→ Draw #4 #5
→ Al Shamal #5 #3

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal?
The model gives Esteghlal FC a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Al Shamal win.
How many goals are expected in Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal?
Expected goals: Esteghlal FC 1.4, Al Shamal 1.0 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.81%.