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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 34 May 16, 2026 21:30 Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Estoril
#17 · 2 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Benfica
#2 · 13 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Benfica
Peixinho (ast. K. Boma) 90'+1
7' R. Rios
15' (ast. T. Araujo) A. Bah
16' (ast. G. Prestianni) Rafa Silva
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 63% win probability (draw 21%, Estoril 15%). The final result was Estoril 1–3 Benfica. In 2 previous meetings, Estoril have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Benfica.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
15
6
Shots on target
8
1.59
Actual xG
4.22
4
Saves
5
48%
Possession
52%
2
Corners
9
15
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
R. Rios⚽
15'
ast. T. Araujo · A. Bah⚽
16'
ast. G. Prestianni · Rafa Silva⚽
G. Costa
22'
↕ Ferro / K. Boma
46'
↕ G. Costa / P. Amaral
46'
47'
A. Bah
A. Lacximicant
52'
↕ Pizzi / R. Guitane
58'
R. Guitane
65'
68'
G. Prestianni
68'
A. Dedic / A. Bah ↕
68'
L. Barreiro / Rafa Silva ↕
68'
D. Lukebakio / G. Prestianni ↕
↕ A. Lacximicant / Peixinho
68'
↕ Xeka / N. Lominadze
78'
80'
Manu / F. Aursnes ↕
84'
Bruma / A. Schjelderup ↕
⚽Peixinho · ast. K. Boma
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
15.27%
Estoril
21.19%
X
63.54%
Benfica ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Benfica) 63.54% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Estoril
0.68
1.59
+0.91
Benfica
1.76
4.22
+2.47
Benfica dominated by xG (4.22 vs 1.59). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 5 15
2 Benfica Benfica 5 13
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5 13
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 5 11
5 Arouca Arouca 5 10
6 Estrela Estrela 5 9
7 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 4 7
8 SC Braga SC Braga 4 7
9 Maritimo Maritimo 5 7
10 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 5 5
11 Alverca Alverca 6 5
12 Vitória SC Vitória SC 5 4
13 Nacional Nacional 6 4
14 Moreirense Moreirense 5 4
15 Famalicao Famalicao 5 3
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 5 3
17 Estoril Estoril 5 2
18 Casa Pia Casa Pia 5 1
Lineups
Estoril Estoril 4-3-1-2
1 Joel Robles Joel Robles G 7.20
20 Gonçalo Costa Gonçalo Costa 45' D 5.30
4 Ferro Ferro 45' D 6.20
25 F. Bacher F. Bacher D 6.30
2 Ricard Sánchez Ricard Sánchez D 6.20
8 Xeka Xeka 78' M 6.60
10 J. Holsgrove J. Holsgrove M 6.70
12 João Carvalho João Carvalho M 6.50
21 Pizzi Pizzi 58' M 6.30
14 Y. Begraoui Y. Begraoui F 6.30
19 André Lacximicant André Lacximicant 68' F 6.30
Bench
9 Alejandro Marqués Alejandro Marqués F
31 Diogo Dias Diogo Dias G
91 Jan Montes Jan Montes D
44 K. Boma K. Boma 1 👟 45' D 8.50
97 Luís Maria Viegas Abreu Campos Gomes Luís Maria Viegas Abreu Campos Gomes M
7
N. Lominadze 12' M 7.00
24 Pedro Amaral Pedro Amaral 45' D 7.20
70 Peixinho Peixinho 1 ⚽ 22' F 7.50
99 R. Guitane R. Guitane 32' M 6.60
Benfica Benfica 4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin A. Trubin G 7.20
26 S. Dahl S. Dahl D 7.20
30 N. Otamendi N. Otamendi D 7.00
44 Tomás Araújo Tomás Araújo 1 👟 D 7.20
6 A. Bah A. Bah 1 ⚽ 68' D 7.60
8 F. Aursnes F. Aursnes 80' M 7.20
20 R. Rios R. Rios 1 ⚽ M 8.30
21 A. Schjelderup A. Schjelderup 84' M 7.70
27 Rafa Rafa 1 ⚽ 68' M 6.60
25 G. Prestianni G. Prestianni 1 👟 68' M 7.30
14 V. Pavlidis V. Pavlidis F 5.60
Bench
17 A. Dedić A. Dedić 22' D 6.50
4 António Silva António Silva D
7 Bruma Bruma 9' F 6.30
11 D. Lukebakio D. Lukebakio 22' F 7.00
9 F. Ivanović F. Ivanović F
10 H. Sudakov H. Sudakov M
18 L. Barreiro L. Barreiro 22' M 5.90
16 Manu Manu 10' M 6.30
24 Samuel Soares Samuel Soares G
Best on the pitch
K. Boma
K. Boma
D · Estoril
8.50
1 👟
· 25 pass
R. Rios
R. Rios
M · Benfica
8.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 40 pass
A. Schjelderup
A. Schjelderup
M · Benfica
7.70
· 26 pass
A. Bah
A. Bah
D · Benfica
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 31 pass
Peixinho
Peixinho
F · Estoril
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 9 pass
G. Prestianni
G. Prestianni
M · Benfica
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 31 pass
Estoril Estoril — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Joel Robles G 90 7.20 — — — 22 14% — — —
Gonçalo Costa D 45 5.30 — — 1 10 5% — 1 —
Ferro D 45 6.20 — — — 19 16% 1 — —
F. Bacher D 90 6.30 — — — 35 30% 1 — —
Ricard Sánchez D 90 6.20 — — 1 44 35% 1 — —
Xeka M 78 6.60 — — 1 37 29% 3 — —
J. Holsgrove M 90 6.70 — — 1 60 55% 1 — —
João Carvalho M 90 6.50 — — — 51 40% 2 — —
Pizzi M 58 6.30 — — — 29 25% 1 — —
Y. Begraoui F 90 6.30 — — 2 21 20% — — —
André Lacximicant F 68 6.30 — — 3 12 8% 2 1 —
K. Boma D 45 8.50 — 1 — 25 21% — — —
N. Lominadze M 12 7.00 — — 1 11 10% 1 — —
Pedro Amaral D 45 7.20 — — 1 25 19% 2 — —
Peixinho F 22 7.50 1 — 3 9 8% — — —
R. Guitane M 32 6.60 — — — 21 21% — 1 —
Benfica Benfica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Trubin G 90 7.20 — — — 25 15% — — —
S. Dahl D 90 7.20 — — — 38 36% 4 — —
N. Otamendi D 90 7.00 — — — 59 54% 1 — —
Tomás Araújo D 90 7.20 — 1 2 67 60% 1 — —
A. Bah D 68 7.60 1 — 2 31 27% 3 1 —
F. Aursnes M 80 7.20 — — — 61 54% — — —
R. Rios M 90 8.30 1 — 4 40 34% 2 — —
A. Schjelderup M 84 7.70 — — — 26 24% 2 — —
Rafa M 68 6.60 1 — 2 21 14% — — —
G. Prestianni M 68 7.30 — 1 2 31 26% — 1 —
V. Pavlidis F 90 5.60 — — — 30 21% — — —
A. Dedić D 22 6.50 — — — 13 12% — — —
Bruma F 9 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
D. Lukebakio F 22 7.00 — — 2 7 5% — — —
L. Barreiro M 22 5.90 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Manu M 10 6.30 — — — 10 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estoril vs Benfica?
The final score was Estoril 1–3 Benfica.
What did the model predict before Estoril vs Benfica?
The model assigned 15% probability to a Estoril win, 21% to a draw, and 63% to an Benfica win.