✓Model correct — prediction Benfica
Peixinho
(ast. K. Boma)
90'+1
7'
R. Rios
15'
(ast. T. Araujo)
A. Bah
16'
(ast. G. Prestianni)
Rafa Silva
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 63% win probability (draw 21%, Estoril 15%). The final result was Estoril 1–3 Benfica. In 1 previous meetings, Estoril have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Benfica.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
15
6
Shots on target
8
1.59
Actual xG
4.22
4
Saves
5
48%
Possession
52%
2
Corners
9
15
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
R. Rios⚽
15'
ast. T. Araujo ·
A. Bah⚽
16'
ast. G. Prestianni ·
Rafa Silva⚽
G. Costa
22'
Ferro
/ K. Boma
46'
G. Costa
/ P. Amaral
46'
47'
A. Bah
A. Lacximicant
52'
Pizzi
/ R. Guitane
58'
R. Guitane
65'
68'
G. Prestianni
68'
A. Dedic
/
A. Bah
68'
L. Barreiro
/
Rafa Silva
68'
D. Lukebakio
/
G. Prestianni
A. Lacximicant
/ Peixinho
68'
Xeka
/ N. Lominadze
78'
80'
Manu
/
F. Aursnes
84'
Bruma
/
A. Schjelderup
⚽Peixinho
· ast. K. Boma
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
15.27%
Estoril
21.19%
X
63.54%
Benfica ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Benfica)
63.54%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.68
1.59
+0.91
1.76
4.22
+2.47
Benfica dominated by xG (4.22 vs 1.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Joel Robles
G
Joel Robles
G
20
Gonçalo Costa
45'
D
Gonçalo Costa
45'
D
4
Ferro
45'
D
Ferro
45'
D
25
Felix Bacher
D
Felix Bacher
D
2
Ricard Sánchez
D
Ricard Sánchez
D
8
Xeka
78'
M
Xeka
78'
M
10
J. Holsgrove
M
J. Holsgrove
M
12
João Carvalho
M
João Carvalho
M
21
Pizzi
58'
M
Pizzi
58'
M
14
Y. Begraoui
F
Y. Begraoui
F
19
André Lacximicant
68'
F
André Lacximicant
68'
F
Bench
9
Alejandro Marqués
F
Alejandro Marqués
F
31
Diogo Dias
G
Diogo Dias
G
91
Jan Montes
D
Jan Montes
D
44
Kévin Boma
1 👟
45'
D
Kévin Boma
1 👟
45'
D
97
Luis Gomes
M
Luis Gomes
M
7
Nodar Lominadze
12'
M
Nodar Lominadze
12'
M
24
Pedro Amaral
45'
D
Pedro Amaral
45'
D
70
Peixinho
1 ⚽
22'
F
Peixinho
1 ⚽
22'
F
99
R. Guitane
32'
M
R. Guitane
32'
M
1
Anatoliy Trubin
G
26
Samuel Dahl
D
30
Nicolás Otamendi
D
Nicolás Otamendi
D
44
Tomás Araújo
1 👟
D
6
Alexander Bah
1 ⚽
68'
D
8
Fredrik Aursnes
80'
M
Fredrik Aursnes
80'
M
20
R. Rios
1 ⚽
M
R. Rios
1 ⚽
M
21
A. Schjelderup
84'
M
A. Schjelderup
84'
M
27
Rafa Silva
1 ⚽
68'
M
25
G. Prestianni
1 👟
68'
M
G. Prestianni
1 👟
68'
M
14
V. Pavlidis
F
V. Pavlidis
F
Bench
17
A. Dedić
22'
D
A. Dedić
22'
D
4
António Silva
D
7
Bruma
9'
F
Bruma
9'
F
11
D. Lukebakio
22'
F
D. Lukebakio
22'
F
9
F. Ivanović
F
F. Ivanović
F
10
H. Sudakov
M
H. Sudakov
M
18
L. Barreiro
22'
M
L. Barreiro
22'
M
16
Manu Silva
10'
M
24
Samuel Soares
G
Best on the pitch
Kévin Boma
D · Estoril
8.50
1 👟
· 25 pass
R. Rios
M · Benfica
8.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 40 pass
A. Schjelderup
M · Benfica
7.70
· 26 pass
Alexander Bah
D · Benfica
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 31 pass
Peixinho
F · Estoril
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 9 pass
G. Prestianni
M · Benfica
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 31 pass
Estoril — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Robles | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Costa | D | 45 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Ferro | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Felix Bacher | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Ricard Sánchez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Xeka | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Holsgrove | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| João Carvalho | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 51 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Pizzi | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Begraoui | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| André Lacximicant | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kévin Boma | D | 45 | 8.50 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Nodar Lominadze | M | 12 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Amaral | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Peixinho | F | 22 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| R. Guitane | M | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
Benfica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anatoliy Trubin | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Dahl | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Nicolás Otamendi | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 59 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Araújo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 67 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexander Bah | D | 68 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 31 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Fredrik Aursnes | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 54% | — | — | — |
| R. Rios | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 40 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | M | 84 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafa Silva | M | 68 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| G. Prestianni | M | 68 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | — | — | — |
| A. Dedić | D | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Bruma | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | F | 22 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Barreiro | M | 22 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Manu Silva | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estoril vs Benfica?
The final score was Estoril 1–3 Benfica.
What did the model predict before Estoril vs Benfica?
The model assigned 15% probability to a Estoril win, 21% to a draw, and 63% to an Benfica win.