Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 16:30 Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Estoril

#10 · 39 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Famalicao

#5 · 56 pts

(pen.) 51' J. De Haas

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Famalicao a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Estoril 24%). The final result was Estoril 0–1 Famalicao. In 2 previous meetings, Estoril have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Famalicao.

Match statistics

5

Total shots

5

2

Shots on target

5

0.66

Actual xG

1.03

3

Saves

2

54%

Possession

46%

8

Corners

4

11

Tackles

14

0

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

46'

T. Van de Looi

51'

(pen.) J. De Haas⚽

56'

M. De Amorim

↕ P. Amaral / G. Costa

76'

83'

M. Pena / M. De Amorim ↕

87'

U. Abubakar / S. Elisor ↕

87'

L. Realpe / G. Sa ↕

↕ Ferro / A. Marques

88'

90'+1

Garcia / Gil Dias ↕

Pre-match prediction

24.92%

Estoril

26.68%

X

48.4%

Famalicao ←

we assigned to the actual result (Famalicao) 48.4% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Estoril

0.76

0.66

-0.1

Famalicao

1.47

1.03

-0.44

Famalicao dominated by xG (1.03 vs 0.66). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	88
2	Sporting CP	34	82
3	Benfica	34	80
4	SC Braga	34	59
5	Famalicao	34	56
6	GIL Vicente	34	50
7	Moreirense	34	43
8	Arouca	34	42
9	Guimaraes	34	42
10	Estoril	34	39
11	Alverca	34	39
12	Rio Ave	34	36
13	Santa Clara	34	36
14	Nacional	34	34
15	Estrela	34	30
16	Casa Pia	34	30
17	Tondela	34	28
18	AVS	34	21

Lineups

Estoril 3-4-2-1

16

G 8.00

4 Ferro 88' D 6.30

5 Antef Tsoungui D 7.00

25 Felix Bacher D 6.60

24 Pedro Amaral 76' M 6.20

10 J. Holsgrove M 6.90

8 Xeka M 6.70

2 Ricard Sánchez M 6.70

12 João Carvalho F 6.30

99 R. Guitane F 7.90

14 Y. Begraoui F 6.20

Bench

22 Pedro Carvalho D

70 Peixinho F

21 Pizzi M

Famalicao 4-2-3-1

25 Lazar Carević G 6.70

5 Rafa Soares D 7.20

16 Justin De Haas 1 ⚽ D 8.20

55

I. Ba D 7.30

17 Rodrigo Pinheiro D 8.00

14 Mathias De Amorim 83' M 6.70

6 T. van de Looi M 6.90

7 Sorriso M 6.60

20 Gustavo Sá 87' M 6.60

23 Gil Dias M 6.90

12 Simon Elisor 87' F 6.30

Bench

80 Pedro Santos F

9 Umar Abubakar 7' F

Best on the pitch

Justin De Haas

D · Famalicao

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 50 pass

G · Estoril

8.00

· 14 pass

Rodrigo Pinheiro

D · Famalicao

8.00

· 41 pass

R. Guitane

F · Estoril

7.90

· 28 pass

I. Ba

D · Famalicao

7.30

1 shots · 42 pass

Rafa Soares

D · Famalicao

7.20

· 26 pass

Estoril — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	94	8.00	—	—	—	14	11%	—	—	—
Ferro	D	88	6.30	—	—	—	53	47%	1	—	—
Antef Tsoungui	D	94	7.00	—	—	1	46	42%	—	—	—
Felix Bacher	D	94	6.60	—	—	—	54	47%	2	—	—
Pedro Amaral	M	76	6.20	—	—	—	34	27%	—	—	—
J. Holsgrove	M	94	6.90	—	—	—	71	61%	1	—	—
Xeka	M	94	6.70	—	—	1	36	32%	3	—	—
Ricard Sánchez	M	94	6.70	—	—	1	31	23%	2	—	—
João Carvalho	F	94	6.30	—	—	1	35	28%	—	—	—
R. Guitane	F	94	7.90	—	—	—	28	28%	2	—	—
Y. Begraoui	F	94	6.20	—	—	1	16	11%	—	—	—

Famalicao — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Lazar Carević	G	94	6.70	—	—	—	43	30%	—	—	—
Rafa Soares	D	94	7.20	—	—	—	26	21%	1	—	—
Justin De Haas	D	94	8.20	1	—	1	50	44%	4	—	—
I. Ba	D	94	7.30	—	—	1	42	40%	2	—	—
Rodrigo Pinheiro	D	94	8.00	—	—	—	41	35%	1	—	—
Mathias De Amorim	M	83	6.70	—	—	—	28	24%	1	1	—
T. van de Looi	M	94	6.90	—	—	—	44	36%	1	1	—
Sorriso	M	94	6.60	—	—	1	19	14%	1	—	—
Gustavo Sá	M	87	6.60	—	—	—	31	18%	3	—	—
Gil Dias	M	91	6.90	—	—	1	26	16%	—	—	—
Simon Elisor	F	87	6.30	—	—	1	12	11%	—	—	—
Umar Abubakar	F	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—