Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 16:30 Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Estoril

#17 · 2 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Famalicao

#15 · 3 pts

(pen.) 51' J. De Haas

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Famalicao a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Estoril 24%). The final result was Estoril 0–1 Famalicao. In 3 previous meetings, Estoril have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Famalicao.

Match statistics

5

Total shots

5

2

Shots on target

5

0.66

Actual xG

1.03

3

Saves

2

54%

Possession

46%

8

Corners

4

11

Tackles

14

0

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

46'

T. Van de Looi

51'

(pen.) J. De Haas⚽

56'

M. De Amorim

↕ P. Amaral / G. Costa

76'

83'

M. Pena / M. De Amorim ↕

87'

U. Abubakar / S. Elisor ↕

87'

L. Realpe / G. Sa ↕

↕ Ferro / A. Marques

88'

90'+1

Garcia / Gil Dias ↕

Pre-match prediction

24.92%

Estoril

26.68%

X

48.4%

Famalicao ←

we assigned to the actual result (Famalicao) 48.4% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Estoril

0.76

0.66

-0.1

Famalicao

1.47

1.03

-0.44

Famalicao dominated by xG (1.03 vs 0.66). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Porto	5	15
2	Benfica	5	13
3	Sporting CP	5	13
4	Santa Clara	5	11
5	Arouca	5	10
6	Estrela	5	9
7	GIL Vicente	4	7
8	SC Braga	4	7
9	Maritimo	5	7
10	Academico Viseu	5	5
11	Alverca	6	5
12	Vitória SC	5	4
13	Nacional	6	4
14	Moreirense	5	4
15	Famalicao	5	3
16	Rio Ave	5	3
17	Estoril	5	2
18	Casa Pia	5	1

Lineups

Estoril 3-4-2-1

16

G 8.00

4 Ferro 88' D 6.30

5 A. Tsoungui D 7.00

25 F. Bacher D 6.60

24 Pedro Amaral 76' M 6.20

10 J. Holsgrove M 6.90

8 Xeka M 6.70

2 Ricard Sánchez M 6.70

12 João Carvalho F 6.30

99 R. Guitane F 7.90

14 Y. Begraoui F 6.20

Bench

22 Pedro Carvalho D

70 Peixinho F

21 Pizzi M

Famalicao 4-2-3-1

25 L. Carević G 6.70

5 Rafa Soares D 7.20

16 J. de Haas 1 ⚽ D 8.20

55 Ibrahima Ba D 7.30

17 Rodrigo Pinheiro D 8.00

14 Mathias De Amorim 83' M 6.70

6 Tom Van De Looi M 6.90

7 Sorriso M 6.60

20 Gustavo Sá 87' M 6.60

23 Gil Dias M 6.90

12 S. Elisor 87' F 6.30

Bench

80 Pedro Santos F

9 U. Abubakar 7' F

Best on the pitch

J. de Haas

D · Famalicao

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 50 pass

G · Estoril

8.00

· 14 pass

Rodrigo Pinheiro

D · Famalicao

8.00

· 41 pass

R. Guitane

F · Estoril

7.90

· 28 pass

Ibrahima Ba

D · Famalicao

7.30

1 shots · 42 pass

Rafa Soares

D · Famalicao

7.20

· 26 pass

Estoril — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	94	8.00	—	—	—	14	11%	—	—	—
Ferro	D	88	6.30	—	—	—	53	47%	1	—	—
A. Tsoungui	D	94	7.00	—	—	1	46	42%	—	—	—
F. Bacher	D	94	6.60	—	—	—	54	47%	2	—	—
Pedro Amaral	M	76	6.20	—	—	—	34	27%	—	—	—
J. Holsgrove	M	94	6.90	—	—	—	71	61%	1	—	—
Xeka	M	94	6.70	—	—	1	36	32%	3	—	—
Ricard Sánchez	M	94	6.70	—	—	1	31	23%	2	—	—
João Carvalho	F	94	6.30	—	—	1	35	28%	—	—	—
R. Guitane	F	94	7.90	—	—	—	28	28%	2	—	—
Y. Begraoui	F	94	6.20	—	—	1	16	11%	—	—	—

Famalicao — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
L. Carević	G	94	6.70	—	—	—	43	30%	—	—	—
Rafa Soares	D	94	7.20	—	—	—	26	21%	1	—	—
J. de Haas	D	94	8.20	1	—	1	50	44%	4	—	—
Ibrahima Ba	D	94	7.30	—	—	1	42	40%	2	—	—
Rodrigo Pinheiro	D	94	8.00	—	—	—	41	35%	1	—	—
Mathias De Amorim	M	83	6.70	—	—	—	28	24%	1	1	—
Tom Van De Looi	M	94	6.90	—	—	—	44	36%	1	1	—
Sorriso	M	94	6.60	—	—	1	19	14%	1	—	—
Gustavo Sá	M	87	6.60	—	—	—	31	18%	3	—	—
Gil Dias	M	91	6.90	—	—	1	26	16%	—	—	—
S. Elisor	F	87	6.30	—	—	1	12	11%	—	—	—
U. Abubakar	F	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—