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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 1 August 07, 2026 21:15 Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Estoril
#17 · 2 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Famalicao
#15 · 3 pts
Y. Begraoui (ast. P. Carvalho) 72'
32' (ast. Gil Dias) G. Koutsias
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estoril a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Famalicao 33%). The final result was Estoril 1–1 Famalicao. In 3 previous meetings, Estoril have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Famalicao.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
2
0.99
Actual xG
1.43
0
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
6
17
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
32'
ast. Gil Dias · G. Koutsias⚽
R. Sanchez
53'
↕ A. Lacximicant / F. Garcia
66'
↕ R. Sanchez / P. Carvalho
66'
66'
T. Szucs / P. Santos ↕
⚽Y. Begraoui · ast. P. Carvalho
72'
76'
R. Pinheiro
77'
R. Beney / Sorriso ↕
77'
O. Aranda / Gil Dias ↕
↕ Xeka / Jandro
83'
83'
U. Abubakar / G. Koutsias ↕
↕ A. Tsoungui / T. Brito
87'
90'+3
R. Beney
Pre-match prediction
33.34%
Estoril
32.93%
X ←
33.73%
Famalicao
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.93% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Estoril
1.16
0.99
-0.18
Famalicao
1.93
1.43
-0.5
Famalicao dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.99). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 5 15
2 Benfica Benfica 5 13
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5 13
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 5 11
5 Arouca Arouca 5 10
6 Estrela Estrela 5 9
7 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 4 7
8 SC Braga SC Braga 4 7
9 Maritimo Maritimo 5 7
10 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 5 5
11 Alverca Alverca 6 5
12 Vitória SC Vitória SC 5 4
13 Nacional Nacional 6 4
14 Moreirense Moreirense 5 4
15 Famalicao Famalicao 5 3
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 5 3
17 Estoril Estoril 5 2
18 Casa Pia Casa Pia 5 1
Lineups
Estoril Estoril 4-2-3-1
1 Joel Robles Joel Robles G 6.50
3 Fernando Medrano Fernando Medrano D 6.90
15 Isma Sierra Isma Sierra D 6.90
4 Ferro Ferro D 6.60
2 Ricard Sánchez Ricard Sánchez 66' D 6.90
5 A. Tsoungui A. Tsoungui 87' M 6.30
8 Xeka Xeka 83' M 6.30
7 André Lacximicant André Lacximicant 66' M 6.70
12 João Carvalho João Carvalho M 6.50
99 R. Guitane R. Guitane M 6.90
14 Y. Begraoui Y. Begraoui 1 ⚽ F 8.00
Bench
31 Diogo Dias Diogo Dias G
98 Fabrício Garcia Fabrício Garcia 24' F 6.60
18 Gonçalo Costa Gonçalo Costa D
6 Jandro Orellana Jandro Orellana 11' M 6.30
42 J. Arnolin J. Arnolin D
80 Luís Maria Viegas Abreu Campos Gomes Luís Maria Viegas Abreu Campos Gomes M
16 M. Turk M. Turk G
22 Pedro Carvalho Pedro Carvalho 1 👟 24' D 7.30
17 Peixinho Peixinho F
90 Tiago Brito Tiago Brito 3' M
55 Tiago Parreira Parente Tiago Parreira Parente D
Famalicao Famalicao 4-2-3-1
25 L. Carević L. Carević G 6.20
28 Pedro Francisco Pedro Francisco D 6.90
4 F. van Breemen F. van Breemen D 6.90
3 L. Realpe L. Realpe D 7.00
17 Rodrigo Pinheiro Rodrigo Pinheiro D 6.70
14 Mathias De Amorim Mathias De Amorim M 6.90
6 Tom Van De Looi Tom Van De Looi M 7.00
7 Sorriso Sorriso 77' M 7.20
10 Pedro Santos Pedro Santos 66' M 6.20
23 Gil Dias Gil Dias 1 👟 77' M 6.20
70 G. Koutsias G. Koutsias 1 ⚽ 83' F 6.60
Bench
2 Gustavo Garcia Gustavo Garcia D
1 I. Zlobin I. Zlobin G
5 L. Meyer L. Meyer D
8 Marcos Peña Marcos Peña M
36 M. Mattara M. Mattara D
11 Óscar Aranda Óscar Aranda 13' F 6.90
19 Paulo Moreira Paulo Moreira M
18 R. Beney R. Beney 13' F 6.50
91 Rudi Almeida Rudi Almeida F
21 Tamás Szücs Tamás Szücs 24' M 6.20
9 U. Abubakar U. Abubakar 11' F 6.30
30 Vojin Serafimović Vojin Serafimović D
Best on the pitch
Y. Begraoui
Y. Begraoui
F · Estoril
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Pedro Carvalho
Pedro Carvalho
D · Estoril
7.30
1 👟
· 9 pass
Sorriso
Sorriso
M · Famalicao
7.20
· 24 pass
Tom Van De Looi
Tom Van De Looi
M · Famalicao
7.00
· 38 pass
L. Realpe
L. Realpe
D · Famalicao
7.00
· 67 pass
Mathias De Amorim
Mathias De Amorim
M · Famalicao
6.90
· 28 pass
Estoril Estoril — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Joel Robles G 90 6.50 — — — 26 20% — — —
Fernando Medrano D 90 6.90 — — — 46 40% 3 — —
Isma Sierra D 90 6.90 — — 2 92 80% 1 — —
Ferro D 90 6.60 — — — 63 56% 1 — —
Ricard Sánchez D 66 6.90 — — — 23 14% 3 1 —
A. Tsoungui M 87 6.30 — — — 25 20% 2 — —
Xeka M 83 6.30 — — 2 33 30% 1 — —
André Lacximicant M 66 6.70 — — 3 16 13% 1 — —
João Carvalho M 90 6.50 — — 2 27 20% — — —
R. Guitane M 90 6.90 — — 1 38 33% 4 — —
Y. Begraoui F 90 8.00 1 — 1 14 12% — — —
Fabrício Garcia F 24 6.60 — — — 8 8% — — —
Jandro Orellana M 11 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Pedro Carvalho D 24 7.30 — 1 — 9 7% 1 — —
Tiago Brito M 3 — — — — 6 6% — — —
Famalicao Famalicao — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Carević G 90 6.20 — — — 34 33% — — —
Pedro Francisco D 90 6.90 — — — 45 34% 1 — —
F. van Breemen D 90 6.90 — — — 72 64% 2 — —
L. Realpe D 90 7.00 — — — 67 57% 2 — —
Rodrigo Pinheiro D 90 6.70 — — — 47 41% 1 1 —
Mathias De Amorim M 90 6.90 — — — 28 23% 6 — —
Tom Van De Looi M 90 7.00 — — — 38 32% 3 — —
Sorriso M 77 7.20 — — — 24 19% 1 — —
Pedro Santos M 66 6.20 — — — 25 23% — — —
Gil Dias M 77 6.20 — 1 1 22 14% 1 — —
G. Koutsias F 83 6.60 1 — 1 20 16% — — —
Óscar Aranda F 13 6.90 — — — 4 3% — — —
R. Beney F 13 6.50 — — 1 — — — 1 —
Tamás Szücs M 24 6.20 — — — 4 2% — — —
U. Abubakar F 11 6.30 — — 1 3 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estoril vs Famalicao?
The final score was Estoril 1–1 Famalicao.
What did the model predict before Estoril vs Famalicao?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Estoril win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Famalicao win.