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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9 October 25, 2026 16:30 Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Estoril
#18 · 2 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Moreirense
#10 · 11 pts
André Tiago Ramos das Neves 90'+4
12' Manuel Mendonça
15' Tiago Andrade
28' Nile John
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estoril a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Moreirense 29%). The final result was Estoril 1–3 Moreirense. In 2 previous meetings, Estoril have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Moreirense.

Match statistics
26
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
4
2.09
Actual xG
1.39
1
Saves
6
57%
Possession
43%
6
Corners
3
12
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
12'
Manuel Mendonça⚽
15'
Tiago Andrade⚽
Nail Omerovic
23'
Antef Tsoungui
27'
28'
Nile John⚽
↕ Nail Omerovic / André Lacximicant
45'
↕ Ricard Sanchez Sendra / Pedro Carvalho
45'
↕ João Carvalho / André Tiago Ramos das Neves
58'
↕ Axel Camblan / Fernando Medrano
58'
59'
Rodrigo Alonso / Manuel Mendonça ↕
69'
Landerson Costa Araújo / Nile John ↕
↕ Antef Tsoungui / Miguel Angelo Da Silva Rocha
69'
69'
Mateja Stjepanović / Kiko Bondoso ↕
80'
Álvaro Martínez / Tiago Andrade ↕
81'
Yan Maranhão / Leonardo Vonić ↕
André Lacximicant
90'+2
⚽André Tiago Ramos das Neves
90'+4
90'
Gilberto Batista
Pre-match prediction
38.74%
Estoril
31.49%
X
29.77%
Moreirense ←
we assigned to the actual result (Moreirense) 29.77% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Estoril
1.01
2.09
+1.08
Moreirense
0.78
1.39
+0.61
Estoril dominated by xG (2.09 vs 1.39). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 9 27
2 Benfica Benfica 9 22
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 9 18
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 9 18
5 Arouca Arouca 9 17
6 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 9 17
7 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 9 14
8 Alverca Alverca 9 11
9 SC Braga SC Braga 9 11
10 Moreirense Moreirense 9 11
11 Famalicao Famalicao 9 10
12 Estrela Estrela 9 10
13 Vitória SC Vitória SC 9 8
14 Maritimo Maritimo 9 8
15 Nacional Nacional 9 7
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 9 7
17 Rio Ave Rio Ave 9 7
18 Estoril Estoril 9 2
Lineups
Estoril Estoril 4-3-3
1 Joel Robles Joel Robles G 5.59
21 R. Jurišić R. Jurišić D 6.29
6 Xavi Sintes Xavi Sintes D 6.54
4 Ferro Ferro D 7.33
2 Ricard Sánchez Ricard Sánchez 45' D 5.95
12 João Carvalho João Carvalho 58' M 5.81
10 J. Holsgrove J. Holsgrove M 6.70
5 A. Tsoungui A. Tsoungui 69' M 6.10
11 N. Omerović N. Omerović 45' F 6.60
9 A. Camblan A. Camblan 58' F 6.38
99 R. Guitane R. Guitane F 6.36
Bench
7 André Lacximicant André Lacximicant 45' F 6.31
3 Fernando Medrano Fernando Medrano 32' D 6.08
15 Isma Sierra Isma Sierra D 0.00
42 J. Arnolin J. Arnolin D 0.00
44 M. Robin M. Robin M 0.00
16 M. Turk M. Turk G 0.00
22 Pedro Carvalho Pedro Carvalho 45' D 6.01
17 Peixinho Peixinho 1 ⚽ 32' F 6.77
35 S. Amissah S. Amissah D 0.00
25 S. Andreou S. Andreou D 0.00
19 Tiago Parreira Parente Tiago Parreira Parente D 0.00
8 Xeka Xeka 21' M 5.88
Moreirense Moreirense 4-2-3-1
13 André Ferreira André Ferreira G 7.85
27 Kiko Kiko D 6.97
4 Kevyn Monteiro Kevyn Monteiro D 7.51
66 Gilberto Batista Gilberto Batista D 6.97
76 Dinis Pinto Dinis Pinto D 7.65
65 Guilherme Liberato Guilherme Liberato M 7.06
23 N. John N. John 1 ⚽ 69' M 8.20
19 Tiago Andrade Tiago Andrade 1 ⚽ 80' M 8.20
7 Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça 1 ⚽ 59' M 7.79
10 Kiko Bondoso Kiko Bondoso 69' M 6.87
79 L. Vonić L. Vonić 81' F 6.37
Bench
25 Afonso Assis Afonso Assis M 0.00
17 Álvaro Martínez Álvaro Martínez 10' D 6.80
1 Aranha Aranha G 0.00
28 Chipyoka Songa Chipyoka Songa F 0.00
32 José José D 0.00
11 Landerson Landerson 21' F 6.63
2 Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos D 0.00
99 Maranhão Maranhão 9' F 6.39
8 M. Stjepanović M. Stjepanović 21' M 6.92
21 Rodri Alonso Rodri Alonso 31' M 7.20
Best on the pitch
Tiago Andrade
Tiago Andrade
M · Moreirense
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
N. John
N. John
M · Moreirense
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
André Ferreira
André Ferreira
G · Moreirense
7.85
· 30 pass
Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça
Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça
M · Moreirense
7.79
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
Dinis Pinto
Dinis Pinto
D · Moreirense
7.65
2 shots · 26 pass
Kevyn Monteiro
Kevyn Monteiro
D · Moreirense
7.51
· 31 pass
Estoril Estoril — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Joel Robles G 90 5.59 — — 0 25 20% 0 — —
R. Jurišić D 90 6.29 — — 0 59 50% 1 — —
Xavi Sintes D 90 6.54 — — 2 71 63% 2 — —
Ferro D 90 7.33 — — 3 85 73% 2 — —
Ricard Sánchez D 45 5.95 — — 0 18 17% 1 — —
João Carvalho M 58 5.81 — — 4 13 10% 0 — —
J. Holsgrove M 90 6.70 — — 1 82 66% 2 — —
A. Tsoungui M 69 6.10 — — 3 25 21% 0 1 —
N. Omerović F 45 6.60 — — 2 5 3% 0 1 —
A. Camblan F 58 6.38 — — 0 14 12% 0 — —
R. Guitane F 90 6.36 — — 4 25 16% 1 — —
André Lacximicant F 45 6.31 — — 3 4 4% 1 1 —
Fernando Medrano D 32 6.08 — — 1 11 8% 1 — —
Pedro Carvalho D 45 6.01 — — 0 15 10% 1 — —
Peixinho F 32 6.77 1 — 3 15 11% 0 — —
Xeka M 21 5.88 — — 0 11 8% 0 — —
Moreirense Moreirense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
André Ferreira G 90 7.85 — — 0 30 14% 0 — —
Kiko D 90 6.97 — — 1 33 25% 0 — —
Kevyn Monteiro D 90 7.51 — — 0 31 27% 1 — —
Gilberto Batista D 90 6.97 — — 0 50 39% 0 1 —
Dinis Pinto D 90 7.65 — — 2 26 24% 2 — —
Guilherme Liberato M 90 7.06 — — 0 37 34% 1 — —
N. John M 69 8.20 1 — 2 26 24% 3 — —
Tiago Andrade M 80 8.20 1 — 3 19 13% 2 — —
Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça M 59 7.79 1 — 2 18 10% 0 — —
Kiko Bondoso M 69 6.87 — — 0 34 29% 1 — —
L. Vonić F 81 6.37 — — 3 22 17% 1 — —
Álvaro Martínez D 10 6.80 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Landerson F 21 6.63 — — 0 10 8% 2 — —
Maranhão F 9 6.39 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
M. Stjepanović M 21 6.92 — — 0 10 8% 0 — —
Rodri Alonso M 31 7.20 — — 0 17 15% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estoril vs Moreirense?
The final score was Estoril 1–3 Moreirense.
What did the model predict before Estoril vs Moreirense?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Estoril win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an Moreirense win.