Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 16:30 Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Estoril

#3 · 0 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Rio Ave

#5 · 0 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Estoril, result Rio Ave wins

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estoril a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Rio Ave 20%). The final result was Estoril 1–2 Rio Ave. In 1 previous meetings, Estoril have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Rio Ave.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

8

1.15

Actual xG

1.65

55%

Possession

45%

10

Corners

7

Pre-match prediction

55.61%

Estoril

24.16%

X

20.23%

Rio ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Rio Ave) 20.23% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Estoril

1.68

1.15

-0.53

Rio

0.87

1.65

+0.78

Rio Ave dominated by xG (1.65 vs 1.15). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Estrela	0	0
2	Guimaraes	0	0
3	Estoril	0	0
4	GIL Vicente	0	0
5	Rio Ave	0	0
6	Santa Clara	0	0
7	Moreirense	0	0
8	FC Porto	0	0
9	Sporting CP	0	0
10	Benfica	0	0
11	Maritimo	0	0
12	SC Braga	0	0
13	Nacional	0	0
14	Arouca	0	0
15	Casa Pia	0	0
16	Academico Viseu	0	0
17	Alverca	0	0
18	Famalicao	0	0