15'
(ast. Diogo Bezerra)
J. Blesa
73'
(ast. J. Blesa)
Tamble
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estoril a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Rio Ave 33%). The final result was Estoril 0–2 Rio Ave. In 2 previous meetings, Estoril have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rio Ave.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
3
0.77
Actual xG
0.70
1
Saves
5
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
3
16
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
15'
ast. Diogo Bezerra ·
J. Blesa⚽
52'
A. Ntoi
/
R. Galcik
53'
F. Medrano
67'
T. Brito
/ F. Garcia
68'
R. Sanchez
/ P. Carvalho
69'
F. Medrano
/ T. Parente
69'
73'
ast. J. Blesa ·
Tamble⚽
A. Tsoungui
/ J. Arnolin
76'
R. Guitane
/ Peixinho
76'
76'
M. Vrousai
/
N. Abbey
80'
Gustavo Mancha
/
J. Brabec
80'
D. Spikic
/
Tamble
86'
A. Ntoi
Pre-match prediction
35.27%
Estoril
31.19%
X
33.55%
Rio ←
we assigned to the actual result (Rio Ave)
33.55%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.31
0.77
-0.54
1.83
0.70
-1.13
xG dominance was balanced (0.77 – 0.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Joel Robles
85'
G
Joel Robles
85'
G
3
Fernando Medrano
69'
D
Fernando Medrano
69'
D
15
Isma Sierra
85'
D
Isma Sierra
85'
D
4
Ferro
85'
D
Ferro
85'
D
2
Ricard Sánchez
69'
D
Ricard Sánchez
69'
D
5
A. Tsoungui
76'
M
A. Tsoungui
76'
M
90
Tiago Brito
69'
M
Tiago Brito
69'
M
7
André Lacximicant
85'
M
André Lacximicant
85'
M
12
João Carvalho
85'
M
João Carvalho
85'
M
99
R. Guitane
76'
M
R. Guitane
76'
M
14
Y. Begraoui
85'
F
Y. Begraoui
85'
F
Bench
23
Diogo Dias
G
Diogo Dias
G
98
Fabrício Garcia
16'
F
Fabrício Garcia
16'
F
18
Gonçalo Costa
D
Gonçalo Costa
D
6
Jandro Orellana
M
Jandro Orellana
M
42
J. Arnolin
9'
D
J. Arnolin
9'
D
80
Luís Maria Viegas Abreu Campos Gomes
M
Luís Maria Viegas Abreu Campos Gomes
M
16
M. Turk
G
M. Turk
G
22
Pedro Carvalho
16'
D
Pedro Carvalho
16'
D
17
Peixinho
9'
F
Peixinho
9'
F
25
Stelios Andreou
D
Stelios Andreou
D
19
Tiago Parreira Parente
16'
D
Tiago Parreira Parente
16'
D
99
E. van der Gouw
85'
G
E. van der Gouw
85'
G
6
Nelson Abbey
77'
D
Nelson Abbey
77'
D
14
Jakub Brabec
81'
D
Jakub Brabec
81'
D
23
F. Petrasso
85'
D
F. Petrasso
85'
D
54
G. Liavas
85'
D
G. Liavas
85'
D
90
Diogo Nascimento
85'
M
Diogo Nascimento
85'
M
44
T. Nikitscher
85'
M
T. Nikitscher
85'
M
7
Diogo Bezerra
1 👟
85'
M
Diogo Bezerra
1 👟
85'
M
11
J. Blesa
1 ⚽
1 👟
85'
M
J. Blesa
1 ⚽
1 👟
85'
M
30
R. Galčík
52'
M
R. Galčík
52'
M
9
Tamble Monteiro
1 ⚽
81'
F
Tamble Monteiro
1 ⚽
81'
F
Bench
5
A. Ntoi
33'
D
A. Ntoi
33'
D
70
A. Wenck
M
A. Wenck
M
60
Caike
D
Caike
D
77
D. Špikić
4'
F
D. Špikić
4'
F
39
Gustavo Mancha
4'
D
Gustavo Mancha
4'
D
13
Julien Lomboto
D
Julien Lomboto
D
22
K. Chamorro
G
K. Chamorro
G
79
M. Patricio
F
M. Patricio
F
17
M. Vrousai
8'
F
M. Vrousai
8'
F
25
Rafael Lobato
F
Rafael Lobato
F
67
Samuel
F
Samuel
F
27
T. Medina
M
T. Medina
M
Best on the pitch
J. Blesa
M · Rio
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 25 pass
E. van der Gouw
G · Rio
8.00
· 50 pass
Jakub Brabec
D · Rio
7.70
· 31 pass
Nelson Abbey
D · Rio
7.50
· 31 pass
Tamble Monteiro
F · Rio
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Y. Begraoui
F · Estoril
7.00
2 shots
· 15 pass
Estoril — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Robles | G | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Medrano | D | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Isma Sierra | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Ferro | D | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| Ricard Sánchez | D | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Tsoungui | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Tiago Brito | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 28% | — | — | — |
| André Lacximicant | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| João Carvalho | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Guitane | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Y. Begraoui | F | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Garcia | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Arnolin | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Carvalho | D | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Peixinho | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Parreira Parente | D | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Rio Ave — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. van der Gouw | G | 85 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Nelson Abbey | D | 77 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| Jakub Brabec | D | 81 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Petrasso | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | — | — | — |
| G. Liavas | D | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Diogo Nascimento | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | — | — | — |
| T. Nikitscher | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Diogo Bezerra | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Blesa | M | 85 | 8.70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Galčík | M | 52 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Tamble Monteiro | F | 81 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ntoi | D | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Špikić | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Mancha | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Vrousai | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estoril vs Rio Ave?
The final score was Estoril 0–2 Rio Ave.
What did the model predict before Estoril vs Rio Ave?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Estoril win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Rio Ave win.