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Estrela - Lusitano Évora 1911

Friendlies Clubs July 29, 2026 14:00
Estrela
vs
Lusitano Évora 1911
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.65%
Win
Estrela
32.91%
Draw
32.45%
Win
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.36
Expected xG
0.58

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.07%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 33%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 65%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Estrela a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Lusitano Évora 1911. Expected goals are 1.4 for Estrela and 0.6 for Lusitano Évora 1911 (total 1.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.07% probability.

Season Stats

Estrela
2W 2D 1L
Lusitano Évora 1911
0W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.0
0.8
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
20%
O 2.5
0%
60%
BTTS
100%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
80%
BTTS
Estrela
2W 2D 1L · at home
Lusitano Évora 1911
0W 1D 0L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.0
0.8
Conceded
1.0
40%
Win %
0%
80%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
20%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
60%
BTTS
100%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Estrela Lusitano Évora 1911 →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.3% 8.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 19.6% 11.3% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% —
2 13.3% 7.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 6.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% — —
4 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Estrela Estrela
D Portimonense 1–1
W Nacional 2–0
L Casa Pia 1–2
W Naval 1893 2–0
D VfL Wolfsburg 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911
D Benfica B 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Estrela Estrela
Attack
40
Defence
83
Form
67
Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911
Attack
25
Defence
75
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Estrela vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
The model gives Estrela a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Lusitano Évora 1911 win.
How many goals are expected in Estrela vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
Expected goals: Estrela 1.4, Lusitano Évora 1911 0.6 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Estrela vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.07%.