Estrela - Portimonense
Taça de Portugal
November 21, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.01%
Win
Estrela
34.97%
Draw
26.02%
Win
Portimonense
0.88
0.57
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(18.24%)
1X2 Result
1
39%
X
35%
2
26%
Double Chance
1X
74%
X2
61%
12
65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
27%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Estrela a 39% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Portimonense. Expected goals are 0.9 for Estrela and 0.6 for Portimonense (total 1.5), with a 60% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 18.24% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Estrela have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Portimonense.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
3W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.5
2.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
100%
O 2.5
75%
100%
BTTS
75%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Estrela
Portimonense →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23.4% | 13.3% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 9.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 3 | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Estrela
Attack
42
Defence
61
Form
49
Portimonense
Attack
29
Defence
67
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
29 Jul 2026
1–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Estrela vs Portimonense?
The model gives Estrela a 39% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 26% for an Portimonense win.
How many goals are expected in Estrela vs Portimonense?
Expected goals: Estrela 0.9, Portimonense 0.6 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 60%.
What is the most likely score in Estrela vs Portimonense?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.24%.