Estudiantes de Merida FC - Deportivo Tachira FC
Weather at kick-off
🌧️
Rain
24.4°C
💨 18 km/h
🌧️ 24%
· Budapest
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.55%
Win
Estudiantes de Merida FC
20.68%
Draw
49.76%
Win
Deportivo Tachira FC
1.41
2.01
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–2
(9.33%)
1X2 Result
1
30%
X
21%
2
50%
Double Chance
✓ 90.3% hit rate (31 picks)
1X
50%
X2
70%
12
79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
60%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Deportivo Tachira FC a 49% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Estudiantes de Merida FC. Expected goals are 1.4 for Estudiantes de Merida FC and 2.0 for Deportivo Tachira FC (total 3.4), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 9.33% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Estudiantes de Merida FC have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Deportivo Tachira FC.
Season Stats
5W
3D
7L
8W
4D
3L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.7
1.3
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
73%
33%
O 2.5
53%
40%
BTTS
73%
13%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga FUTVE. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
6W
2D
2L
· at home
5W
3D
2L
· away
1.4
gls/g
1.6
1.1
Conceded
1.1
60%
Win %
50%
80%
Win or Draw
80%
70%
O 1.5
70%
40%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
70%
20%
Clean Sht
30%
20%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Tachira FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Attack
26
Defence
79
Form
58
Deportivo Tachira FC
Attack
50
Defence
60
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular - B
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Carabobo FC
|
6 | 11 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Tachira FC
|
6 | 11 |
| 3 |
Metropolitanos FC
|
6 | 8 |
| 4 |
Estudiantes de Merida FC
|
6 | 3 |
What's at stake · Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular - B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #1 |
| → Estudiantes de Merida FC | #4 | #2 |
| → Draw | #4 | #1 |
| → Deportivo Tachira FC | #4 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC?
The model gives Estudiantes de Merida FC a 29% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 49% for an Deportivo Tachira FC win.
How many goals are expected in Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC?
Expected goals: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.4, Deportivo Tachira FC 2.0 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.33%.