Estudiantes de Merida FC - UCV
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
24.5°C
💨 7 km/h
· Shintomi
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.01%
Win
Estudiantes de Merida FC
30.04%
Draw
21.96%
Win
UCV
1.15
0.67
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(19.2%)
1X2 Result
1
48%
X
30%
2
22%
Double Chance
✓ 90.3% hit rate (31 picks)
1X
78%
X2
52%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
63%
Over 2.5
32%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Estudiantes de Merida FC a 48% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 21% for UCV. Expected goals are 1.2 for Estudiantes de Merida FC and 0.7 for UCV (total 1.8), with a 63% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 19.2% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Estudiantes de Merida FC have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for UCV.
Season Stats
6W
2D
7L
3W
4D
8L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.1
1.3
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
87%
33%
O 2.5
53%
33%
BTTS
67%
20%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga FUTVE. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
6W
1D
3L
· at home
1W
2D
7L
· away
1.3
gls/g
0.8
1.1
Conceded
2.1
60%
Win %
10%
70%
Win or Draw
30%
60%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
60%
20%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
10%
30%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Estudiantes de Merida FC
UCV →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.1% | 10.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 18.6% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 10.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Attack
26
Defence
79
Form
58
UCV
Attack
29
Defence
82
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular - B
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Carabobo FC
|
6 | 11 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Tachira FC
|
6 | 11 |
| 3 |
Metropolitanos FC
|
6 | 8 |
| 4 |
Estudiantes de Merida FC
|
6 | 3 |
What's at stake · Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular - B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #1 |
| → Estudiantes de Merida FC | #4 | #1 |
| → Draw | #4 | #1 |
| → UCV | #4 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Estudiantes de Merida FC vs UCV?
The model gives Estudiantes de Merida FC a 48% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 21% for an UCV win.
How many goals are expected in Estudiantes de Merida FC vs UCV?
Expected goals: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.2, UCV 0.7 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 63%.
What is the most likely score in Estudiantes de Merida FC vs UCV?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.2%.