✓Model correct — prediction Gimnasia L.P.
Gabriel Alanis
(ast. Ibrahim Hesar)
54'
24'
(ast. Ignacio Fernández)
Marcelo Torres
40'
(ast. Agustin Auzmendi)
Ignacio Fernández
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gimnasia L.P. a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 20%). The final result was Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1–2 Gimnasia L.P.. In 1 previous meetings, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gimnasia L.P..
Match statistics
16
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
3
1.64
Actual xG
1.22
0
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
4
18
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Agustín Quiroga
12'
24'
ast. Ignacio Fernández ·
Marcelo Torres⚽
40'
ast. Agustin Auzmendi ·
Ignacio Fernández⚽
Gonzalo González
/ Siro Rosané
45'
Sergio Ojeda
51'
53'
Alexis Steimbach
⚽Gabriel Alanis
· ast. Ibrahim Hesar
54'
57'
Alexis Steimbach
59'
Pablo Aguiar
/
Lucas Janson
66'
Pedro Silva Torrejón
68'
Facundo Di Biasi
/
Agustin Auzmendi
68'
Matías Melluso
/
Pedro Silva Torrejón
74'
Harlen Castillo
Tomás González
/ Juan Garro
79'
Fernando Rodríguez
/ Facundo Cobos
81'
84'
Renzo Giampaoli
/
Mateo Seoane
84'
Manuel Panaro
/
Marcelo Torres
Alejandro Martín Cabrera
86'
Juan Antonini
86'
Pre-match prediction
20.58%
Estudiantes
21.57%
X
57.84%
Gimnasia ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Gimnasia L.P.)
57.84%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
1.64
+0.57
2.07
1.22
-0.85
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto dominated by xG (1.64 vs 1.22).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
38
G
23
F. Rodríguez
81'
D
F. Rodríguez
81'
D
29
A. Quiroga
D
A. Quiroga
D
30
S. Ojeda
D
S. Ojeda
D
6
J. Antonini
86'
D
J. Antonini
86'
D
14
G. Gonzalez
45'
D
G. Gonzalez
45'
D
17
G. Alanís
1 ⚽
M
G. Alanís
1 ⚽
M
5
A. Cabrera
M
A. Cabrera
M
10
T. González
79'
M
T. González
79'
M
11
M. Garnerone
F
M. Garnerone
F
77
I. Hesar
1 👟
F
I. Hesar
1 👟
F
Bench
28
F. Cobos
9'
D
F. Cobos
9'
D
40
F. Lo Celso
M
F. Lo Celso
M
99
J. Chala
F
J. Chala
F
9
J. Ferreira
F
J. Ferreira
F
27
J. Garro
11'
F
J. Garro
11'
F
18
J. Rivero
F
J. Rivero
F
86
M. Pagliaricci
D
M. Pagliaricci
D
8
S. Rosané
45'
M
S. Rosané
45'
M
4
V. Fenoglio
F
V. Fenoglio
F
15
H. Castillo
G
H. Castillo
G
24
P. Silva
68'
D
P. Silva
68'
D
21
E. Martínez
D
E. Martínez
D
13
G. Conti
D
G. Conti
D
25
A. Steimbach
57'
D
A. Steimbach
57'
D
17
L. Janson
59'
M
L. Janson
59'
M
5
I. Miramón
M
I. Miramón
M
18
M. Seoane
84'
M
M. Seoane
84'
M
8
I. Fernández
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
I. Fernández
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
32
M. Torres
1 ⚽
84'
F
M. Torres
1 ⚽
84'
F
29
A. Auzmendi
1 👟
68'
F
A. Auzmendi
1 👟
68'
F
Bench
16
A. Max
M
A. Max
M
39
F. Di Biasi
22'
M
F. Di Biasi
22'
M
26
F. Torres
F
F. Torres
F
20
J. Pérez
M
J. Pérez
M
22
M. Melluso
22'
D
M. Melluso
22'
D
7
M. Panaro
6'
F
M. Panaro
6'
F
9
M. Zalazar
F
M. Zalazar
F
23
N. Insfrán
G
N. Insfrán
G
10
N. Schelotto
M
N. Schelotto
M
33
P. Aguiar
31'
M
P. Aguiar
31'
M
4
R. Giampaoli
6'
D
R. Giampaoli
6'
D
Best on the pitch
I. Fernández
M · Gimnasia
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 45 pass
G. Alanís
M · Estudiantes
7.75
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 22 pass
M. Torres
F · Gimnasia
7.73
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
I. Hesar
F · Estudiantes
7.02
1 👟
2 shots
· 24 pass
G. Conti
D · Gimnasia
6.87
1 shots
· 44 pass
A. Cabrera
M · Estudiantes
6.87
1 shots
· 83 pass
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| F. Rodríguez | D | 81 | 6.85 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Quiroga | D | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Ojeda | D | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 34% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Antonini | D | 86 | 4.91 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | 1 |
| G. Gonzalez | D | 45 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Alanís | M | 90 | 7.75 | 1 | — | 6 | 22 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Cabrera | M | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 83 | 73% | 5 | 1 | — |
| T. González | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Garnerone | F | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Hesar | F | 90 | 7.02 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Cobos | D | 9 | 6.15 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Garro | F | 11 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Rosané | M | 45 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
Gimnasia L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Castillo | G | 90 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 15% | 0 | 1 | — |
| P. Silva | D | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Martínez | D | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 33% | 5 | — | — |
| G. Conti | D | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Steimbach | D | 57 | 5.16 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | 1 |
| L. Janson | M | 59 | 5.96 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Miramón | M | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Seoane | M | 84 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Fernández | M | 90 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Torres | F | 84 | 7.73 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Auzmendi | F | 68 | 6.56 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Di Biasi | M | 22 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Melluso | D | 22 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Panaro | F | 6 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Aguiar | M | 31 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Giampaoli | D | 6 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The final score was Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1–2 Gimnasia L.P..
What did the model predict before Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win, 21% to a draw, and 57% to an Gimnasia L.P. win.