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Estudiantes L.P. - Corinthians

Copa Libertadores September 10, 2026 02:30
Estudiantes L.P.
#2 · 9 pts
vs
Corinthians
#1 · 11 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
50.63%
Win
Estudiantes L.P.
26.9%
Draw
22.46%
Win
Corinthians
1.53
Expected xG
0.71

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.89%)
1X2 Result
1 51%
X 27%
2 22%
Double Chance
1X 78%
X2 49%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 68%
Over 2.5 42%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Estudiantes L.P. a 50% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Corinthians. Expected goals are 1.5 for Estudiantes L.P. and 0.7 for Corinthians (total 2.2), with a 68% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.89% probability.

Season Stats

Estudiantes L.P.
3W 4D 1L
Corinthians
4W 3D 1L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.1
0.8
Conceded
0.5
5.3
Shots OT
4.3
5.3
Corners
4.1
49%
Poss.
60%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
75%
25%
O 2.5
0%
63%
BTTS
25%
25%
Clean Sht
63%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
Estudiantes L.P.
2W 2D 0L · at home
Corinthians
1W 3D 0L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.0
0.8
Conceded
0.5
50%
Win %
25%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
75%
O 1.5
75%
25%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
75%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Estudiantes L.P. Corinthians →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7% 7.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% —
1 16.3% 11.5% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% —
2 12.5% 8.8% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 6.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% — —
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% — — —

Recent form

Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
W U. Catolica 0–3
D U. Catolica 1–1
W Independiente Medellin 1–0
L Flamengo 1–0
D Cusco 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 47%
Corinthians Corinthians
W Rosario Central 1–0
D Rosario Central 0–0
L Platense 0–2
D Penarol 1–1
D Santa Fe 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
Attack
44
Defence
75
Form
54
Corinthians Corinthians
Attack
31
Defence
75
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians?
The model gives Estudiantes L.P. a 50% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 22% for an Corinthians win.
How many goals are expected in Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians?
Expected goals: Estudiantes L.P. 1.5, Corinthians 0.7 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 68%.
What is the most likely score in Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.89%.