Copa Libertadores
· Quarter-finals
September 10, 2026 02:30
Alexis Castro
(ast. Eros Nazareno Mancuso)
4'
49'
(ast. Rodrigo Garro)
Kaio César
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estudiantes L.P. a 52% win probability (draw 26%, Corinthians 20%). The final result was Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 Corinthians. In 1 previous meetings, Estudiantes L.P. have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Corinthians.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
5
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
1
18
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Alexis Castro
· ast. Eros Nazareno Mancuso
4'
6'
Fabrizio Angileri
10'
Kaio César
Guido Carrillo
28'
28'
Breno Bidon
Gastón Benedetti
32'
33'
Gustavo Henrique
49'
ast. Rodrigo Garro ·
Kaio César⚽
Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez
/ Fabricio Pérez
61'
71'
Charles
/
André Carrillo
Gastón Benedetti
/ Eric Meza
79'
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
/ Edwuin Cetre
86'
Lucas Piovi
/ Jalil Elias
86'
Eros Nazareno Mancuso
86'
87'
Matheus Pereira
/
Rodrigo Garro
90'
Pedro Raul
/
Memphis Depay
Pre-match prediction
52.8%
Estudiantes
26.64%
X ←
20.56%
Corinthians
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.64%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.70
—
—
0.60
—
—
Lineups
16
F. Muslera
G
F. Muslera
G
13
G. Benedetti
79'
D
G. Benedetti
79'
D
14
L. González
D
L. González
D
4
S. Núñez
D
S. Núñez
D
40
E. Mancuso
1 👟
D
E. Mancuso
1 👟
D
22
A. Castro
1 ⚽
M
A. Castro
1 ⚽
M
21
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
86'
M
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
86'
M
17
J. Burgos
86'
M
J. Burgos
86'
M
32
J. Correa
M
J. Correa
M
31
B. Gallego
61'
M
B. Gallego
61'
M
9
G. Carrillo
F
G. Carrillo
F
Bench
19
A. Gaich
F
A. Gaich
F
28
B. Aguirre
F
B. Aguirre
F
52
B. Kociubinski
M
B. Kociubinski
M
18
E. Cetré
4'
F
E. Cetré
4'
F
20
E. Meza
11'
D
E. Meza
11'
D
1
F. Iacovich
G
F. Iacovich
G
29
F. Pérez Escudero
29'
F
F. Pérez Escudero
29'
F
8
G. Neves
M
G. Neves
M
39
J. Elías
4'
M
J. Elías
4'
M
7
J. Sosa
M
J. Sosa
M
34
M. Monsalve
M
M. Monsalve
M
35
V. Pierani
D
V. Pierani
D
1
Hugo Souza
G
Hugo Souza
G
21
Matheus Bidu
D
Matheus Bidu
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
2
Matheuzinho
D
Matheuzinho
D
19
A. Carrillo
71'
M
A. Carrillo
71'
M
29
Allan
M
Allan
M
7
Breno
M
Breno
M
8
R. Garro
1 👟
87'
M
R. Garro
1 👟
87'
M
37
Kaio César
1 ⚽
M
Kaio César
1 ⚽
M
10
M. Depay
89'
F
M. Depay
89'
F
Bench
63
Alex Santana
M
Alex Santana
M
35
Charles
19'
M
Charles
19'
M
61
Dieguinho
M
Dieguinho
M
26
F. Angileri
D
F. Angileri
D
56
Guilherme Inácio
F
Guilherme Inácio
F
55
I. Machado
D
I. Machado
D
77
J. Lingard
M
J. Lingard
M
4
João Pedro
D
João Pedro
D
51
Kauê Camargo
G
Kauê Camargo
G
23
Matheus Pereira
3'
M
Matheus Pereira
3'
M
18
Pedro Raul
1'
F
Pedro Raul
1'
F
20
P. Milans
D
P. Milans
D
Best on the pitch
A. Castro
M · Estudiantes
8.03
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
R. Garro
M · Corinthians
7.42
1 👟
3 shots
· 35 pass
Kaio César
M · Corinthians
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
J. Burgos
M · Estudiantes
7.20
3 shots
· 22 pass
Matheuzinho
D · Corinthians
7.07
1 shots
· 38 pass
F. Pérez Escudero
F · Estudiantes
7.01
· 11 pass
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Muslera | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Benedetti | D | 79 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 36% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. González | D | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 69 | 60% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Núñez | D | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 43% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Mancuso | D | 90 | 6.27 | — | 1 | 0 | 51 | 40% | 5 | 1 | — |
| A. Castro | M | 90 | 8.03 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Lucas Ezequiel Piovi | M | 86 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Burgos | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Correa | M | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Gallego | M | 61 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Carrillo | F | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 6 | 16 | 12% | 0 | 1 | — |
| E. Cetré | F | 4 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Meza | D | 11 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Pérez Escudero | F | 29 | 7.01 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Elías | M | 4 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Souza | G | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 90 | 7.07 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Carrillo | M | 71 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Breno | M | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Garro | M | 87 | 7.42 | — | 1 | 3 | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Kaio César | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Depay | F | 89 | 6.05 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Charles | M | 19 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 3 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Pedro Raul | F | 1 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians?
The final score was Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Estudiantes L.P. win, 26% to a draw, and 20% to an Corinthians win.