Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 15, 2026 00:00
Facundo Farías
28'
Tiago Palacios
48'
31'
(ast. Diego Soto)
Lucas Colitto
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estudiantes L.P. a 48% win probability (draw 28%, Cusco 23%). The final result was Estudiantes L.P. 2–1 Cusco. In 1 previous meetings, Estudiantes L.P. have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cusco.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
2
1.48
Actual xG
0.79
1
Saves
7
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
0
25
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Facundo Farías
28'
Ezequiel Piovi
30'
31'
ast. Diego Soto ·
Lucas Colitto⚽
44'
Lucas Colitto
⚽Tiago Palacios
48'
51'
Lucas Colitto
51'
Lucas Colitto
53'
Nicolás Silva
/
Gabriel Carabajal
Edwuin Cetré
/ Brian Aguirre
62'
Facundo Farías
/ Alexis Castro
63'
Ezequiel Piovi
/ Gabriel Neves
63'
65'
Carlos Diez
/
Diego Soto
65'
José Alí Gutiérrez
/
Joel Herrera
Guido Carrillo
/ Adolfo Gaich
74'
78'
Oswaldo Valenzuela
Mikel Amondarain
/ José Sosa
81'
81'
Iván Colman
/
Oswaldo Valenzuela
81'
Juan Tévez
/
Facundo Callejo
Leandro Gonzalez Pirez
82'
Pre-match prediction
48.56%
Estudiantes ←
28.24%
X
23.2%
Cusco
we assigned to the actual result (Estudiantes L.P.)
48.56%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
1.48
-0.06
0.73
0.79
+0.06
Estudiantes L.P. dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.79).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
16
F. Muslera
G
F. Muslera
G
13
G. Benedetti
D
G. Benedetti
D
24
Tomás Palacios
D
Tomás Palacios
D
14
L. González
D
L. González
D
20
E. Meza
D
E. Meza
D
21
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
63'
M
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
63'
M
32
M. Amondarain
81'
M
M. Amondarain
81'
M
18
E. Cetré
62'
M
E. Cetré
62'
M
11
F. Farías
1 ⚽
63'
M
F. Farías
1 ⚽
63'
M
10
T. Palacios
1 ⚽
M
T. Palacios
1 ⚽
M
9
G. Carrillo
74'
F
G. Carrillo
74'
F
Bench
22
A. Castro
27'
M
A. Castro
27'
M
19
A. Gaich
16'
F
A. Gaich
16'
F
28
B. Aguirre
28'
F
B. Aguirre
28'
F
40
E. Mancuso
D
E. Mancuso
D
29
F. Pérez Escudero
F
F. Pérez Escudero
F
8
G. Neves
27'
M
G. Neves
27'
M
7
J. Sosa
9'
M
J. Sosa
9'
M
27
L. Alario
F
L. Alario
F
26
R. Funes Mori
D
R. Funes Mori
D
4
S. Núñez
D
S. Núñez
D
28
P. Díaz
G
P. Díaz
G
15
J. Bolívar
D
J. Bolívar
D
6
D
8
A. Fuentes
D
A. Fuentes
D
24
M. Ruidías
D
M. Ruidías
D
77
J. Herrera
65'
M
J. Herrera
65'
M
16
O. Valenzuela
81'
M
O. Valenzuela
81'
M
88
D. Soto
1 👟
65'
M
D. Soto
1 👟
65'
M
27
Gabriel Carabajal
53'
M
Gabriel Carabajal
53'
M
22
L. Colitto
1 ⚽
51'
M
L. Colitto
1 ⚽
51'
M
9
F. Callejo
81'
F
F. Callejo
81'
F
Bench
14
C. Diez
25'
M
C. Diez
25'
M
10
I. Colman
9'
M
I. Colman
9'
M
7
J. Manzaneda
F
J. Manzaneda
F
11
J. Tévez
9'
F
J. Tévez
9'
F
32
Julinho Astudillo
D
Julinho Astudillo
D
21
J. Zevallos
D
J. Zevallos
D
5
M. Aucca
M
26
N. Silva
37'
F
N. Silva
37'
F
Best on the pitch
T. Palacios
M · Estudiantes
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 44 pass
F. Farías
M · Estudiantes
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
L. González
D · Estudiantes
7.60
1 shots
· 75 pass
E. Meza
D · Estudiantes
7.30
· 33 pass
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
M · Estudiantes
7.20
2 shots
· 38 pass
M. Amondarain
M · Estudiantes
7.20
2 shots
· 40 pass
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Muslera | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| G. Benedetti | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 52 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Palacios | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| L. González | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 68% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Meza | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| Lucas Ezequiel Piovi | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Amondarain | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 33% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Cetré | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F. Farías | M | 63 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Palacios | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 44 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Carrillo | F | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Castro | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Gaich | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| B. Aguirre | F | 28 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Neves | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Sosa | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Cusco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Díaz | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | — | — | — |
| J. Bolívar | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. Fuentes | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Ruidías | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Herrera | M | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Valenzuela | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Soto | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Carabajal | M | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Colitto | M | 51 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| F. Callejo | F | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Diez | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| I. Colman | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Tévez | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| N. Silva | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estudiantes L.P. vs Cusco?
The final score was Estudiantes L.P. 2–1 Cusco.
What did the model predict before Estudiantes L.P. vs Cusco?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Estudiantes L.P. win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an Cusco win.