Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 15, 2026 00:00
Facundo Farías
28'
Tiago Palacios
48'
31'
(ast. Diego Soto)
Lucas Colitto
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estudiantes L.P. a 48% win probability (draw 28%, Cusco 23%). The final result was Estudiantes L.P. 2–1 Cusco. In 1 previous meetings, Estudiantes L.P. have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cusco.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
2
1.48
Actual xG
0.79
1
Saves
7
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
0
25
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Facundo Farías
28'
Ezequiel Piovi
30'
31'
ast. Diego Soto ·
Lucas Colitto⚽
44'
Lucas Colitto
⚽Tiago Palacios
48'
51'
Lucas Colitto
51'
Lucas Colitto
53'
Nicolás Silva
/
Gabriel Carabajal
Edwuin Cetré
/ Brian Aguirre
62'
Facundo Farías
/ Alexis Castro
63'
Ezequiel Piovi
/ Gabriel Neves
63'
65'
Carlos Diez
/
Diego Soto
65'
José Alí Gutiérrez
/
Joel Herrera
Guido Carrillo
/ Adolfo Gaich
74'
78'
Oswaldo Valenzuela
Mikel Amondarain
/ José Sosa
81'
81'
Iván Colman
/
Oswaldo Valenzuela
81'
Juan Tévez
/
Facundo Callejo
Leandro Gonzalez Pirez
82'
Pre-match prediction
48.56%
Estudiantes ←
28.24%
X
23.2%
Cusco
we assigned to the actual result (Estudiantes L.P.)
48.56%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
1.48
-0.06
0.73
0.79
+0.06
Estudiantes L.P. dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.79).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
16
Fernando Muslera
G
Fernando Muslera
G
13
Gastón Benedetti
D
Gastón Benedetti
D
24
T. Palacios
D
T. Palacios
D
14
L. González
D
L. González
D
20
Eric Meza
D
Eric Meza
D
21
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
63'
M
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
63'
M
32
M. Amondarain
81'
M
M. Amondarain
81'
M
18
Edwuin Cetré
62'
M
Edwuin Cetré
62'
M
11
Facundo Farías
1 ⚽
63'
M
Facundo Farías
1 ⚽
63'
M
10
T. Palacios
1 ⚽
M
T. Palacios
1 ⚽
M
9
Guido Carrillo
74'
F
Guido Carrillo
74'
F
Bench
19
Adolfo Gaich
16'
F
Adolfo Gaich
16'
F
22
Alexis Castro
27'
M
Alexis Castro
27'
M
28
Brian Aguirre
28'
F
Brian Aguirre
28'
F
40
Eros Mancuso
D
Eros Mancuso
D
29
Fabricio Pérez
F
Fabricio Pérez
F
8
Gabriel Neves
27'
M
Gabriel Neves
27'
M
7
J. Sosa
9'
M
J. Sosa
9'
M
27
Lucas Alario
F
Lucas Alario
F
26
Ramiro Funes Mori
D
Ramiro Funes Mori
D
4
Santiago Núñez
D
Santiago Núñez
D
28
Pedro Diaz
G
Pedro Diaz
G
15
Jose Bolivar
D
Jose Bolivar
D
6
D
8
A. Fuentes
D
A. Fuentes
D
24
Marlon Ruidías
D
Marlon Ruidías
D
77
Joel Herrera
65'
M
Joel Herrera
65'
M
16
Oswaldo Valenzuela
81'
M
Oswaldo Valenzuela
81'
M
88
Diego Soto
1 👟
65'
M
Diego Soto
1 👟
65'
M
27
Gabriel Carabajal
53'
M
Gabriel Carabajal
53'
M
22
Lucas Colitto
1 ⚽
51'
M
Lucas Colitto
1 ⚽
51'
M
9
F. Callejo
81'
F
F. Callejo
81'
F
Bench
14
Carlo Diez
25'
M
Carlo Diez
25'
M
10
Iván Colman
9'
M
Iván Colman
9'
M
7
J. Manzaneda
F
J. Manzaneda
F
11
Juan Tévez
9'
F
Juan Tévez
9'
F
32
Julinho Astudillo
D
Julinho Astudillo
D
21
J. Zevallos
D
J. Zevallos
D
5
M. Aucca
M
26
Nicolás Silva
37'
F
Nicolás Silva
37'
F
Best on the pitch
T. Palacios
M · Estudiantes
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 44 pass
Facundo Farías
M · Estudiantes
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
L. González
D · Estudiantes
7.60
1 shots
· 75 pass
Eric Meza
D · Estudiantes
7.30
· 33 pass
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
M · Estudiantes
7.20
2 shots
· 38 pass
M. Amondarain
M · Estudiantes
7.20
2 shots
· 40 pass
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Muslera | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Gastón Benedetti | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 52 | 49% | — | — | — |
| T. Palacios | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| L. González | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 68% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Eric Meza | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| Lucas Ezequiel Piovi | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Amondarain | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 33% | 5 | — | — |
| Edwuin Cetré | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Farías | M | 63 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Palacios | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 44 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Guido Carrillo | F | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Adolfo Gaich | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Castro | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Brian Aguirre | F | 28 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Gabriel Neves | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Sosa | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Cusco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Diaz | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Jose Bolivar | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. Fuentes | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Marlon Ruidías | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel Herrera | M | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Oswaldo Valenzuela | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Diego Soto | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Carabajal | M | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Colitto | M | 51 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| F. Callejo | F | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlo Diez | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Iván Colman | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Tévez | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Silva | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estudiantes L.P. vs Cusco?
The final score was Estudiantes L.P. 2–1 Cusco.
What did the model predict before Estudiantes L.P. vs Cusco?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Estudiantes L.P. win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an Cusco win.