Estudiantes L.P. 3–0 Defensa Y Justicia — pre-match prediction — Liga Profesional — August 01, 2026

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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 3 August 01, 2026 23:00

Estudiantes L.P.

#1 · 31 pts

3 – 0

Final score

Defensa Y Justicia

#2 · 17 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Estudiantes L.P.

G. Carrillo (ast. E. Meza) 9'

L. Piovi (ast. T. Palacios) 16'

T. Palacios (ast. G. Carrillo) 36'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estudiantes L.P. a 56% win probability (draw 27%, Defensa Y Justicia 16%). The final result was Estudiantes L.P. 3–0 Defensa Y Justicia. In 1 previous meetings, Estudiantes L.P. have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Defensa Y Justicia.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.99

Actual xG

1.54

Saves

41%

Possession

59%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽G. Carrillo · ast. E. Meza

14'

A. Portillo / L. Souto ↕

⚽L. Piovi · ast. T. Palacios

16'

Perez Fabricio

28'

D. Barbona

34'

D. Fernandez

⚽T. Palacios · ast. G. Carrillo

36'

64'

F. Roman / M. Rodriguez ↕

64'

T. Perez / L. Fernandez ↕

64'

D. Blanco / S. Sosa ↕

↕ T. Palacios / J. Sosa

70'

↕ A. Castro / Gabriel Neves

71'

↕ Perez Fabricio / B. Aguirre

72'

↕ T. Palacios / R. Funes Mori

72'

79'

R. Gagliardi / A. Hausch ↕

↕ G. Carrillo / L. Alario

80'

87'

(missed pen.) D. Barbona⚽

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

56.55%

Estudiantes ←

27.15%

16.3%

Defensa

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Estudiantes L.P.) 56.55% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Estudiantes

1.36

1.99

+0.63

Defensa

0.56

1.54

+0.98

Estudiantes L.P. dominated by xG (1.99 vs 1.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	26
5	Independiente	16	24
6	Lanus	16	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	19
12	Platense	16	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	11

Lineups

Estudiantes L.P. 4-2-3-1

F. Muslera G 8.70

G. Benedetti D 7.00

T. Palacios 1 ⚽ 1 👟 72' D 7.60

S. Núñez D 6.60

E. Meza 1 👟 D 6.90

A. Castro 71' M 6.60

Lucas Ezequiel Piovi 1 ⚽ M 8.30

J. Burgos M 6.90

T. Palacios 1 ⚽ 1 👟 70' M 7.20

F. Pérez Escudero 72' M 6.60

G. Carrillo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 80' F 8.20

Bench

A. Gaich F

B. Aguirre 21' F 6.50

B. Kociubinski M

E. Cetré F

E. Mancuso D

F. Farías M

F. Iacovich G

G. Neves 22' M 6.30

J. Pereyra D

J. Sosa 23' M 6.70

L. Alario 13' F 6.50

Ramiro Funes Mori 21' D 6.90

Defensa Y Justicia 4-2-3-1

M. Borgogno G 7.00

Máximo Rodríguez 64' D 5.60

E. Lucero D 6.30

D. Fernández D 5.60

Lucas Souto 14' D 6.20

S. Sosa 64' M 6.60

C. Pérez M 7.90

J. Gutiérrez M 6.50

D. Barbona M 6.20

A. Hausch 79' M 6.50

L. Fernández 64' F 6.20

Bench

A. Portillo 79' M 7.00

D. Blanco 29' M 6.60

Facundo Altamira F

F. Román 29' D 6.90

Jonas Cabrera Maximo M

L. Amadé G

Mateo Aguiar M

Mateo López D

Ramiro Gagliardi 14' F 6.30

T. Martinez M

T. Pérez 29' F 6.70

V. Loza D

Best on the pitch

F. Muslera

G · Estudiantes

8.70

· 23 pass

Lucas Ezequiel Piovi

M · Estudiantes

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 46 pass

G. Carrillo

F · Estudiantes

8.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 16 pass

C. Pérez

M · Defensa

7.90

1 shots · 73 pass

T. Palacios

D · Estudiantes

7.60

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 31 pass

T. Palacios

M · Estudiantes

7.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 34 pass

Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
F. Muslera	G	93	8.70	—	—	—	23	18%	—	—	—
G. Benedetti	D	93	7.00	—	—	—	37	30%	1	—	—
T. Palacios	D	72	7.60	1	1	1	31	27%	1	—	—
S. Núñez	D	93	6.60	—	—	—	32	30%	—	—	—
E. Meza	D	93	6.90	—	1	1	24	17%	—	—	—
A. Castro	M	71	6.60	—	—	2	28	25%	3	—	—
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi	M	93	8.30	1	—	2	46	39%	6	—	—
J. Burgos	M	93	6.90	—	—	1	20	14%	—	—	—
T. Palacios	M	70	7.20	1	1	1	34	29%	1	—	—
F. Pérez Escudero	M	72	6.60	—	—	3	16	14%	3	1	—
G. Carrillo	F	80	8.20	1	1	2	16	9%	1	—	—
B. Aguirre	F	21	6.50	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
G. Neves	M	22	6.30	—	—	—	6	2%	—	—	—
J. Sosa	M	23	6.70	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
L. Alario	F	13	6.50	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
Ramiro Funes Mori	D	21	6.90	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—

Defensa Y Justicia — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Borgogno	G	93	7.00	—	—	—	32	25%	—	—	—
Máximo Rodríguez	D	64	5.60	—	—	—	33	26%	2	—	—
E. Lucero	D	93	6.30	—	—	—	36	35%	6	—	—
D. Fernández	D	93	5.60	—	—	—	61	58%	1	1	—
Lucas Souto	D	14	6.20	—	—	—	5	5%	1	—	—
S. Sosa	M	64	6.60	—	—	1	34	30%	2	—	—
C. Pérez	M	93	7.90	—	—	1	73	65%	5	—	—
J. Gutiérrez	M	93	6.50	—	—	2	14	11%	3	—	—
D. Barbona	M	93	6.20	—	—	3	55	46%	—	1	—
A. Hausch	M	79	6.50	—	—	2	26	21%	2	—	—
L. Fernández	F	64	6.20	—	—	—	24	14%	1	—	—
A. Portillo	M	79	7.00	—	—	1	36	31%	—	—	—
D. Blanco	M	29	6.60	—	—	1	17	17%	1	—	—
F. Román	D	29	6.90	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—
Ramiro Gagliardi	F	14	6.30	—	—	2	10	7%	—	—	—
T. Pérez	F	29	6.70	—	—	1	6	4%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Estudiantes L.P. vs Defensa Y Justicia?

The final score was Estudiantes L.P. 3–0 Defensa Y Justicia.

What did the model predict before Estudiantes L.P. vs Defensa Y Justicia?

The model assigned 56% probability to a Estudiantes L.P. win, 27% to a draw, and 16% to an Defensa Y Justicia win.