Copa Libertadores
· Semi-finals
October 16, 2026 02:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estudiantes L.P. a 35% win probability (draw 35%, Flamengo 29%). The final result was Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 Flamengo. In 3 previous meetings, Estudiantes L.P. have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Flamengo.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
0
1.13
Actual xG
0.18
0
Saves
6
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
4
24
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Alexis Castro
35'
Lucas Piovi
43'
63'
Lucas Paquetá
Tiago Palacios
/ Joaquín Correa
68'
71'
Jorge Carrascal
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
/ Edwuin Cetre
74'
Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez
/ Miguel Monsalve
75'
80'
Gonzalo Plata
/
Samuel Lino
80'
Pedro
/
Bruno Henrique
85'
Joaquín Freitas
/
Lucas Paquetá
86'
Guillermo Varela
Pre-match prediction
35.16%
Estudiantes
35.76%
X ←
29.08%
Flamengo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
35.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.80
1.13
+0.33
0.58
0.18
-0.4
Estudiantes L.P. dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.18).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
16
F. Muslera
G
F. Muslera
G
13
G. Benedetti
D
G. Benedetti
D
26
R. Funes Mori
D
R. Funes Mori
D
4
S. Núñez
D
S. Núñez
D
40
E. Mancuso
D
E. Mancuso
D
17
J. Burgos
74'
M
J. Burgos
74'
M
22
A. Castro
M
A. Castro
M
21
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
M
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
M
31
B. Gallego
75'
M
B. Gallego
75'
M
10
T. Palacios
68'
F
T. Palacios
68'
F
9
G. Carrillo
F
G. Carrillo
F
Bench
19
A. Gaich
F
A. Gaich
F
28
B. Aguirre
F
B. Aguirre
F
52
B. Kociubinski
M
B. Kociubinski
M
18
E. Cetré
16'
F
E. Cetré
16'
F
1
F. Iacovich
G
F. Iacovich
G
29
F. Pérez Escudero
F
F. Pérez Escudero
F
32
J. Correa
22'
F
J. Correa
22'
F
7
J. Sosa
M
J. Sosa
M
27
L. Alario
F
L. Alario
F
34
M. Monsalve
15'
M
M. Monsalve
15'
M
15
S. Arzamendia
D
S. Arzamendia
D
1
Agustín Rossi
G
Agustín Rossi
G
26
Alex Sandro
D
Alex Sandro
D
4
Léo Pereira
D
Léo Pereira
D
3
Léo Ortiz
D
Léo Ortiz
D
22
Emerson Royal
D
Emerson Royal
D
8
Saúl
M
Saúl
M
5
Erick Pulgar
M
Erick Pulgar
M
16
Samuel Lino
80'
M
Samuel Lino
80'
M
11
Lucas Paquetá
85'
M
Lucas Paquetá
85'
M
15
J. Carrascal
M
J. Carrascal
M
27
Bruno Henrique
80'
F
Bruno Henrique
80'
F
Bench
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
14
A. Valencia
F
A. Valencia
F
49
Dyogo Alves
G
Dyogo Alves
G
19
Gonzalo Plata
10'
F
Gonzalo Plata
10'
F
2
Guillermo Varela
D
Guillermo Varela
D
61
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
30
Joaquín Freitas
5'
F
Joaquín Freitas
5'
F
77
Johnny Goes
D
Johnny Goes
D
7
Luiz Araújo
F
Luiz Araújo
F
18
N. de la Cruz
M
N. de la Cruz
M
9
Pedro Guilherme
10'
F
Pedro Guilherme
10'
F
44
Vitão
D
Vitão
D
Best on the pitch
Agustín Rossi
G · Flamengo
7.63
· 27 pass
S. Núñez
D · Estudiantes
7.29
4 shots
· 39 pass
Léo Pereira
D · Flamengo
7.24
· 47 pass
Emerson Royal
D · Flamengo
7.17
1 shots
· 43 pass
J. Burgos
M · Estudiantes
7.06
1 shots
· 5 pass
E. Cetré
F · Estudiantes
7.01
2 shots
· 7 pass
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Muslera | G | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Benedetti | D | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Funes Mori | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Núñez | D | 90 | 7.29 | — | — | 4 | 39 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Mancuso | D | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Burgos | M | 74 | 7.06 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Castro | M | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 30% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Ezequiel Piovi | M | 90 | 5.98 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Gallego | M | 75 | 6.68 | — | — | 4 | 17 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Palacios | F | 68 | 6.47 | — | — | 5 | 25 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Carrillo | F | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Cetré | F | 16 | 7.01 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Correa | F | 22 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Monsalve | M | 15 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín Rossi | G | 90 | 7.63 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Alex Sandro | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 90 | 7.24 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 90 | 6.96 | — | — | 0 | 63 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Emerson Royal | D | 90 | 7.17 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Saúl | M | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| Erick Pulgar | M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 80 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 85 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 35% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. Carrascal | M | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 80 | 5.92 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Plata | F | 10 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Joaquín Freitas | F | 5 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Guilherme | F | 10 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
The final score was Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 Flamengo.
What did the model predict before Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Estudiantes L.P. win, 35% to a draw, and 29% to an Flamengo win.