Estudiantes L.P. 0–2 Independiente — pre-match prediction — Liga Profesional — July 26, 2026

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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 1 July 26, 2026 22:15

Estudiantes L.P.

#1 · 31 pts

0 – 2

Final score

Independiente

#2 · 3 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Estudiantes L.P., result Independiente wins

76' (ast. S. Montiel) G. Avalos

82' S. Montiel

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estudiantes L.P. a 54% win probability (draw 27%, Independiente 18%). The final result was Estudiantes L.P. 0–2 Independiente. In 1 previous meetings, Estudiantes L.P. have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Independiente.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.87

Actual xG

1.34

Saves

60%

Possession

40%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

T. Palacios

40'

45'+1

L. Godoy

63'

M. Meza / M. Abaldo ↕

↕ A. Castro / Perez Fabricio

72'

↕ J. Burgos / B. Aguirre

72'

76'

ast. S. Montiel · G. Avalos⚽

⚽G. Carrillo (missed pen.)

81'

82'

S. Montiel⚽

84'

S. Arias / L. Godoy ↕

84'

D. Martinez / M. Gutierrez ↕

↕ R. Funes Mori / L. Alario

85'

↕ T. Palacios / E. Cetre

85'

↕ L. Piovi / J. Sosa

86'

89'

K. Lomonaco / G. Avalos ↕

Pre-match prediction

54.45%

Estudiantes

27.11%

18.44%

Independiente ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Independiente) 18.44% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Estudiantes

1.38

1.87

+0.49

Independiente

0.60

1.34

+0.74

Estudiantes L.P. dominated by xG (1.87 vs 1.34). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	26
5	Independiente	16	24
6	Lanus	16	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	19
12	Platense	16	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	11

Lineups

Estudiantes L.P. 4-4-2

Fernando Muslera G 7.20

Tomás Palacios D 8.00

Ramiro Funes Mori 85' D 5.90

Santiago Núñez D 6.30

Eric Meza D 6.90

Joaquín Tobio Burgos 72' M 7.30

Alexis Castro 72' M 7.20

Ezequiel Piovi 86' M 7.20

Mikel Amondarain M 6.20

Guido Carrillo F 6.60

Tiago Palacios 85' F 6.90

Bench

Adolfo Gaich F

Brian Aguirre 18' F 7.30

Edwuin Cetré 11' F 6.50

Eros Mancuso D

Fabricio Iacovich G

Fabricio Pérez 18' F 6.20

Facundo Farías M

Gabriel Neves M

Gastón Benedetti D

José Sosa 10' M 6.70

Lucas Alario 11' F 6.30

Valente Pierani D

Independiente 4-2-3-1

Rodrigo Rey G 8.50

Facundo Zabala D 7.00

Sebastián Valdez D 7.60

Juan Fedorco D 6.70

Leonardo Godoy 84' D 6.60

Iván Marcone M 6.60

Mateo Perez Curci M 6.60

Matías Abaldo 63' M 6.30

Santiago Montiel 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.20

Maximiliano Gutiérrez 84' M 6.00

Gabriel Ávalos 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90

Bench

David Martínez 12' M 6.70

Facundo Cruz M

Facundo Valdéz F

Felipe Tempone F

Joaquín Blázquez G

Jonathan De Irastorza D

Juan Miguel Arrayago D

Kevin Lomónaco 1' D

Lautaro Millán M

Luciano Cabral M

Maxi Meza 27' F 6.30

Santiago Arias 12' D 6.70

Best on the pitch

Rodrigo Rey

G · Independiente

8.50

· 28 pass

Santiago Montiel

M · Independiente

8.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 21 pass

Tomás Palacios

D · Estudiantes

8.00

· 36 pass

Gabriel Ávalos

F · Independiente

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 16 pass

Sebastián Valdez

D · Independiente

7.60

1 shots · 30 pass

Joaquín Tobio Burgos

M · Estudiantes

7.30

2 shots · 24 pass

Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Fernando Muslera	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	26	20%	—	—	—
Tomás Palacios	D	90	8.00	—	—	—	36	31%	6	1	—
Ramiro Funes Mori	D	85	5.90	—	—	—	34	30%	1	—	—
Santiago Núñez	D	90	6.30	—	—	2	41	30%	—	—	—
Eric Meza	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	36	31%	2	—	—
Joaquín Tobio Burgos	M	72	7.30	—	—	2	24	20%	2	—	—
Alexis Castro	M	72	7.20	—	—	—	24	18%	3	—	—
Ezequiel Piovi	M	86	7.20	—	—	1	42	33%	7	—	—
Mikel Amondarain	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	26	18%	2	—	—
Guido Carrillo	F	90	6.60	—	—	3	31	20%	—	—	—
Tiago Palacios	F	85	6.90	—	—	1	28	24%	—	—	—
Brian Aguirre	F	18	7.30	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
Edwuin Cetré	F	11	6.50	—	—	—	3	1%	1	—	—
Fabricio Pérez	F	18	6.20	—	—	—	8	4%	—	—	—
José Sosa	M	10	6.70	—	—	—	10	9%	—	—	—
Lucas Alario	F	11	6.30	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—

Independiente — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Rodrigo Rey	G	90	8.50	—	—	—	28	14%	—	—	—
Facundo Zabala	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	23	13%	2	—	—
Sebastián Valdez	D	90	7.60	—	—	1	30	22%	4	—	—
Juan Fedorco	D	90	6.70	—	—	1	23	14%	1	—	—
Leonardo Godoy	D	84	6.60	—	—	2	25	19%	2	1	—
Iván Marcone	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	36	28%	1	—	—
Mateo Perez Curci	M	90	6.60	—	—	2	16	12%	2	—	—
Matías Abaldo	M	63	6.30	—	—	—	14	13%	1	—	—
Santiago Montiel	M	90	8.20	1	1	1	21	11%	3	—	—
Maximiliano Gutiérrez	M	84	6.00	—	—	—	16	8%	2	—	—
Gabriel Ávalos	F	89	7.90	1	—	3	16	9%	—	—	—
David Martínez	M	12	6.70	—	—	—	2	2%	2	—	—
Kevin Lomónaco	D	1	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Maxi Meza	F	27	6.30	—	—	—	8	3%	1	—	—
Santiago Arias	D	12	6.70	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente?

The final score was Estudiantes L.P. 0–2 Independiente.

What did the model predict before Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente?

The model assigned 54% probability to a Estudiantes L.P. win, 27% to a draw, and 18% to an Independiente win.