Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 1
July 26, 2026 22:15
✗Model wrong — prediction Estudiantes L.P., result Independiente wins
76'
(ast. S. Montiel)
G. Avalos
82'
S. Montiel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estudiantes L.P. a 54% win probability (draw 27%, Independiente 18%). The final result was Estudiantes L.P. 0–2 Independiente. In 1 previous meetings, Estudiantes L.P. have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Independiente.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
5
1.87
Actual xG
1.34
3
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
5
Corners
5
24
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
T. Palacios
40'
45'+1
L. Godoy
63'
M. Meza
/
M. Abaldo
A. Castro
/ Perez Fabricio
72'
J. Burgos
/ B. Aguirre
72'
76'
ast. S. Montiel ·
G. Avalos⚽
⚽G. Carrillo
(missed pen.)
81'
82'
S. Montiel⚽
84'
S. Arias
/
L. Godoy
84'
D. Martinez
/
M. Gutierrez
R. Funes Mori
/ L. Alario
85'
T. Palacios
/ E. Cetre
85'
L. Piovi
/ J. Sosa
86'
89'
K. Lomonaco
/
G. Avalos
Pre-match prediction
54.45%
Estudiantes
27.11%
X
18.44%
Independiente ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente)
18.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
1.87
+0.49
0.60
1.34
+0.74
Estudiantes L.P. dominated by xG (1.87 vs 1.34).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
F. Muslera
G
F. Muslera
G
24
T. Palacios
D
T. Palacios
D
26
Ramiro Funes Mori
85'
D
Ramiro Funes Mori
85'
D
4
S. Núñez
D
S. Núñez
D
20
E. Meza
D
E. Meza
D
17
J. Burgos
72'
M
J. Burgos
72'
M
22
A. Castro
72'
M
A. Castro
72'
M
21
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
86'
M
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
86'
M
32
M. Amondarain
M
M. Amondarain
M
9
G. Carrillo
F
G. Carrillo
F
10
T. Palacios
85'
F
T. Palacios
85'
F
Bench
19
A. Gaich
F
A. Gaich
F
28
B. Aguirre
18'
F
B. Aguirre
18'
F
18
E. Cetré
11'
F
E. Cetré
11'
F
40
E. Mancuso
D
E. Mancuso
D
11
F. Farías
M
F. Farías
M
1
F. Iacovich
G
F. Iacovich
G
29
F. Pérez Escudero
18'
F
F. Pérez Escudero
18'
F
13
G. Benedetti
D
G. Benedetti
D
8
G. Neves
M
G. Neves
M
7
J. Sosa
10'
M
J. Sosa
10'
M
27
L. Alario
11'
F
L. Alario
11'
F
35
V. Pierani
D
V. Pierani
D
33
R. Rey
G
R. Rey
G
22
F. Zabala
D
F. Zabala
D
36
Sebastián Valdez
D
Sebastián Valdez
D
13
J. Fedorco
D
J. Fedorco
D
29
L. Godoy
84'
D
L. Godoy
84'
D
23
I. Marcone
M
I. Marcone
M
16
M. Perez
M
M. Perez
M
19
M. Abaldo
63'
M
M. Abaldo
63'
M
7
S. Montiel
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
S. Montiel
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
28
M. Gutiérrez
84'
M
M. Gutiérrez
84'
M
9
G. Ávalos
1 ⚽
89'
F
G. Ávalos
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
32
D. Martínez
12'
M
D. Martínez
12'
M
20
Facundo Cruz
M
Facundo Cruz
M
18
Facundo Valdéz
F
Facundo Valdéz
F
34
F. Tempone
F
F. Tempone
F
35
J. Arrayago
D
J. Arrayago
D
1
Joaquín Blázquez
G
Joaquín Blázquez
G
3
Jonathan De Irastorza
D
Jonathan De Irastorza
D
26
Kevin Lomónaco
1'
D
Kevin Lomónaco
1'
D
14
Lautaro Millán
M
Lautaro Millán
M
10
L. Cabral
M
L. Cabral
M
8
M. Meza
27'
F
M. Meza
27'
F
4
S. Arias
12'
D
S. Arias
12'
D
Best on the pitch
R. Rey
G · Independiente
8.50
· 28 pass
S. Montiel
M · Independiente
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 21 pass
T. Palacios
D · Estudiantes
8.00
· 36 pass
G. Ávalos
F · Independiente
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
Sebastián Valdez
D · Independiente
7.60
1 shots
· 30 pass
J. Burgos
M · Estudiantes
7.30
2 shots
· 24 pass
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Muslera | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| T. Palacios | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Ramiro Funes Mori | D | 85 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Núñez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 30% | — | — | — |
| E. Meza | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Burgos | M | 72 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Castro | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Ezequiel Piovi | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 33% | 7 | — | — |
| M. Amondarain | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Carrillo | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 20% | — | — | — |
| T. Palacios | F | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| B. Aguirre | F | 18 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| E. Cetré | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Pérez Escudero | F | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Sosa | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Alario | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Independiente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rey | G | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 14% | — | — | — |
| F. Zabala | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Sebastián Valdez | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Fedorco | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Godoy | D | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Marcone | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Perez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Abaldo | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Montiel | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Gutiérrez | M | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Ávalos | F | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Martínez | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Lomónaco | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Meza | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Arias | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente?
The final score was Estudiantes L.P. 0–2 Independiente.
What did the model predict before Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Estudiantes L.P. win, 27% to a draw, and 18% to an Independiente win.