Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 27, 2026 02:30
M. Amondarain
90'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estudiantes L.P. a 49% win probability (draw 31%, Independiente Medellin 18%). The final result was Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Independiente Medellin. In 1 previous meetings, Estudiantes L.P. have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Independiente Medellin.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
1
1.37
Actual xG
0.22
1
Saves
7
72%
Possession
28%
9
Corners
5
16
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
34'
F. Fydriszewski
G. Carrillo
34'
52'
E. Chaux
Perez Fabricio
/ B. Aguirre
53'
56'
E. Mena Perea
/
F. Chaverra
56'
H. Palacios
/
Yony Gonzalez
F. Farias
/ L. Alario
63'
E. Cetre
/ J. Burgos
63'
82'
L. Escorcia
/
F. Fabra
L. Piovi
/ A. Castro
87'
G. Benedetti
/ J. Sosa
88'
⚽M. Amondarain
90'+3
F. Muslera
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
49.62%
Estudiantes ←
31.58%
X
18.8%
Independiente
we assigned to the actual result (Estudiantes L.P.)
49.62%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.08
1.37
+0.29
0.54
0.22
-0.32
Estudiantes L.P. dominated by xG (1.37 vs 0.22).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
16
F. Muslera
G
F. Muslera
G
13
G. Benedetti
87'
D
G. Benedetti
87'
D
14
L. González
D
L. González
D
4
S. Núñez
D
S. Núñez
D
20
E. Meza
D
E. Meza
D
18
E. Cetré
63'
M
E. Cetré
63'
M
21
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
88'
M
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
88'
M
32
M. Amondarain
1 ⚽
M
M. Amondarain
1 ⚽
M
29
F. Pérez Escudero
53'
M
F. Pérez Escudero
53'
M
9
G. Carrillo
F
G. Carrillo
F
11
F. Farías
63'
F
F. Farías
63'
F
Bench
22
A. Castro
8'
M
A. Castro
8'
M
19
A. Gaich
F
A. Gaich
F
28
B. Aguirre
43'
F
B. Aguirre
43'
F
40
E. Mancuso
D
E. Mancuso
D
1
F. Iacovich
G
F. Iacovich
G
8
G. Neves
M
G. Neves
M
17
J. Burgos
33'
F
J. Burgos
33'
F
36
Joaquin Pereyra
D
Joaquin Pereyra
D
7
J. Sosa
9'
M
J. Sosa
9'
M
27
L. Alario
33'
F
L. Alario
33'
F
26
Ramiro Funes Mori
D
Ramiro Funes Mori
D
35
V. Pierani
D
V. Pierani
D
25
E. Chaux
G
E. Chaux
G
18
F. Fabra
82'
D
F. Fabra
82'
D
33
D. Londoño
D
D. Londoño
D
24
José Ortiz
D
José Ortiz
D
2
L. Chaverra
D
L. Chaverra
D
6
D. Moreno
M
D. Moreno
M
16
H. Loboa
M
H. Loboa
M
14
B. Perlaza
M
B. Perlaza
M
13
F. Chaverra
56'
F
F. Chaverra
56'
F
19
F. Fydriszewski
F
F. Fydriszewski
F
11
Y. González
56'
F
Y. González
56'
F
Bench
45
Alan Valdelamar
D
Alan Valdelamar
D
8
Alexis Serna
M
Alexis Serna
M
28
Andrés Dávila
F
Andrés Dávila
F
10
Daniel Cataño
M
Daniel Cataño
M
26
E. Mena
40'
M
E. Mena
40'
M
30
H. Palacios
40'
D
H. Palacios
40'
D
20
J. Montaño
F
J. Montaño
F
88
Juan Viveros
D
Juan Viveros
D
5
L. Escorcia
14'
D
L. Escorcia
14'
D
23
Málcom Palacios
D
Málcom Palacios
D
1
S. Ichazo
G
S. Ichazo
G
Best on the pitch
S. Núñez
D · Estudiantes
7.60
1 shots
· 83 pass
E. Chaux
G · Independiente
7.60
· 30 pass
E. Meza
D · Estudiantes
7.30
· 26 pass
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
M · Estudiantes
7.30
1 shots
· 66 pass
M. Amondarain
M · Estudiantes
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 48 pass
A. Castro
M · Estudiantes
7.30
· 3 pass
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Muslera | G | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | — | — | — |
| G. Benedetti | D | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| L. González | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Núñez | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 83 | 71% | — | — | — |
| E. Meza | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Cetré | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Ezequiel Piovi | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Amondarain | M | 96 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 48 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Pérez Escudero | M | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Carrillo | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Farías | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Castro | M | 8 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| B. Aguirre | F | 43 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Burgos | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Sosa | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Alario | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Chaux | G | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Fabra | D | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Londoño | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 6% | — | — | — |
| José Ortiz | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| L. Chaverra | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Moreno | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Loboa | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Perlaza | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Chaverra | F | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Fydriszewski | F | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. González | F | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Mena | M | 40 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 40 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Escorcia | D | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente Medellin?
The final score was Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Independiente Medellin.
What did the model predict before Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente Medellin?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Estudiantes L.P. win, 31% to a draw, and 18% to an Independiente Medellin win.