Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 27, 2026 02:30
M. Amondarain
90'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estudiantes L.P. a 49% win probability (draw 31%, Independiente Medellin 18%). The final result was Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Independiente Medellin. In 1 previous meetings, Estudiantes L.P. have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Independiente Medellin.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
1
1.37
Actual xG
0.22
1
Saves
7
72%
Possession
28%
9
Corners
5
16
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
34'
F. Fydriszewski
G. Carrillo
34'
52'
E. Chaux
Perez Fabricio
/ B. Aguirre
53'
56'
E. Mena Perea
/
F. Chaverra
56'
H. Palacios
/
Yony Gonzalez
F. Farias
/ L. Alario
63'
E. Cetre
/ J. Burgos
63'
82'
L. Escorcia
/
F. Fabra
L. Piovi
/ A. Castro
87'
G. Benedetti
/ J. Sosa
88'
⚽M. Amondarain
90'+3
F. Muslera
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
49.62%
Estudiantes ←
31.58%
X
18.8%
Independiente
we assigned to the actual result (Estudiantes L.P.)
49.62%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.08
1.37
+0.29
0.54
0.22
-0.32
Estudiantes L.P. dominated by xG (1.37 vs 0.22).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
16
Fernando Muslera
G
Fernando Muslera
G
13
Gastón Benedetti
87'
D
Gastón Benedetti
87'
D
14
L. González
D
L. González
D
4
Santiago Núñez
D
Santiago Núñez
D
20
Eric Meza
D
Eric Meza
D
18
Edwuin Cetré
63'
M
Edwuin Cetré
63'
M
21
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
88'
M
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
88'
M
32
M. Amondarain
1 ⚽
M
M. Amondarain
1 ⚽
M
29
Fabricio Pérez
53'
M
Fabricio Pérez
53'
M
9
Guido Carrillo
F
Guido Carrillo
F
11
Facundo Farías
63'
F
Facundo Farías
63'
F
Bench
19
Adolfo Gaich
F
Adolfo Gaich
F
22
Alexis Castro
8'
M
Alexis Castro
8'
M
28
Brian Aguirre
43'
F
Brian Aguirre
43'
F
40
Eros Mancuso
D
Eros Mancuso
D
1
Fabricio Iacovich
G
Fabricio Iacovich
G
8
Gabriel Neves
M
Gabriel Neves
M
36
Joaquin Pereyra
D
Joaquin Pereyra
D
17
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
33'
F
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
33'
F
7
J. Sosa
9'
M
J. Sosa
9'
M
27
Lucas Alario
33'
F
Lucas Alario
33'
F
26
Ramiro Funes Mori
D
Ramiro Funes Mori
D
35
Valente Pierani
D
Valente Pierani
D
25
Eder Chaux
G
Eder Chaux
G
18
F. Fabra
82'
D
F. Fabra
82'
D
33
Daniel Londoño
D
Daniel Londoño
D
24
José Ortiz
D
José Ortiz
D
2
Léyser Chaverra
D
Léyser Chaverra
D
6
Didier Moreno
M
Didier Moreno
M
16
Halam Loboa
M
Halam Loboa
M
14
Baldomero Perlaza
M
Baldomero Perlaza
M
13
F. Chaverra
56'
F
F. Chaverra
56'
F
19
F. Fydriszewski
F
F. Fydriszewski
F
11
Y. González
56'
F
Y. González
56'
F
Bench
45
Alan Valdelamar
D
Alan Valdelamar
D
8
Alexis Serna
M
Alexis Serna
M
28
Andrés Dávila
F
Andrés Dávila
F
10
Daniel Cataño
M
Daniel Cataño
M
26
Esneyder Mena
40'
M
Esneyder Mena
40'
M
30
Hayen Palacios
40'
D
Hayen Palacios
40'
D
20
John Edwin Montaño
F
John Edwin Montaño
F
88
Juan Viveros
D
Juan Viveros
D
5
Luis Escorcia
14'
D
Luis Escorcia
14'
D
23
Málcom Palacios
D
Málcom Palacios
D
1
Salvador Ichazo
G
Salvador Ichazo
G
Best on the pitch
Santiago Núñez
D · Estudiantes
7.60
1 shots
· 83 pass
Eder Chaux
G · Independiente
7.60
· 30 pass
Eric Meza
D · Estudiantes
7.30
· 26 pass
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
M · Estudiantes
7.30
1 shots
· 66 pass
M. Amondarain
M · Estudiantes
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 48 pass
Alexis Castro
M · Estudiantes
7.30
· 3 pass
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Muslera | G | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Gastón Benedetti | D | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| L. González | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| Santiago Núñez | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 83 | 71% | — | — | — |
| Eric Meza | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Edwuin Cetré | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Ezequiel Piovi | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Amondarain | M | 96 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 48 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabricio Pérez | M | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Guido Carrillo | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Facundo Farías | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexis Castro | M | 8 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Brian Aguirre | F | 43 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquín Tobio Burgos | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Sosa | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Alario | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eder Chaux | G | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Fabra | D | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Londoño | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 6% | — | — | — |
| José Ortiz | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Léyser Chaverra | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Didier Moreno | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Halam Loboa | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Baldomero Perlaza | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Chaverra | F | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Fydriszewski | F | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. González | F | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Esneyder Mena | M | 40 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Hayen Palacios | D | 40 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Luis Escorcia | D | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente Medellin?
The final score was Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Independiente Medellin.
What did the model predict before Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente Medellin?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Estudiantes L.P. win, 31% to a draw, and 18% to an Independiente Medellin win.