Liga Profesional
· Apertura - Round of 16
May 10, 2026 22:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Estudiantes L.P., result Racing Club wins
89'
(ast. G. Rojas)
S. Sosa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estudiantes L.P. a 59% win probability (draw 24%, Racing Club 16%). The final result was Estudiantes L.P. 0–1 Racing Club.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
2
0.82
Actual xG
0.98
1
Saves
4
48%
Possession
52%
1
Corners
4
15
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
28'
B. Zuculini
/
A. Forneris
L. Piovi
38'
40'
M. Zaracho
46'
A. Fernandez
Gabriel Neves
/ A. Castro
56'
66'
72'
B. Zuculini
78'
M. Miljevic
/
A. Fernandez
79'
S. Solari
/
M. Zaracho
F. Farias
/ B. Aguirre
79'
G. Carrillo
/ A. Gaich
79'
84'
M. Di Cesare
89'
ast. G. Rojas ·
S. Sosa⚽
90'+1
F. Pardo
/
M. Rojo
90'+2
I. Rodriguez
/
T. Conechny
T. Palacios
90'+2
L. Piovi
/ J. Sosa
90'+2
E. Mancuso
/ L. Alario
90'+3
90'+5
G. Rojas
Pre-match prediction
59.57%
Estudiantes
24.34%
X
16.09%
Racing ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Racing Club)
16.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.59
0.82
-0.77
0.56
0.98
+0.42
xG dominance was balanced (0.82 – 0.98).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
F. Muslera
G
F. Muslera
G
24
T. Palacios
D
T. Palacios
D
14
L. González
D
L. González
D
4
S. Núñez
D
S. Núñez
D
40
E. Mancuso
89'
D
E. Mancuso
89'
D
21
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
89'
M
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
89'
M
18
E. Cetré
M
E. Cetré
M
8
G. Neves
56'
M
G. Neves
56'
M
11
F. Farías
79'
M
F. Farías
79'
M
32
M. Amondarain
M
M. Amondarain
M
9
G. Carrillo
79'
F
G. Carrillo
79'
F
Bench
22
A. Castro
34'
M
A. Castro
34'
M
19
A. Gaich
11'
F
A. Gaich
11'
F
28
B. Aguirre
11'
F
B. Aguirre
11'
F
1
F. Iacovich
G
F. Iacovich
G
29
F. Pérez Escudero
F
F. Pérez Escudero
F
13
G. Benedetti
D
G. Benedetti
D
36
J. Pereyra
D
J. Pereyra
D
7
J. Sosa
1'
M
J. Sosa
1'
M
27
L. Alario
1'
F
L. Alario
1'
F
39
L. Cornejo
M
L. Cornejo
M
26
R. Funes Mori
D
R. Funes Mori
D
35
V. Pierani
D
V. Pierani
D
25
F. Cambeses
G
F. Cambeses
G
27
Gabriel Rojas
1 👟
D
Gabriel Rojas
1 👟
D
6
M. Rojo
89'
D
M. Rojo
89'
D
3
M. Di Cesare
D
M. Di Cesare
D
15
G. Martirena
D
13
Santiago Sosa
1 ⚽
M
Santiago Sosa
1 ⚽
M
24
A. Fernández
78'
M
A. Fernández
78'
M
8
Alan Forneris
28'
M
Alan Forneris
28'
M
11
M. Zaracho
79'
M
M. Zaracho
79'
M
17
T. Conechny
89'
F
T. Conechny
89'
F
9
A. Martínez
F
A. Martínez
F
Bench
2
A. García
D
A. García
D
36
B. Zuculini
62'
M
7
D. Vergara
F
D. Vergara
F
18
F. Pardo
1'
D
F. Pardo
1'
D
44
G. Sosa
M
19
I. Rodríguez
1'
M
I. Rodríguez
1'
M
10
M. Miljevic
12'
M
M. Miljevic
12'
M
30
M. Tagliamonte
G
M. Tagliamonte
G
23
N. Colombo
D
N. Colombo
D
28
S. Solari
11'
F
S. Solari
11'
F
58
T. Pérez
F
T. Pérez
F
34
T. Rubio
D
T. Rubio
D
Best on the pitch
Santiago Sosa
M · Racing
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 48 pass
M. Rojo
D · Racing
7.50
· 44 pass
Gabriel Rojas
D · Racing
7.50
1 👟
· 31 pass
F. Cambeses
G · Racing
7.50
· 39 pass
T. Palacios
D · Estudiantes
7.30
· 39 pass
M. Di Cesare
D · Racing
7.30
· 42 pass
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Muslera | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
| T. Palacios | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. González | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| S. Núñez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Mancuso | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Ezequiel Piovi | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Cetré | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Neves | M | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Farías | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Amondarain | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| G. Carrillo | F | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Castro | M | 34 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Gaich | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| B. Aguirre | F | 11 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Sosa | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Alario | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Racing Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cambeses | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Rojas | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Rojo | D | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Di Cesare | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Martirena | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Sosa | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Fernández | M | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alan Forneris | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Zaracho | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 18% | 4 | 1 | — |
| T. Conechny | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Martínez | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| B. Zuculini | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 3 | 1 | — |
| F. Pardo | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| I. Rodríguez | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Miljevic | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| S. Solari | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estudiantes L.P. vs Racing Club?
The final score was Estudiantes L.P. 0–1 Racing Club.
What did the model predict before Estudiantes L.P. vs Racing Club?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Estudiantes L.P. win, 24% to a draw, and 16% to an Racing Club win.