Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 13
October 18, 2026 23:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Estudiantes L.P., result San Lorenzo wins
Edwuin Cetre
14'
(pen.)
44'
(ast. Agustín Ladstatter)
Guzman corujo
90'+5
(ast. Enzo Alan Salas)
Facundo Gulli
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estudiantes L.P. a 68% win probability (draw 17%, San Lorenzo 14%). The final result was Estudiantes L.P. 1–2 San Lorenzo. In 1 previous meetings, Estudiantes L.P. have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for San Lorenzo.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
6
1.02
Actual xG
0.94
4
Saves
1
65%
Possession
35%
6
Corners
5
12
Tackles
25
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
10'
12'
José Devecchi
⚽Edwuin Cetre
(pen.)
14'
Gastón Benedetti
30'
Miguel Monsalve
32'
36'
Guzman corujo
44'
ast. Agustín Ladstatter ·
Guzman corujo⚽
58'
Enzo Alan Salas
/
Agustín Ladstatter
Joaquín Correa
/ Tiago Palacios
60'
Tiago Tomas Palacios
/ Eros Nazareno Mancuso
60'
José Sosa
/ Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez
61'
Miguel Monsalve
/ Guido Carrillo
72'
Bautista Kociubinski
75'
Guido Carrillo
77'
Lucas Alario
/ Adolfo Gaich
80'
81'
Martín Rio
/
Facundo Farías
83'
Martín Rio
Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez
83'
87'
Gustavo Del Prete
/
Rodrigo Auzmendi
90'+5
ast. Enzo Alan Salas ·
Facundo Gulli⚽
Pre-match prediction
68.55%
Estudiantes
17.26%
X
14.19%
San ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (San Lorenzo)
14.19%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.97
1.02
-1.95
1.03
0.94
-0.09
xG dominance was balanced (1.02 – 0.94).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
F. Iacovich
G
F. Iacovich
G
13
G. Benedetti
D
G. Benedetti
D
24
T. Palacios
60'
D
T. Palacios
60'
D
5
M. Rojo
D
M. Rojo
D
14
L. González
D
L. González
D
52
B. Kociubinski
M
B. Kociubinski
M
7
J. Sosa
61'
M
J. Sosa
61'
M
32
J. Correa
60'
M
J. Correa
60'
M
34
M. Monsalve
72'
M
M. Monsalve
72'
M
18
E. Cetré
1 ⚽
M
E. Cetré
1 ⚽
M
27
L. Alario
80'
F
L. Alario
80'
F
Bench
19
A. Gaich
10'
F
A. Gaich
10'
F
28
B. Aguirre
F
B. Aguirre
F
31
B. Gallego
29'
M
B. Gallego
29'
M
40
E. Mancuso
30'
D
E. Mancuso
30'
D
29
F. Pérez Escudero
F
F. Pérez Escudero
F
9
G. Carrillo
18'
F
G. Carrillo
18'
F
17
J. Burgos
F
J. Burgos
F
21
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
M
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
M
12
R. Borzone
G
R. Borzone
G
15
S. Arzamendia
D
S. Arzamendia
D
4
S. Núñez
D
S. Núñez
D
10
T. Palacios
30'
M
T. Palacios
30'
M
25
J. Devecchi
G
J. Devecchi
G
19
E. Amor
D
E. Amor
D
2
D. Arboleda
D
D. Arboleda
D
16
G. Corujo
1 ⚽
D
G. Corujo
1 ⚽
D
3
T. Rodríguez
M
T. Rodríguez
M
10
Facundo Gulli
1 ⚽
M
Facundo Gulli
1 ⚽
M
24
N. Tripichio
M
N. Tripichio
M
32
E. Herrera
M
E. Herrera
M
38
F. Farías
81'
M
F. Farías
81'
M
29
R. Auzmendi
87'
F
R. Auzmendi
87'
F
14
A. Ladstatter
1 👟
58'
F
A. Ladstatter
1 👟
58'
F
Bench
35
A. Cordoba
D
A. Cordoba
D
20
F. Altamirano
G
F. Altamirano
G
42
F. Lorenzón
D
F. Lorenzón
D
62
G. Alassia
M
G. Alassia
M
21
G. del Prete
3'
F
G. del Prete
3'
F
6
M. de Ritis
D
M. de Ritis
D
8
M. Insaurralde
M
M. Insaurralde
M
27
M. Río
9'
M
M. Río
9'
M
30
O. Arias
D
O. Arias
D
Best on the pitch
Facundo Gulli
M · San
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
A. Ladstatter
F · San
7.33
1 👟
· 17 pass
F. Iacovich
G · Estudiantes
7.04
· 19 pass
E. Cetré
M · Estudiantes
6.81
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
J. Sosa
M · Estudiantes
6.71
· 50 pass
G. Corujo
D · San
6.66
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Iacovich | G | 90 | 7.04 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Benedetti | D | 90 | 5.39 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 21% | 0 | 1 | — |
| T. Palacios | D | 60 | 5.78 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Rojo | D | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 57 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| L. González | D | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Kociubinski | M | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 79 | 64% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Sosa | M | 61 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Correa | M | 60 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Monsalve | M | 72 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 25% | 0 | 1 | — |
| E. Cetré | M | 90 | 6.81 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Alario | F | 80 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Gaich | F | 10 | 6.35 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Gallego | M | 29 | 6.43 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Mancuso | D | 30 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Carrillo | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | 0 | 1 | — |
| T. Palacios | M | 30 | 6.04 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
San Lorenzo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Devecchi | G | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
| E. Amor | D | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Arboleda | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Corujo | D | 90 | 6.66 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Facundo Gulli | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Tripichio | M | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 36% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Herrera | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Farías | M | 81 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Auzmendi | F | 87 | 6.28 | — | — | 5 | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ladstatter | F | 58 | 7.33 | — | 1 | 0 | 17 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| G. del Prete | F | 3 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Río | M | 9 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo?
The final score was Estudiantes L.P. 1–2 San Lorenzo.
What did the model predict before Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Estudiantes L.P. win, 17% to a draw, and 14% to an San Lorenzo win.