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Estudiantes L.P. - U. Catolica

Copa Libertadores August 11, 2026 22:00
Estudiantes L.P.
#2 · 9 pts
vs
U. Catolica
#1 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.0%
Win
Estudiantes L.P.
26.36%
Draw
33.64%
Win
U. Catolica
2.52
Expected xG
2.19

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.87%)
1X2 Result ✓ 70.6% hit rate (17 picks)
1 40%
X 26%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 60%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 67%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Estudiantes L.P. a 40% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 33% for U. Catolica. Expected goals are 2.5 for Estudiantes L.P. and 2.2 for U. Catolica (total 4.7), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.87% probability.

Season Stats

Estudiantes L.P.
2W 3D 1L
U. Catolica
4W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.3
0.8
Conceded
0.7
5.0
Shots OT
4.7
5.0
Corners
4.7
48%
Poss.
46%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
17%
O 2.5
50%
67%
BTTS
50%
17%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
Estudiantes L.P.
2W 1D 0L · at home
U. Catolica
3W 0D 0L · away
1.3
gls/g
1.7
0.7
Conceded
0.7
67%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Estudiantes L.P. U. Catolica →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
1 2.3% 5.0% 5.5% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9%
2 2.9% 6.3% 6.9% 5.0% 2.7% 1.2%
3 2.4% 5.3% 5.8% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.5% 3.3% 3.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
5 0.8% 1.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%

Recent form

Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
W Independiente Medellin 1–0
L Flamengo 1–0
D Cusco 1–1
D Flamengo 1–1
W Cusco 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
U. Catolica U. Catolica
W Boca Juniors 0–1
W Barcelona SC 2–0
D Cruzeiro 0–0
W Barcelona SC 1–2
W Cruzeiro 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
Attack
41
Defence
69
Form
54
U. Catolica U. Catolica
Attack
50
Defence
67
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica?
The model gives Estudiantes L.P. a 40% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 33% for an U. Catolica win.
How many goals are expected in Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica?
Expected goals: Estudiantes L.P. 2.5, U. Catolica 2.2 (total 4.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.87%.