Copa Libertadores
· Round of 16
August 12, 2026 02:30
J. Burgos
4'
80'
(ast. J. Giani)
F. Zampedri
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estudiantes L.P. a 46% win probability (draw 26%, U. Catolica 26%). The final result was Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 U. Catolica. In 1 previous meetings, Estudiantes L.P. have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for U. Catolica.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
1
1.32
Actual xG
0.10
0
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
11
Corners
1
25
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Burgos
4'
9'
F. Zampedri
Perez Fabricio
/ J. Correa
61'
65'
D. Corral
/
E. Mena
T. Palacios
/ B. Rodriguez
67'
A. Castro
/ Gabriel Neves
67'
B. Rodriguez
74'
78'
C. Cuevas
80'
ast. J. Giani ·
F. Zampedri⚽
J. Burgos
/ B. Aguirre
85'
85'
A. Farias
/
B. Cerezo
85'
G. Medel
/
J. Valencia
T. Palacios
90'
Pre-match prediction
46.99%
Estudiantes
26.35%
X ←
26.66%
U.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.35%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.55
1.32
-1.23
1.60
0.10
-1.5
Estudiantes L.P. dominated by xG (1.32 vs 0.10).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
F. Muslera
G
F. Muslera
G
13
G. Benedetti
D
G. Benedetti
D
24
T. Palacios
D
T. Palacios
D
4
S. Núñez
D
S. Núñez
D
20
E. Meza
D
E. Meza
D
21
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
M
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
M
22
A. Castro
67'
M
A. Castro
67'
M
17
J. Burgos
1 ⚽
85'
M
J. Burgos
1 ⚽
85'
M
10
T. Palacios
67'
M
T. Palacios
67'
M
29
F. Pérez Escudero
61'
M
F. Pérez Escudero
61'
M
9
G. Carrillo
F
G. Carrillo
F
Bench
19
A. Gaich
F
A. Gaich
F
28
B. Aguirre
11'
F
B. Aguirre
11'
F
31
B. Gallego
29'
M
B. Gallego
29'
M
18
E. Cetré
F
E. Cetré
F
40
E. Mancuso
D
E. Mancuso
D
11
F. Farías
M
F. Farías
M
1
F. Iacovich
G
F. Iacovich
G
8
G. Neves
29'
M
G. Neves
29'
M
32
J. Correa
35'
F
J. Correa
35'
F
7
J. Sosa
M
J. Sosa
M
26
Ramiro Funes Mori
D
Ramiro Funes Mori
D
35
V. Pierani
D
V. Pierani
D
1
V. Bernedo
G
V. Bernedo
G
3
Eugenio Mena
64'
D
Eugenio Mena
64'
D
19
B. Ampuero
D
B. Ampuero
D
2
D. Gónzalez
D
D. Gónzalez
D
28
B. Cerezo
85'
D
B. Cerezo
85'
D
14
J. Martínez
M
J. Martínez
M
8
F. Zuqui
M
F. Zuqui
M
20
J. Valencia
85'
M
J. Valencia
85'
M
7
J. Giani
1 👟
M
J. Giani
1 👟
M
9
F. Zampedri
1 ⚽
F
F. Zampedri
1 ⚽
F
15
C. Cuevas
F
C. Cuevas
F
Bench
13
A. Canales
M
A. Canales
M
5
A. Farías
11'
M
A. Farías
11'
M
43
A. Perez
F
A. Perez
F
27
Darío Melo
G
Darío Melo
G
25
D. Corral
32'
F
D. Corral
32'
F
12
Francisco Antonio Valdés Rios
G
Francisco Antonio Valdés Rios
G
34
Francisco Daza
D
Francisco Daza
D
17
Gary Medel
11'
D
Gary Medel
11'
D
22
Martín Gómez
M
Martín Gómez
M
10
M. Palavecino
M
M. Palavecino
M
39
N. L’Huillier
D
N. L’Huillier
D
42
N. Pino
F
N. Pino
F
Best on the pitch
J. Burgos
M · Estudiantes
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
G. Carrillo
F · Estudiantes
7.30
2 shots
· 24 pass
T. Palacios
M · Estudiantes
7.30
1 shots
· 19 pass
V. Bernedo
G · U.
7.20
· 32 pass
A. Castro
M · Estudiantes
7.20
· 16 pass
F. Zampedri
F · U.
7.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 6 pass
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Muslera | G | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| G. Benedetti | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| T. Palacios | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 37% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Núñez | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| E. Meza | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ezequiel Piovi | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Castro | M | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 7 | — | — |
| J. Burgos | M | 85 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Palacios | M | 67 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Pérez Escudero | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Carrillo | F | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 13% | — | — | — |
| B. Aguirre | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| B. Gallego | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Neves | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Correa | F | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
U. Catolica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Bernedo | G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Eugenio Mena | D | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Ampuero | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| D. Gónzalez | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Cerezo | D | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Martínez | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — |
| F. Zuqui | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Valencia | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Giani | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Zampedri | F | 96 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Cuevas | F | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Farías | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Corral | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Gary Medel | D | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica?
The final score was Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 U. Catolica.
What did the model predict before Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Estudiantes L.P. win, 26% to a draw, and 26% to an U. Catolica win.