Friendlies Internazionali
· Friendly International
June 09, 2026 17:00
B. Belay
42'
19'
B. Adepoju
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ethiopia a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Malawi 32%). The final result was Ethiopia 1–1 Malawi. In 1 previous meetings, Ethiopia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Malawi.
Match statistics
Match Events
19'
B. Adepoju⚽
⚽B. Belay
42'
Pre-match prediction
34.5%
Ethiopia
32.9%
X ←
32.6%
Malawi
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
—
—
0.60
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ethiopia vs Malawi?
The final score was Ethiopia 1–1 Malawi.
What did the model predict before Ethiopia vs Malawi?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Ethiopia win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Malawi win.