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Model wrong — prediction Étoile Carouge, result Draw
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Étoile Carouge a 64% win probability (draw 19%, Bellinzona 16%). The final result was Étoile Carouge 2–2 Bellinzona. In 3 previous meetings, Étoile Carouge have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bellinzona.

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
64.27%
Étoile
19.31%
X ←
16.42%
Bellinzona
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.31% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Étoile
2.35
Bellinzona
1.03
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 8 20
2 FC Winterthur FC Winterthur 8 15
3 Yverdon Sport Yverdon Sport 8 15
4 Neuchatel Xamax FC Neuchatel Xamax FC 8 12
5 FC Aarau FC Aarau 7 11
6 SC Kriens SC Kriens 7 10
7 Étoile Carouge Étoile Carouge 8 9
8 Rapperswil Rapperswil 8 7
9 FC WIL 1900 FC WIL 1900 8 6
10 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 8 2
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Étoile Carouge vs Bellinzona?
The final score was Étoile Carouge 2–2 Bellinzona.
What did the model predict before Étoile Carouge vs Bellinzona?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Étoile Carouge win, 19% to a draw, and 16% to an Bellinzona win.