Étoile Carouge - Neuchatel Xamax FC
Weather at kick-off
⛅
Partly cloudy
29.7°C
💨 9 km/h
· Carouge
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.2%
Win
Étoile Carouge
30.77%
Draw
34.03%
Win
Neuchatel Xamax FC
2.83
2.59
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.58%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
31%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
65%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
✓ 96.0% hit rate (25 picks)
Over 2.5
55%
✓ 80.0% hit rate (15 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Étoile Carouge a 35% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Neuchatel Xamax FC. Expected goals are 2.8 for Étoile Carouge and 2.6 for Neuchatel Xamax FC (total 5.4), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.58% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Étoile Carouge have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 4 wins for Neuchatel Xamax FC.
Season Stats
7W
4D
4L
7W
3D
5L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.8
1.3
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
67%
O 2.5
80%
53%
BTTS
73%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Challenge League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
3W
4D
3L
· at home
3W
2D
5L
· away
1.4
gls/g
1.3
1.4
Conceded
2.0
30%
Win %
30%
70%
Win or Draw
50%
90%
O 1.5
70%
70%
O 2.5
70%
30%
O 3.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Étoile Carouge
Neuchatel Xamax FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| 3 | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Étoile Carouge
Attack
25
Defence
38
Form
30
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Attack
35
Defence
34
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Neuchatel Xamax FC
|
2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Étoile Carouge
|
2 | 4 |
| 3 |
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
|
2 | 4 |
| 4 |
SC Kriens
|
2 | 3 |
| 5 |
FC WIL 1900
|
2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Rapperswil
|
2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Yverdon Sport
|
2 | 2 |
| 8 |
FC Winterthur
|
2 | 1 |
| 9 |
FC Aarau
|
2 | 1 |
| 10 |
Stade Nyonnais
|
2 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Étoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
The model gives Étoile Carouge a 35% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 34% for an Neuchatel Xamax FC win.
How many goals are expected in Étoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
Expected goals: Étoile Carouge 2.8, Neuchatel Xamax FC 2.6 (total 5.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Étoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.58%.