Everton de Vina 3–2 D. La Serena — pre-match prediction — Primera División — October 11, 2026

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Primera División · Regular Season - 24 October 11, 2026 17:30 Sausalito, Vina del Mar

Everton de Vina

#4 · 39 pts

3 – 2

Final score

D. La Serena

#9 · 33 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Everton de Vina

Julian Alfaro (ast. Benjamín Berríos) 28'

Braian Aaron Martínez 78' (pen.)

Alan Medina 89' (pen.)

10' Felipe Chamorro

56' (ast. G. Figueroa) Matías Marín

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Everton de Vina a 70% win probability (draw 15%, D. La Serena 13%). The final result was Everton de Vina 3–2 D. La Serena. In 1 previous meetings, Everton de Vina have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for D. La Serena.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.27

Actual xG

1.20

Saves

60%

Possession

40%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

10'

Felipe Chamorro⚽

14'

Felipe Chamorro

⚽Julian Alfaro · ast. Benjamín Berríos

28'

32'

Felipe Alejandro Gutiérrez Leiva

Nicolás Baeza

33'

37'

F. Dinamarca

47'

Lucas Alarcon

54'

Gonzalo Escalante / Felipe Chamorro ↕

56'

ast. G. Figueroa · Matías Marín⚽

63'

Bruno Gutierrez

66'

Diego Rubio / Jeisson Vargas ↕

↕ Cristian Palacios / Josué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda

69'

↕ Emiliano Ramos / Braian Aaron Martínez

69'

75'

⚽Braian Aaron Martínez (pen.)

78'

↕ Nicolás Baeza / Vicente Fernández

81'

82'

Alexander Oroz / G. Figueroa ↕

82'

Sebastián Díaz / Matías Marín ↕

Lucas Soto

83'

↕ Valentin Vidal / Gustavo Charrupi

86'

↕ Lucas Soto / Óscar Opazo

86'

⚽Alan Medina (pen.)

89'

90'+1

Franco ian rasso

Ignacio González

90'+1

90'+9

Bruno Gutierrez

Pre-match prediction

70.9%

Everton ←

15.47%

13.64%

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Everton de Vina) 70.9% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Everton

2.61

2.27

-0.34

0.88

1.20

+0.32

Everton de Vina dominated by xG (2.27 vs 1.20). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Colo Colo	26	58
2	Universidad de Chile	25	48
3	U. Catolica	25	43
4	Everton de Vina	25	39
5	Palestino	25	38
6	Deportes Limache	25	37
7	Coquimbo Unido	25	35
8	Nublense	25	35
9	D. La Serena	25	33
10	Concepción	25	32
11	Huachipato	24	32
12	A. Italiano	25	30
13	O'Higgins	25	28
14	Cobresal	25	26
15	Universidad de Concepcion	26	23
16	Union La Calera	26	21

Lineups

Everton de Vina 4-4-1-1

I. González G 6.81

N. Baeza 81' D 6.24

D. Oyarzún D 6.93

V. Vidal 86' D 6.85

L. Soto 86' D 5.31

E. Ramos 69' M 6.25

J. Moya M 6.49

B. Berríos 1 👟 M 7.16

J. Alfaro 1 ⚽ M 7.23

A. Medina 1 ⚽ M 7.69

C. Palacios 69' F 6.44

Bench

A. Leon M 0.00

B. Martínez 1 ⚽ 21' F 7.80

E. Kirkman G 0.00

G. CharrupÃ 4' F 6.51

H. Magallanes D 0.00

J. Ovalle 21' M 5.97

Ó. Opazo 4' D 5.95

R. González D 0.00

V. Fernández 9' D 5.75

D. La Serena 3-4-3

J. Tapia G 5.61

R. Delgado D 6.00

L. Alarcón D 5.98

I. Rasso D 5.76

F. Dinamarca M 5.74

F. Mac Allister M 6.24

F. Chamorro 1 ⚽ 54' M 6.36

B. Gutiérrez M 5.90

J. Vargas 66' F 5.94

G. Figueroa 1 👟 82' F 6.56

M. Marín 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.00

Bench

Á. Henríquez F 0.00

A. Oroz 8' F 6.55

D. Rubio 24' F 6.53

F. Lanzillota G 0.00

G. Escalante 36' M 5.39

J. Gutiérrez D 0.00

M. Pinto D 0.00

S. Diaz 8' M 5.83

Y. Salazar M 0.00

Best on the pitch

B. Martínez

F · Everton

7.80

1 ⚽

2 shots · 9 pass

A. Medina

M · Everton

7.69

1 ⚽

6 shots · 44 pass

J. Alfaro

M · Everton

7.23

1 ⚽

1 shots · 33 pass

B. Berríos

M · Everton

7.16

1 👟

1 shots · 54 pass

M. Marín

F · D.

7.00

1 ⚽

1 shots · 17 pass

D. Oyarzún

D · Everton

6.93

· 50 pass

Everton de Vina — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
I. González	G	90	6.81	—	—	0	20	15%	0	1	—
N. Baeza	D	81	6.24	—	—	0	37	30%	0	1	—
D. Oyarzún	D	90	6.93	—	—	0	50	43%	0	—	—
V. Vidal	D	86	6.85	—	—	0	39	36%	2	—	—
L. Soto	D	86	5.31	—	—	2	51	33%	2	1	—
E. Ramos	M	69	6.25	—	—	0	9	9%	3	—	—
J. Moya	M	90	6.49	—	—	0	41	37%	3	—	—
B. Berríos	M	90	7.16	—	1	1	54	47%	2	—	—
J. Alfaro	M	90	7.23	1	—	1	33	26%	0	—	—
A. Medina	M	90	7.69	1	—	6	44	40%	6	—	—
C. Palacios	F	69	6.44	—	—	2	12	9%	0	—	—
B. Martínez	F	21	7.80	1	—	2	9	8%	0	—	—
G. CharrupÃ	F	4	6.51	—	—	0	5	5%	0	—	—
J. Ovalle	M	21	5.97	—	—	0	6	4%	0	—	—
Ó. Opazo	D	4	5.95	—	—	0	5	4%	0	—	—
V. Fernández	D	9	5.75	—	—	0	4	2%	0	—	—

D. La Serena — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Tapia	G	90	5.61	—	—	0	23	14%	0	—	—
R. Delgado	D	90	6.00	—	—	1	36	24%	3	—	—
L. Alarcón	D	90	5.98	—	—	0	22	19%	1	1	—
I. Rasso	D	90	5.76	—	—	0	26	20%	0	1	—
F. Dinamarca	M	90	5.74	—	—	0	14	10%	5	1	—
F. Mac Allister	M	90	6.24	—	—	1	36	31%	0	—	—
F. Chamorro	M	54	6.36	1	—	1	21	11%	2	1	—
B. Gutiérrez	M	99	5.90	—	—	2	20	17%	1	—	1
J. Vargas	F	66	5.94	—	—	1	15	10%	0	—	—
G. Figueroa	F	82	6.56	—	1	1	14	8%	1	—	—
M. Marín	F	82	7.00	1	—	1	17	14%	0	—	—
A. Oroz	F	8	6.55	—	—	0	4	3%	1	—	—
D. Rubio	F	24	6.53	—	—	1	11	8%	1	—	—
G. Escalante	M	36	5.39	—	—	0	18	13%	1	—	—
S. Diaz	M	8	5.83	—	—	0	10	10%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena?

The final score was Everton de Vina 3–2 D. La Serena.

What did the model predict before Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena?

The model assigned 70% probability to a Everton de Vina win, 15% to a draw, and 13% to an D. La Serena win.