Premier League
· Regular Season - 31
March 21, 2026 19:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Everton a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Chelsea 32%). The final result was Everton 3–0 Chelsea. In 1 previous meetings, Everton have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chelsea.
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
4
1.05
Actual xG
1.11
36%
Possession
64%
3
Corners
9
Pre-match prediction
40.29%
Everton ←
27.49%
X
32.22%
Chelsea
we assigned to the actual result (Everton)
40.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
1.05
-0.42
1.40
1.11
-0.28
xG dominance was balanced (1.05 – 1.11).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Everton vs Chelsea?
The final score was Everton 3–0 Chelsea.
What did the model predict before Everton vs Chelsea?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Everton win, 27% to a draw, and 32% to an Chelsea win.