Premier League · Regular Season - 31 March 21, 2026 18:30 Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool

Everton

#11 · 10 pts

3 – 0

Final score

Chelsea

#5 · 13 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Everton a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Chelsea 32%). The final result was Everton 3–0 Chelsea. In 2 previous meetings, Everton have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Chelsea.

Match statistics

9

Shots on target

4

1.05

Actual xG

1.11

36%

Possession

64%

3

Corners

9

Pre-match prediction

40.29%

Everton ←

27.49%

X

32.22%

Chelsea

we assigned to the actual result (Everton) 40.29% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Everton

1.47

1.05

-0.42

Chelsea

1.40

1.11

-0.28

xG dominance was balanced (1.05 – 1.11). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Manchester City	8	21
2	Arsenal	8	21
3	Brighton	8	16
4	Liverpool	8	15
5	Chelsea	8	13
6	Brentford	8	11
7	Leeds	8	11
8	Newcastle	8	11
9	Aston Villa	8	11
10	Hull City	8	10
11	Everton	8	10
12	Ipswich	8	10
13	Bournemouth	8	9
14	Tottenham	8	9
15	Fulham	8	8
16	Manchester United	8	7
17	Crystal Palace	8	7
18	Nottingham Forest	8	6
19	Coventry	8	6
20	Sunderland	8	5