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Premier League · Regular Season - 7 October 17, 2026 13:30 Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Everton
#11 · 10 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Chelsea
#5 · 13 pts
46' Pedro Neto
90' Pedro Neto
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Everton a 39% win probability (draw 28%, Chelsea 32%). The final result was Everton 0–2 Chelsea. In 2 previous meetings, Everton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chelsea.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
18
5
Shots on target
7
0.54
Actual xG
1.59
4
Saves
5
47%
Possession
53%
5
Corners
7
7
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Harrison Armstrong
23'
27'
Pedro Neto
32'
Josh Acheampong
James Tarkowski
34'
34'
Morgan Rogers
46'
Pedro Neto⚽
↕ Ainsley Maitland-Niles / Tyrique George
55'
65'
Cole Palmer
75'
Mike Penders / Emiliano Martínez ↕
↕ Harrison Armstrong / Christian Nørgaard
85'
↕ Jack Grealish / Brennan Johnson
85'
Christian Nørgaard
89'
90'+2
Danny Welbeck / João Pedro ↕
90'+2
Marco Palestra / Jorrel Hato ↕
90'+2
Romeo Lavia / Moises Caicedo ↕
90'+12
Geovany Quenda / Pedro Neto ↕
90'
Pedro Neto⚽
Pre-match prediction
39.07%
Everton
28.11%
X
32.82%
Chelsea ←
we assigned to the actual result (Chelsea) 32.82% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Everton
1.88
0.54
-1.34
Chelsea
1.30
1.59
+0.29
Chelsea dominated by xG (1.59 vs 0.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Everton Everton 4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford J. Pickford G 6.58
16 V. Mykolenko V. Mykolenko D 7.05
4 J. Branthwaite J. Branthwaite D 6.62
6 J. Tarkowski J. Tarkowski D 5.92
2 A. Maitland-Niles A. Maitland-Niles 55' D 6.03
37 J. Garner J. Garner M 6.48
45 H. Armstrong H. Armstrong 85' M 5.73
10 J. Grealish J. Grealish 85' M 6.49
8 K. Dewsbury-Hall K. Dewsbury-Hall M 6.38
34 M. Röhl M. Röhl M 6.33
11 T. Barry T. Barry F 6.41
Bench
58 B. Graham B. Graham F 0.00
22 B. Johnson B. Johnson 5' F 6.07
24 C. Alcaraz C. Alcaraz M 0.00
23 C. Nørgaard C. Nørgaard 5' M 5.85
30 H. Hackney H. Hackney M 0.00
15 J. O'Brien J. O'Brien D 0.00
12 M. Travers M. Travers G 0.00
20 T. Dibling T. Dibling F 0.00
19 Tyrique George Tyrique George 35' F 6.31
Chelsea Chelsea 4-2-3-1
1 E. Martínez E. Martínez 75' G 7.63
21 J. Hato J. Hato 89' D 7.51
6 L. Colwill L. Colwill D 7.06
5 M. Lacroix M. Lacroix D 7.62
34 Joshua Kofi Acheampong Joshua Kofi Acheampong D 7.03
14 J. Henderson J. Henderson M 7.07
25 M. Caicedo M. Caicedo 89' M 7.20
17 M. Rogers M. Rogers M 6.76
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer M 7.30
7 Pedro Neto Pedro Neto 2 ⚽ M 9.66
9 João Pedro João Pedro 89' F 6.42
Bench
18 D. Welbeck D. Welbeck 1' F 0.00
41 Estêvão Estêvão F 0.00
23 Geovany Tcherno Quenda Geovany Tcherno Quenda 1' M 0.00
32 M. Nicoll-Jazuli M. Nicoll-Jazuli M 0.00
2 M. Palestra M. Palestra 1' D 0.00
39 M. Penders M. Penders 15' G 7.17
45 R. Lavia R. Lavia 1' M 0.00
4 V. Barco V. Barco M 0.00
3 W. Fofana W. Fofana D 0.00
Best on the pitch
Pedro Neto
Pedro Neto
M · Chelsea
9.66
2 ⚽
3 shots · 32 pass
E. Martínez
E. Martínez
G · Chelsea
7.63
· 23 pass
M. Lacroix
M. Lacroix
D · Chelsea
7.62
1 shots · 42 pass
J. Hato
J. Hato
D · Chelsea
7.51
· 31 pass
C. Palmer
C. Palmer
M · Chelsea
7.30
6 shots · 35 pass
M. Caicedo
M. Caicedo
M · Chelsea
7.20
1 shots · 63 pass
Everton Everton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Pickford G 90 6.58 — — 0 33 18% 0 — —
V. Mykolenko D 90 7.05 — — 0 55 49% 1 — —
J. Branthwaite D 90 6.62 — — 1 51 45% 2 — —
J. Tarkowski D 90 5.92 — — 0 51 34% 1 1 —
A. Maitland-Niles D 55 6.03 — — 0 19 14% 0 — —
J. Garner M 90 6.48 — — 0 51 47% 1 — —
H. Armstrong M 85 5.73 — — 0 17 14% 1 1 —
J. Grealish M 85 6.49 — — 1 30 23% 0 — —
K. Dewsbury-Hall M 90 6.38 — — 0 36 30% 0 — —
M. Röhl M 90 6.33 — — 1 18 14% 1 — —
T. Barry F 90 6.41 — — 3 6 3% 0 — —
B. Johnson F 5 6.07 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
C. Nørgaard M 5 5.85 — — 0 10 8% 0 1 —
Tyrique George F 35 6.31 — — 0 25 24% 0 — —
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Martínez G 75 7.63 — — 0 23 13% 0 — —
J. Hato D 89 7.51 — — 0 31 27% 1 — —
L. Colwill D 90 7.06 — — 0 48 39% 0 — —
M. Lacroix D 90 7.62 — — 1 42 39% 1 — —
Joshua Kofi Acheampong D 90 7.03 — — 0 29 27% 3 1 —
J. Henderson M 90 7.07 — — 2 64 58% 0 — —
M. Caicedo M 89 7.20 — — 1 63 58% 0 — —
M. Rogers M 90 6.76 — — 2 42 36% 3 1 —
C. Palmer M 90 7.30 — — 6 35 31% 1 1 —
Pedro Neto M 102 9.66 2 — 3 32 27% 2 1 —
João Pedro F 89 6.42 — — 3 21 15% 1 — —
D. Welbeck F 1 0.00 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Geovany Tcherno Quenda M 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
M. Palestra D 1 0.00 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
M. Penders G 15 7.17 — — 0 12 5% 0 — —
R. Lavia M 1 0.00 — — 0 8 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Everton vs Chelsea?
The final score was Everton 0–2 Chelsea.
What did the model predict before Everton vs Chelsea?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Everton win, 28% to a draw, and 32% to an Chelsea win.