Premier League
· Regular Season - 1
August 22, 2026 16:00
K. Dewsbury-Hall
(ast. H. Armstrong)
42'
T. Barry
(ast. I. Ndiaye)
53'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Everton a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Crystal Palace 32%). The final result was Everton 2–0 Crystal Palace. In 2 previous meetings, Everton have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Crystal Palace.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
1.01
Actual xG
1.65
2
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
0
9
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
30'
D. Kamada
⚽K. Dewsbury-Hall
· ast. H. Armstrong
42'
⚽T. Barry
· ast. I. Ndiaye
53'
55'
Y. Pino
/
E. Nketiah
55'
A. Khalaili
/
D. Munoz
63'
J. Larsen
/
J. Mateta
63'
E. Guessand
/
D. McNeil
72'
T. Tomiyasu
/
C. Riad
T. Barry
/ Beto
79'
H. Hackney
/ J. Garner
79'
T. George
/ B. Johnson
84'
K. Dewsbury-Hall
/ C. Alcaraz
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
34.2%
Everton ←
32.83%
X
32.97%
Crystal
we assigned to the actual result (Everton)
34.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
1.01
-0.56
1.12
1.65
+0.53
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (1.65 vs 1.01).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Pickford
60'
G
J. Pickford
60'
G
16
V. Mykolenko
60'
D
V. Mykolenko
60'
D
4
J. Branthwaite
60'
D
J. Branthwaite
60'
D
6
J. Tarkowski
60'
D
J. Tarkowski
60'
D
34
M. Röhl
60'
D
M. Röhl
60'
D
30
H. Hackney
60'
M
H. Hackney
60'
M
45
H. Armstrong
1 👟
60'
M
H. Armstrong
1 👟
60'
M
19
Tyrique George
60'
M
Tyrique George
60'
M
8
K. Dewsbury-Hall
1 ⚽
60'
M
K. Dewsbury-Hall
1 ⚽
60'
M
10
I. Ndiaye
1 👟
60'
M
I. Ndiaye
1 👟
60'
M
11
T. Barry
1 ⚽
60'
F
T. Barry
1 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
9
Beto
F
Beto
F
22
B. Johnson
F
B. Johnson
F
24
C. Alcaraz
M
C. Alcaraz
M
37
J. Garner
M
J. Garner
M
15
J. O'Brien
D
J. O'Brien
D
5
M. Keane
D
M. Keane
D
12
M. Travers
G
M. Travers
G
2
N. Patterson
D
N. Patterson
D
20
T. Dibling
F
T. Dibling
F
1
D. Henderson
60'
G
D. Henderson
60'
G
4
Chadi Riad
60'
D
Chadi Riad
60'
D
26
C. Richards
60'
D
C. Richards
60'
D
6
J. Canvot
60'
D
J. Canvot
60'
D
3
T. Mitchell
60'
M
T. Mitchell
60'
M
18
D. Kamada
60'
M
D. Kamada
60'
M
20
A. Wharton
60'
M
A. Wharton
60'
M
2
D. Muñoz
55'
M
D. Muñoz
55'
M
9
E. Nketiah
55'
F
E. Nketiah
55'
F
11
D. McNeil
60'
F
D. McNeil
60'
F
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
60'
F
Jean-Philippe Mateta
60'
F
Bench
25
A. Khalaili
5'
F
A. Khalaili
5'
F
24
B. Sosa
D
B. Sosa
D
29
E. Guessand
F
E. Guessand
F
22
J. Strand Larsen
F
J. Strand Larsen
F
30
Óscar Mingueza
D
Óscar Mingueza
D
17
T. Tomiyasu
D
T. Tomiyasu
D
44
W. Benítez
G
W. Benítez
G
19
W. Hughes
M
W. Hughes
M
10
Yeremy Pino
5'
M
Yeremy Pino
5'
M
Best on the pitch
K. Dewsbury-Hall
M · Everton
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
I. Ndiaye
M · Everton
7.60
1 👟
2 shots
· 30 pass
J. Pickford
G · Everton
7.50
· 20 pass
T. Barry
F · Everton
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
M. Röhl
D · Everton
7.20
· 32 pass
Tyrique George
M · Everton
7.20
1 shots
· 31 pass
Everton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pickford | G | 60 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | — | — | — |
| V. Mykolenko | D | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Branthwaite | D | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Tarkowski | D | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Röhl | D | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Hackney | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Armstrong | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Tyrique George | M | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| K. Dewsbury-Hall | M | 60 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| I. Ndiaye | M | 60 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Barry | F | 60 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Crystal Palace — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Henderson | G | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Chadi Riad | D | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | — | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| J. Canvot | D | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Mitchell | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Wharton | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Muñoz | M | 55 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Nketiah | F | 55 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| D. McNeil | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | F | 60 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Khalaili | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — |
| Yeremy Pino | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Everton vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Everton 2–0 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Everton vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Everton win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Crystal Palace win.