M. Rohl
(ast. M. Keane)
43'
59'
(ast. E. Le Fee)
B. Brobbey
81'
(ast. C. Rigg)
E. Le Fee
90'+1
(ast. H. Diarra)
W. Isidor
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Everton a 54% win probability (draw 22%, Sunderland 23%). The final result was Everton 1–3 Sunderland. In 2 previous meetings, Everton have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Sunderland.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
1.10
Actual xG
0.73
0
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
2
13
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
23'
L. O'Nien
/
O. Alderete
T. Iroegbunam
25'
⚽M. Rohl
· ast. M. Keane
43'
J. O'Brien
47'
59'
ast. E. Le Fee ·
B. Brobbey⚽
60'
C. Talbi
/
T. Hume
T. Iroegbunam
/ T. George
73'
Beto
/ T. Barry
73'
77'
C. Rigg
/
N. Angulo
77'
W. Isidor
/
B. Brobbey
77'
H. Diarra
/
N. Sadiki
81'
ast. C. Rigg ·
E. Le Fee⚽
M. Rohl
/ D. McNeil
88'
J. O'Brien
/ S. Coleman
88'
90'+1
ast. H. Diarra ·
W. Isidor⚽
J. Garner
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
54.36%
Everton
22.55%
X
23.09%
Sunderland ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sunderland)
23.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
1.10
-0.88
1.21
0.73
-0.48
Everton dominated by xG (1.10 vs 0.73).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Jordan Pickford
G
Jordan Pickford
G
16
Vitaliy Mykolenko
D
Vitaliy Mykolenko
D
5
Michael Keane
1 👟
D
Michael Keane
1 👟
D
6
James Tarkowski
D
James Tarkowski
D
15
J. O'Brien
88'
D
J. O'Brien
88'
D
42
Tim Iroegbunam
73'
M
Tim Iroegbunam
73'
M
37
J. Garner
M
J. Garner
M
10
I. Ndiaye
M
I. Ndiaye
M
22
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
M
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
M
34
Merlin Röhl
1 ⚽
88'
M
Merlin Röhl
1 ⚽
88'
M
9
Beto
73'
F
Beto
73'
F
Bench
24
Carlos Alcaraz
M
Carlos Alcaraz
M
7
Dwight McNeil
8'
F
Dwight McNeil
8'
F
45
Harrison Armstrong
M
Harrison Armstrong
M
12
Mark Travers
G
Mark Travers
G
2
Nathan Patterson
D
Nathan Patterson
D
23
Séamus Coleman
8'
D
Séamus Coleman
8'
D
11
Thierno Barry
23'
F
Thierno Barry
23'
F
20
Tyler Dibling
M
Tyler Dibling
M
19
Tyrique George
23'
F
Tyrique George
23'
F
22
Robin Roefs
G
Robin Roefs
G
17
Reinildo
D
Reinildo
D
15
Omar Alderete
23'
D
Omar Alderete
23'
D
20
Nordi Mukiele
D
Nordi Mukiele
D
6
Lutsharel Geertruida
D
Lutsharel Geertruida
D
27
N. Sadiki
77'
M
N. Sadiki
77'
M
34
G. Xhaka
M
G. Xhaka
M
10
Nilson Angulo
77'
M
Nilson Angulo
77'
M
28
E. Le Fée
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
E. Le Fée
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
32
T. Hume
60'
M
T. Hume
60'
M
9
B. Brobbey
1 ⚽
77'
F
B. Brobbey
1 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
7
Chemsdine Talbi
36'
F
Chemsdine Talbi
36'
F
11
Chris Rigg
1 👟
19'
M
Chris Rigg
1 👟
19'
M
3
Dennis Cirkin
D
Dennis Cirkin
D
12
Eliezer Mayenda
F
Eliezer Mayenda
F
19
H. Diarra
1 👟
19'
M
H. Diarra
1 👟
19'
M
37
Jocelin Ta Bi
F
Jocelin Ta Bi
F
13
Luke O'Nien
73'
M
Luke O'Nien
73'
M
31
Melker Ellborg
G
Melker Ellborg
G
18
Wilson Isidor
1 ⚽
19'
F
Wilson Isidor
1 ⚽
19'
F
Best on the pitch
E. Le Fée
M · Sunderland
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
M · Everton
7.70
1 shots
· 43 pass
Wilson Isidor
F · Sunderland
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
J. Garner
M · Everton
7.30
1 shots
· 71 pass
Luke O'Nien
M · Sunderland
7.20
1 shots
· 16 pass
Tyrique George
F · Everton
7.20
· 8 pass
Everton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | G | 96 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Vitaliy Mykolenko | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Michael Keane | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 43% | — | — | — |
| James Tarkowski | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| J. O'Brien | D | 88 | 5.50 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tim Iroegbunam | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Garner | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 65% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Ndiaye | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | M | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Merlin Röhl | M | 88 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Beto | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Dwight McNeil | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Séamus Coleman | D | 8 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Thierno Barry | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Tyrique George | F | 23 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Sunderland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robin Roefs | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Reinildo | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Alderete | D | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Nordi Mukiele | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Lutsharel Geertruida | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Sadiki | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Xhaka | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Nilson Angulo | M | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Le Fée | M | 96 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Hume | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| B. Brobbey | F | 77 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Chemsdine Talbi | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Chris Rigg | M | 19 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| H. Diarra | M | 19 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Luke O'Nien | M | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Wilson Isidor | F | 19 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Everton vs Sunderland?
The final score was Everton 1–3 Sunderland.
What did the model predict before Everton vs Sunderland?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Everton win, 22% to a draw, and 23% to an Sunderland win.