M. Rohl
(ast. M. Keane)
43'
59'
(ast. E. Le Fee)
B. Brobbey
81'
(ast. C. Rigg)
E. Le Fee
90'+1
(ast. H. Diarra)
W. Isidor
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Everton a 54% win probability (draw 22%, Sunderland 23%). The final result was Everton 1–3 Sunderland. In 2 previous meetings, Everton have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Sunderland.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
1.10
Actual xG
0.73
0
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
2
13
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
23'
L. O'Nien
/
O. Alderete
T. Iroegbunam
25'
⚽M. Rohl
· ast. M. Keane
43'
J. O'Brien
47'
59'
ast. E. Le Fee ·
B. Brobbey⚽
60'
C. Talbi
/
T. Hume
T. Iroegbunam
/ T. George
73'
Beto
/ T. Barry
73'
77'
C. Rigg
/
N. Angulo
77'
W. Isidor
/
B. Brobbey
77'
H. Diarra
/
N. Sadiki
81'
ast. C. Rigg ·
E. Le Fee⚽
M. Rohl
/ D. McNeil
88'
J. O'Brien
/ S. Coleman
88'
90'+1
ast. H. Diarra ·
W. Isidor⚽
J. Garner
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
54.36%
Everton
22.55%
X
23.09%
Sunderland ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sunderland)
23.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
1.10
-0.88
1.21
0.73
-0.48
Everton dominated by xG (1.10 vs 0.73).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Pickford
G
J. Pickford
G
16
V. Mykolenko
D
V. Mykolenko
D
5
M. Keane
1 👟
D
M. Keane
1 👟
D
6
J. Tarkowski
D
J. Tarkowski
D
15
J. O'Brien
88'
D
J. O'Brien
88'
D
42
T. Iroegbunam
73'
M
T. Iroegbunam
73'
M
37
J. Garner
M
J. Garner
M
10
I. Ndiaye
M
I. Ndiaye
M
22
K. Dewsbury-Hall
M
K. Dewsbury-Hall
M
34
M. Röhl
1 ⚽
88'
M
M. Röhl
1 ⚽
88'
M
9
Beto
73'
F
Beto
73'
F
Bench
24
C. Alcaraz
M
C. Alcaraz
M
7
D. McNeil
8'
F
D. McNeil
8'
F
45
H. Armstrong
M
H. Armstrong
M
12
M. Travers
G
M. Travers
G
2
N. Patterson
D
N. Patterson
D
23
Séamus Coleman
8'
D
Séamus Coleman
8'
D
11
T. Barry
23'
F
T. Barry
23'
F
20
T. Dibling
M
T. Dibling
M
19
Tyrique George
23'
F
Tyrique George
23'
F
22
R. Roefs
G
R. Roefs
G
17
Reinildo
D
Reinildo
D
15
Omar Alderete
23'
D
20
N. Mukiele
D
N. Mukiele
D
6
L. Geertruida
D
L. Geertruida
D
27
N. Sadiki
77'
M
N. Sadiki
77'
M
34
G. Xhaka
M
G. Xhaka
M
10
Nilson Angulo
77'
M
Nilson Angulo
77'
M
28
E. Le Fée
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
E. Le Fée
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
32
T. Hume
60'
M
T. Hume
60'
M
9
B. Brobbey
1 ⚽
77'
F
B. Brobbey
1 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
11
C. Rigg
1 👟
19'
M
C. Rigg
1 👟
19'
M
7
C. Talbi
36'
F
C. Talbi
36'
F
3
D. Cirkin
D
D. Cirkin
D
12
Eliezer Mayenda
F
Eliezer Mayenda
F
19
H. Diarra
1 👟
19'
M
H. Diarra
1 👟
19'
M
37
J. T. Bi
F
J. T. Bi
F
13
L. O'Nien
73'
M
L. O'Nien
73'
M
31
M. Ellborg
G
M. Ellborg
G
18
W. Isidor
1 ⚽
19'
F
W. Isidor
1 ⚽
19'
F
Best on the pitch
E. Le Fée
M · Sunderland
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
K. Dewsbury-Hall
M · Everton
7.70
1 shots
· 43 pass
W. Isidor
F · Sunderland
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
J. Garner
M · Everton
7.30
1 shots
· 71 pass
L. O'Nien
M · Sunderland
7.20
1 shots
· 16 pass
Tyrique George
F · Everton
7.20
· 8 pass
Everton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pickford | G | 96 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 22% | — | — | — |
| V. Mykolenko | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| M. Keane | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 43% | — | — | — |
| J. Tarkowski | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| J. O'Brien | D | 88 | 5.50 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Iroegbunam | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Garner | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 65% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Ndiaye | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| K. Dewsbury-Hall | M | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Röhl | M | 88 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Beto | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. McNeil | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Séamus Coleman | D | 8 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| T. Barry | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Tyrique George | F | 23 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Sunderland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Roefs | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Reinildo | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Alderete | D | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| N. Mukiele | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 57% | — | — | — |
| L. Geertruida | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Sadiki | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Xhaka | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Nilson Angulo | M | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Le Fée | M | 96 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Hume | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| B. Brobbey | F | 77 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Rigg | M | 19 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Talbi | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| H. Diarra | M | 19 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. O'Nien | M | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Isidor | F | 19 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Everton vs Sunderland?
The final score was Everton 1–3 Sunderland.
What did the model predict before Everton vs Sunderland?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Everton win, 22% to a draw, and 23% to an Sunderland win.