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Everton - Wolves

EFL Cup September 16, 2026 20:45
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.88%
Win
Everton
20.66%
Draw
32.45%
Win
Wolves
3.53
Expected xG
2.9

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–2 (5.94%)
1X2 Result
1 47%
X 21%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 53%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 79%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Everton a 46% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 32% for Wolves. Expected goals are 3.5 for Everton and 2.9 for Wolves (total 6.4), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 5.94% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Everton have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Wolves.

Season Stats

Everton
2W 0D 1L
Wolves
4W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
2.6
0.7
Conceded
1.2
6.7
Shots OT
4.8
5.0
Corners
5.6
60%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
60%
0%
BTTS
40%
67%
Clean Sht
60%
Based on the last 5 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Everton Wolves →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
1 0.6% 1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0%
2 1.0% 2.9% 4.2% 4.1% 3.0% 1.7%
3 1.2% 3.4% 5.0% 4.8% 3.5% 2.0%
4 1.0% 3.0% 4.4% 4.2% 3.1% 1.8%
5 0.7% 2.1% 3.1% 3.0% 2.2% 1.3%

Recent form

W Preston 0–4
L Wolves 2–0
W Mansfield Town 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
W Sheffield Wednesday 0–2
W Port Vale 3–0
L Chelsea 3–4
W Everton 2–0
W West Ham 3–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Everton Everton
Attack
53
Defence
68
Form
62
Wolves Wolves
Attack
54
Defence
67
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Everton vs Wolves?
The model gives Everton a 46% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 32% for an Wolves win.
How many goals are expected in Everton vs Wolves?
Expected goals: Everton 3.5, Wolves 2.9 (total 6.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in Everton vs Wolves?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 5.94%.