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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 8 October 11, 2026 16:45 Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
Excelsior
#13 · 11 pts
1 – 5
Final score
Groningen
#8 · 15 pts
Irakli Yegoian 36' (pen.)
7' Marco Rente
(og) 38' Stijn van Gassel
(pen.) 64' Thom Van Bergen
67' (ast. Pelle Clement) Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
90'+5 Marco Rente
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Excelsior a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Groningen 33%). The final result was Excelsior 1–5 Groningen. In 2 previous meetings, Excelsior have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Groningen.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
9
1.81
Actual xG
2.77
5
Saves
1
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
6
15
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
Marco Rente⚽
20'
David van der Werff
⚽Irakli Yegoian (pen.)
36'
38'
(og) Stijn van Gassel⚽
59'
64'
(pen.) Thom Van Bergen⚽
↕ Simon Janssen / Kasey Bos
65'
↕ David Garden / Mario Domínguez Franco
65'
↕ Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson / Daniel van Vianen
65'
↕ Eric da Silva Moreira / Valentin Sulzbacher
65'
66'
Tygo Land / Jacob Ondrejka ↕
67'
ast. Pelle Clement · Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson⚽
72'
Mark Csinger / Hans Hateboer ↕
80'
Tygo Land
↕ Aymen sliti / Alireza Jahanbakhsh
81'
84'
Nils Eggens / Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson ↕
85'
Ryan Metu / Thom Van Bergen ↕
85'
Oskar Zawada / David van der Werff ↕
90'+5
Marco Rente⚽
Pre-match prediction
36.04%
Excelsior
30.25%
X
33.72%
Groningen ←
we assigned to the actual result (Groningen) 33.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Excelsior
1.32
1.81
+0.49
Groningen
1.28
2.77
+1.49
Groningen dominated by xG (2.77 vs 1.81). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
Excelsior Excelsior 4-3-3
1 S. van Gassel S. van Gassel 1 ⚽ G 6.68
15 S. Janssen S. Janssen 65' D 5.57
14 J. Plug J. Plug D 6.26
4 C. Widell C. Widell D 5.97
2 Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira 65' D 5.38
20 L. Hartjes L. Hartjes M 6.23
3 R. Meissen R. Meissen M 6.20
8 I. Yegoian I. Yegoian 1 ⚽ M 7.29
30 Á. Þorsteinsson Á. Þorsteinsson 65' F 6.61
19 D. Garden D. Garden 65' F 5.89
7 A. Sliti A. Sliti 81' F 6.49
Bench
11 A. Jahanbakhsh A. Jahanbakhsh 9' F 6.11
16 Celton Biai Celton Biai G 0.00
6 D. van Vianen D. van Vianen 25' M 5.99
24 Giulliano Cairo Giulliano Cairo M 0.00
21 I. Silva Timas I. Silva Timas F 0.00
12 K. Bos K. Bos 25' F 6.77
9 Mario Domínguez Mario Domínguez 25' F 6.33
28 N. Groen N. Groen F 0.00
22 O. Turay O. Turay D 0.00
18 V. Sulzbacher V. Sulzbacher 25' M 6.40
Groningen Groningen 4-2-3-1
1 E. Vaessen E. Vaessen G 6.60
33 H. Hateboer H. Hateboer 72' D 6.46
5 M. Rente M. Rente 2 ⚽ D 8.89
3 T. Blokzijl T. Blokzijl D 6.75
14 J. Schreuders J. Schreuders D 7.10
24 P. Clement P. Clement 1 👟 M 6.87
8 T. de Jonge T. de Jonge M 6.23
11 J. Ondrejka J. Ondrejka 66' M 6.65
26 T. van Bergen T. van Bergen 1 ⚽ 85' M 7.04
17 D. van der Werff D. van der Werff 85' M 6.29
9 B. Willumsson B. Willumsson 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.95
Bench
16 A. Nordin A. Nordin M 0.00
53 J. Hall J. Hall M 0.00
42 J. Mosselaar J. Mosselaar D 0.00
13 L. Štubljar L. Štubljar G 0.00
4 M. Csinger M. Csinger 18' D 6.40
20 Nils Eggens Nils Eggens 6' F 6.56
19 O. Zawada O. Zawada 5' F 6.51
30 P. Boevink P. Boevink G 0.00
34 R. Metu R. Metu 5' F 6.42
18 T. Land T. Land 24' M 6.22
2 Wouter Prins Wouter Prins D 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Rente
M. Rente
D · Groningen
8.89
2 ⚽
2 shots · 64 pass
B. Willumsson
B. Willumsson
F · Groningen
7.95
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
I. Yegoian
I. Yegoian
M · Excelsior
7.29
1 ⚽
3 shots · 50 pass
J. Schreuders
J. Schreuders
D · Groningen
7.10
2 shots · 40 pass
T. van Bergen
T. van Bergen
M · Groningen
7.04
1 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
P. Clement
P. Clement
M · Groningen
6.87
1 👟
1 shots · 47 pass
Excelsior Excelsior — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. van Gassel G 90 6.68 1 — 0 43 30% 0 — —
S. Janssen D 65 5.57 — — 0 22 18% 0 — —
J. Plug D 90 6.26 — — 0 57 50% 4 — —
C. Widell D 90 5.97 — — 1 51 45% 0 — —
Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira D 65 5.38 — — 1 26 19% 1 — —
L. Hartjes M 90 6.23 — — 0 33 31% 1 — —
R. Meissen M 90 6.20 — — 0 49 41% 2 — —
I. Yegoian M 90 7.29 1 — 3 50 45% 1 — —
Á. Þorsteinsson F 65 6.61 — — 0 13 10% 1 — —
D. Garden F 65 5.89 — — 3 10 3% 1 — —
A. Sliti F 81 6.49 — — 2 17 15% 1 — —
A. Jahanbakhsh F 9 6.11 — — 1 5 3% 0 — —
D. van Vianen M 25 5.99 — — 1 13 12% 1 — —
K. Bos F 25 6.77 — — 1 9 8% 1 — —
Mario Domínguez F 25 6.33 — — 2 2 2% 0 — —
V. Sulzbacher M 25 6.40 — — 1 17 11% 1 — —
Groningen Groningen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Vaessen G 90 6.60 — — 0 50 36% 0 — —
H. Hateboer D 72 6.46 — — 0 21 20% 0 — —
M. Rente D 90 8.89 2 — 2 64 58% 0 — —
T. Blokzijl D 90 6.75 — — 1 75 65% 1 — —
J. Schreuders D 90 7.10 — — 2 40 33% 1 — —
P. Clement M 90 6.87 — 1 1 47 37% 4 — —
T. de Jonge M 90 6.23 — — 2 42 35% 2 — —
J. Ondrejka M 66 6.65 — — 1 18 9% 1 — —
T. van Bergen M 85 7.04 1 — 2 15 12% 0 — —
D. van der Werff M 85 6.29 — — 0 21 15% 1 1 —
B. Willumsson F 84 7.95 1 — 2 16 13% 0 — —
M. Csinger D 18 6.40 — — 0 9 8% 1 — —
Nils Eggens F 6 6.56 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
O. Zawada F 5 6.51 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
R. Metu F 5 6.42 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
T. Land M 24 6.22 — — 0 18 17% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Excelsior vs Groningen?
The final score was Excelsior 1–5 Groningen.
What did the model predict before Excelsior vs Groningen?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Excelsior win, 30% to a draw, and 33% to an Groningen win.