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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29 April 04, 2026 21:00
Excelsior
#13 · 38 pts
0 – 2
Final score
NEC Nijmegen
#3 · 59 pts
30' (ast. D. Nejasmic) B. Linssen
71' (ast. S. Ouaissa) B. Onal
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NEC Nijmegen a 52% win probability (draw 24%, Excelsior 23%). The final result was Excelsior 0–2 NEC Nijmegen. In 1 previous meetings, Excelsior have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for NEC Nijmegen.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
0.72
Actual xG
1.32
3
Saves
5
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
5
15
Tackles
10
Match Events
30'
ast. D. Nejasmic · B. Linssen⚽
↕ E. Hansson / I. Yegoian
60'
71'
ast. S. Ouaissa · B. Onal⚽
↕ L. Hartjes / M. van Duinen
76'
↕ A. Zagre / S. Janssen
76'
80'
D. Proper / B. Onal ↕
81'
Danilo Pereira / B. Linssen ↕
81'
B. Pereira / E. Dasa ↕
85'
A. Kaplan / D. Fonville ↕
↕ I. Bronkhorst / A. Carlen
90'+1
↕ D. Sanches Fernandes / S. Wlodarczyk
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
23.21%
Excelsior
24.5%
X
52.29%
NEC ←
we assigned to the actual result (NEC Nijmegen) 52.29% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Excelsior
1.08
0.72
-0.36
NEC
1.70
1.32
-0.38
NEC Nijmegen dominated by xG (1.32 vs 0.72). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 34 84
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 34 65
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 34 59
4 Twente Twente 34 58
5 Ajax Ajax 34 56
6 Utrecht Utrecht 34 53
7 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 34 52
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 34 51
9 Groningen Groningen 34 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 34 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 34 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 34 38
13 Excelsior Excelsior 34 38
14 Telstar Telstar 34 37
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 34 37
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 34 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 34 29
18 Heracles Heracles 34 19
Lineups
Excelsior Excelsior 5-4-1
1
G 6.90
12 A. Zagré A. Zagré 76' D 6.30
14 Lewis Schouten Lewis Schouten D 6.20
4 Casper Widell Casper Widell D 6.50
3 Rick Meissen Rick Meissen D 6.90
2 Ilias Bronkhorst Ilias Bronkhorst 89' D 6.70
7 Emil Hansson Emil Hansson 60' M 7.20
20 Lennard Hartjes Lennard Hartjes 76' M 6.70
10 N. Naujoks N. Naujoks M 6.50
30 Derensili Sanches Fernandes Derensili Sanches Fernandes 89' M 6.90
11 G. de Regt G. de Regt F 6.90
Bench
23
Irakli Yegoian 30' M 6.60
9 Szymon Włodarczyk Szymon Włodarczyk 1' F
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-4-2-1
1
G 8.20
24 Deveron Fonville Deveron Fonville 85' D 7.50
3 P. Sandler P. Sandler D 7.30
14 Eli Dasa Eli Dasa 81' D 7.20
11 B. Önal B. Önal 1 ⚽ 80' M 8.20
23 K. Sano K. Sano M 6.90
6
1 👟 M 7.20
25 S. Ouaissa S. Ouaissa 1 👟 M 7.50
20 N. Lebreton N. Lebreton F 6.90
10 T. Chery T. Chery F 6.20
30 B. Linssen B. Linssen 1 ⚽ 81' F 6.90
Bench
4 A. Kaplan A. Kaplan 9' D 6.90
17 Bram Nuytinck Bram Nuytinck D
9 Danilo Danilo 9' F 6.20
18 Koki Ogawa Koki Ogawa F
34 Youssef el Kachati Youssef el Kachati F
Best on the pitch
B. Önal
B. Önal
M · NEC
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 28 pass
G · NEC
8.20
· 40 pass
S. Ouaissa
S. Ouaissa
M · NEC
7.50
1 👟
4 shots · 26 pass
Deveron Fonville
Deveron Fonville
D · NEC
7.50
· 49 pass
P. Sandler
P. Sandler
D · NEC
7.30
· 71 pass
M · NEC
7.20
1 👟
· 52 pass
Excelsior Excelsior — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 61 40% — — —
A. Zagré D 76 6.30 — — 1 24 18% — — —
Lewis Schouten D 90 6.20 — — — 36 26% 2 — —
Casper Widell D 90 6.50 — — — 34 26% — — —
Rick Meissen D 90 6.90 — — — 47 39% 3 — —
Ilias Bronkhorst D 89 6.70 — — — 30 22% 3 — —
Emil Hansson M 60 7.20 — — — 18 17% — — —
Lennard Hartjes M 76 6.70 — — — 23 18% 1 — —
N. Naujoks M 90 6.50 — — — 26 18% 3 — —
Derensili Sanches Fernandes M 89 6.90 — — 1 25 21% 2 — —
G. de Regt F 90 6.90 — — 4 25 20% 1 — —
Irakli Yegoian M 30 6.60 — — — 14 10% — — —
Szymon Włodarczyk F 1 — — — — 1 — — — —
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 — — — 40 19% 1 — —
Deveron Fonville D 85 7.50 — — — 49 43% 2 — —
P. Sandler D 90 7.30 — — — 71 67% — — —
Eli Dasa D 81 7.20 — — — 50 44% 2 — —
B. Önal M 80 8.20 1 — 1 28 22% 2 — —
K. Sano M 90 6.90 — — 1 45 40% — — —
M 90 7.20 — 1 — 52 42% 1 — —
S. Ouaissa M 90 7.50 — 1 4 26 22% 1 — —
N. Lebreton F 90 6.90 — — — 23 19% — — —
T. Chery F 90 6.20 — — 1 30 25% — — —
B. Linssen F 81 6.90 1 — 2 8 5% 1 — —
A. Kaplan D 9 6.90 — — — 7 7% — — —
Danilo F 9 6.20 — — 1 6 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen?
The final score was Excelsior 0–2 NEC Nijmegen.
What did the model predict before Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Excelsior win, 24% to a draw, and 52% to an NEC Nijmegen win.