Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 29
April 04, 2026 21:00
30'
(ast. D. Nejasmic)
B. Linssen
71'
(ast. S. Ouaissa)
B. Onal
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NEC Nijmegen a 52% win probability (draw 24%, Excelsior 23%). The final result was Excelsior 0–2 NEC Nijmegen. In 2 previous meetings, Excelsior have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for NEC Nijmegen.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
0.72
Actual xG
1.32
3
Saves
5
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
5
15
Tackles
10
Match Events
30'
ast. D. Nejasmic ·
B. Linssen⚽
E. Hansson
/ I. Yegoian
60'
71'
ast. S. Ouaissa ·
B. Onal⚽
L. Hartjes
/ M. van Duinen
76'
A. Zagre
/ S. Janssen
76'
80'
D. Proper
/
B. Onal
81'
Danilo Pereira
/
B. Linssen
81'
B. Pereira
/
E. Dasa
85'
A. Kaplan
/
D. Fonville
I. Bronkhorst
/ A. Carlen
90'+1
D. Sanches Fernandes
/ S. Wlodarczyk
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
23.21%
Excelsior
24.5%
X
52.29%
NEC ←
we assigned to the actual result (NEC Nijmegen)
52.29%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.08
0.72
-0.36
1.70
1.32
-0.38
NEC Nijmegen dominated by xG (1.32 vs 0.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
12
A. Zagré
76'
D
A. Zagré
76'
D
14
L. Schouten
D
L. Schouten
D
4
Casper Widell
D
Casper Widell
D
3
Rick Meissen
D
Rick Meissen
D
2
I. Bronkhorst
89'
D
I. Bronkhorst
89'
D
7
Emil Hansson
60'
M
Emil Hansson
60'
M
20
L. Hartjes
76'
M
L. Hartjes
76'
M
10
Noah Naujoks
M
Noah Naujoks
M
30
D. Sanches Fernandes
89'
M
D. Sanches Fernandes
89'
M
11
G. de Regt
F
G. de Regt
F
Bench
23
Irakli Yegoian
30'
M
Irakli Yegoian
30'
M
9
S. Włodarczyk
1'
F
S. Włodarczyk
1'
F
1
G
24
Deveron Fonville
85'
D
Deveron Fonville
85'
D
3
P. Sandler
D
P. Sandler
D
14
E. Dasa
81'
D
E. Dasa
81'
D
11
B. Önal
1 ⚽
80'
M
B. Önal
1 ⚽
80'
M
23
K. Sano
M
K. Sano
M
6
1 👟
M
25
Sami Ouaissa
1 👟
M
Sami Ouaissa
1 👟
M
20
N. Lebreton
F
N. Lebreton
F
10
T. Chery
F
T. Chery
F
30
B. Linssen
1 ⚽
81'
F
B. Linssen
1 ⚽
81'
F
Bench
4
A. Kaplan
9'
D
A. Kaplan
9'
D
17
B. Nuytinck
D
B. Nuytinck
D
9
Danilo
9'
F
Danilo
9'
F
18
Koki Ogawa
F
Koki Ogawa
F
34
Y. El Kachati
F
Y. El Kachati
F
Best on the pitch
B. Önal
M · NEC
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
G · NEC
8.20
· 40 pass
Sami Ouaissa
M · NEC
7.50
1 👟
4 shots
· 26 pass
Deveron Fonville
D · NEC
7.50
· 49 pass
P. Sandler
D · NEC
7.30
· 71 pass
M · NEC
7.20
1 👟
· 52 pass
Excelsior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| A. Zagré | D | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| L. Schouten | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Casper Widell | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Rick Meissen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Bronkhorst | D | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Emil Hansson | M | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| L. Hartjes | M | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Noah Naujoks | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Sanches Fernandes | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| G. de Regt | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Irakli Yegoian | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. Włodarczyk | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
NEC Nijmegen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 19% | 1 | — | — | |
| Deveron Fonville | D | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Sandler | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 71 | 67% | — | — | — |
| E. Dasa | D | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Önal | M | 80 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Sano | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 40% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 52 | 42% | 1 | — | — | |
| Sami Ouaissa | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 4 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Lebreton | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| T. Chery | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| B. Linssen | F | 81 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Kaplan | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Danilo | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen?
The final score was Excelsior 0–2 NEC Nijmegen.
What did the model predict before Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Excelsior win, 24% to a draw, and 52% to an NEC Nijmegen win.