C. Widell
(ast. I. Yegoian)
54'
5'
R. van Bommel
56'
(ast. S. Dest)
R. Pepi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Excelsior 29%). The final result was Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven. In 2 previous meetings, Excelsior have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for PSV Eindhoven.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
15
2
Shots on target
7
0.32
Actual xG
2.21
6
Saves
1
41%
Possession
59%
1
Corners
7
14
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
5'
R. van Bommel⚽
A. Sliti
/ N. Martens
46'
I. Silva Timas
/ O. Turay
46'
⚽C. Widell
· ast. I. Yegoian
54'
56'
ast. S. Dest ·
R. Pepi⚽
63'
A. Bouhamdi
/
R. van Bommel
63'
K. Sano
/
P. Wanner
D. Garden
/ N. Groen
68'
72'
D. Man
/
I. Perisic
L. Hartjes
/ A. Jahanbakhsh
74'
S. Janssen
/ M. Dominguez
80'
D. van Vianen
/ Y. Finey
80'
84'
S. Mijnans
/
R. Pepi
J. Plug
88'
89'
K. Sildillia
/
S. Dest
Pre-match prediction
29.68%
Excelsior
30.46%
X
39.87%
PSV ←
we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven)
39.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
0.32
-1.05
2.17
2.21
+0.04
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (2.21 vs 0.32).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
S. van Gassel
G
S. van Gassel
G
15
S. Janssen
80'
D
S. Janssen
80'
D
14
J. Plug
D
J. Plug
D
4
C. Widell
1 ⚽
D
C. Widell
1 ⚽
D
3
R. Meissen
D
R. Meissen
D
6
D. van Vianen
80'
M
D. van Vianen
80'
M
20
L. Hartjes
74'
M
L. Hartjes
74'
M
8
I. Yegoian
1 👟
M
I. Yegoian
1 👟
M
21
I. Silva Timas
45'
F
I. Silva Timas
45'
F
19
D. Garden
68'
F
D. Garden
68'
F
7
A. Sliti
45'
F
A. Sliti
45'
F
Bench
30
A. Jahanbakhsh
20'
F
A. Jahanbakhsh
20'
F
16
Celton Biai
G
Celton Biai
G
24
Giulliano Cairo
M
Giulliano Cairo
M
9
Mario Domínguez
14'
F
Mario Domínguez
14'
F
28
N. Groen
26'
F
N. Groen
26'
F
17
Nolan Martens
49'
D
Nolan Martens
49'
D
22
O. Turay
49'
D
O. Turay
49'
D
5
S. Henderikx
D
S. Henderikx
D
18
V. Sulzbacher
M
V. Sulzbacher
M
23
Y. Finey
14'
M
Y. Finey
14'
M
32
M. Kovář
G
M. Kovář
G
17
Mauro Júnior
D
Mauro Júnior
D
4
A. Obispo
D
A. Obispo
D
6
R. Flamingo
D
R. Flamingo
D
8
S. Dest
1 👟
89'
D
S. Dest
1 👟
89'
D
10
P. Wanner
63'
M
P. Wanner
63'
M
23
J. Veerman
M
J. Veerman
M
20
G. Til
M
G. Til
M
7
R. van Bommel
1 ⚽
63'
F
R. van Bommel
1 ⚽
63'
F
9
R. Pepi
1 ⚽
84'
F
R. Pepi
1 ⚽
84'
F
5
I. Perišić
72'
F
I. Perišić
72'
F
Bench
37
A. Bouhamdi
31'
F
A. Bouhamdi
31'
F
27
D. Man
22'
F
D. Man
22'
F
19
E. Bajraktarevic
F
E. Bajraktarevic
F
38
F. Merién
D
F. Merién
D
41
Khadim Ngom
G
Khadim Ngom
G
24
K. Sano
31'
M
K. Sano
31'
M
25
K. Sildillia
5'
D
K. Sildillia
5'
D
1
N. Olij
G
N. Olij
G
21
S. Mijnans
10'
M
S. Mijnans
10'
M
3
Yarek Gasiorowski
D
Yarek Gasiorowski
D
Best on the pitch
J. Veerman
M · PSV
8.00
· 86 pass
C. Widell
D · Excelsior
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 57 pass
I. Yegoian
M · Excelsior
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 46 pass
S. Dest
D · PSV
7.60
1 👟
2 shots
· 58 pass
A. Bouhamdi
F · PSV
7.50
· 15 pass
R. van Bommel
F · PSV
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
Excelsior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. van Gassel | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 35% | — | — | — |
| S. Janssen | D | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Plug | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Widell | D | 94 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 57 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Meissen | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| D. van Vianen | M | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| L. Hartjes | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Yegoian | M | 94 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 46 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| I. Silva Timas | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Garden | F | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Sliti | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Jahanbakhsh | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Mario Domínguez | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| N. Groen | F | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Nolan Martens | D | 49 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Turay | D | 49 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Y. Finey | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kovář | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Mauro Júnior | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Obispo | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 80 | 74% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Flamingo | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 76% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Dest | D | 89 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 58 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Wanner | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Veerman | M | 94 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 86 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Til | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| R. van Bommel | F | 63 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Pepi | F | 84 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Perišić | F | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Bouhamdi | F | 31 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Man | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| K. Sano | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| K. Sildillia | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Mijnans | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?
The final score was Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven.
What did the model predict before Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Excelsior win, 30% to a draw, and 39% to an PSV Eindhoven win.