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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 2 August 15, 2026 20:00 Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
Excelsior
#5 · 10 pts
1 – 2
Final score
PSV Eindhoven
#2 · 13 pts
C. Widell (ast. I. Yegoian) 54'
5' R. van Bommel
56' (ast. S. Dest) R. Pepi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Excelsior 29%). The final result was Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven. In 2 previous meetings, Excelsior have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for PSV Eindhoven.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
15
2
Shots on target
7
0.32
Actual xG
2.21
6
Saves
1
41%
Possession
59%
1
Corners
7
14
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
5'
R. van Bommel⚽
↕ A. Sliti / N. Martens
46'
↕ I. Silva Timas / O. Turay
46'
⚽C. Widell · ast. I. Yegoian
54'
56'
ast. S. Dest · R. Pepi⚽
63'
A. Bouhamdi / R. van Bommel ↕
63'
K. Sano / P. Wanner ↕
↕ D. Garden / N. Groen
68'
72'
D. Man / I. Perisic ↕
↕ L. Hartjes / A. Jahanbakhsh
74'
↕ S. Janssen / M. Dominguez
80'
↕ D. van Vianen / Y. Finey
80'
84'
S. Mijnans / R. Pepi ↕
J. Plug
88'
89'
K. Sildillia / S. Dest ↕
Pre-match prediction
29.68%
Excelsior
30.46%
X
39.87%
PSV ←
we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven) 39.87% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Excelsior
1.37
0.32
-1.05
PSV
2.17
2.21
+0.04
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (2.21 vs 0.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 16
2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5 13
3 Twente Twente 6 13
4 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5 11
5 Excelsior Excelsior 5 10
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 5 10
7 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 5 8
8 Ajax Ajax 4 7
9 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 5 7
10 Groningen Groningen 5 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 5 5
12 Heerenveen Heerenveen 5 5
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 5 4
14 Telstar Telstar 5 4
15 Utrecht Utrecht 5 2
16 Willem II Willem II 5 2
17 Cambuur Cambuur 5 1
18 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6 1
Lineups
Excelsior Excelsior 4-3-3
1 S. van Gassel S. van Gassel G 6.90
15 S. Janssen S. Janssen 80' D 6.30
14 J. Plug J. Plug D 6.20
4 C. Widell C. Widell 1 ⚽ D 7.90
3 R. Meissen R. Meissen D 6.30
6 D. van Vianen D. van Vianen 80' M 6.50
20 L. Hartjes L. Hartjes 74' M 7.00
8 I. Yegoian I. Yegoian 1 👟 M 7.70
21 I. Silva Timas I. Silva Timas 45' F 6.50
19 D. Garden D. Garden 68' F 6.60
7 A. Sliti A. Sliti 45' F 6.60
Bench
30 A. Jahanbakhsh A. Jahanbakhsh 20' F 6.30
16 Celton Biai Celton Biai G
24 Giulliano Cairo Giulliano Cairo M
9 Mario Domínguez Mario Domínguez 14' F 6.30
28 N. Groen N. Groen 26' F 6.20
17 Nolan Martens Nolan Martens 49' D 5.60
22 O. Turay O. Turay 49' D 5.90
5 S. Henderikx S. Henderikx D
18 V. Sulzbacher V. Sulzbacher M
23 Y. Finey Y. Finey 14' M 6.30
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-3-3
32 M. Kovář M. Kovář G 6.90
17 Mauro Júnior Mauro Júnior D 6.30
4 A. Obispo A. Obispo D 6.60
6 R. Flamingo R. Flamingo D 6.90
8 S. Dest S. Dest 1 👟 89' D 7.60
10 P. Wanner P. Wanner 63' M 6.70
23 J. Veerman J. Veerman M 8.00
20 G. Til G. Til M 6.90
7 R. van Bommel R. van Bommel 1 ⚽ 63' F 7.30
9 R. Pepi R. Pepi 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.00
5 I. Perišić I. Perišić 72' F 6.90
Bench
37 A. Bouhamdi A. Bouhamdi 31' F 7.50
27 D. Man D. Man 22' F 6.30
19 E. Bajraktarevic E. Bajraktarevic F
38 F. Merién F. Merién D
41 Khadim Ngom Khadim Ngom G
25 Kiliann Sildillia Kiliann Sildillia 5' D
24 K. Sano K. Sano 31' M 6.70
1 N. Olij N. Olij G
21 S. Mijnans S. Mijnans 10' M 6.30
3 Yarek Gasiorowski Yarek Gasiorowski D
Best on the pitch
J. Veerman
J. Veerman
M · PSV
8.00
· 86 pass
C. Widell
C. Widell
D · Excelsior
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 57 pass
I. Yegoian
I. Yegoian
M · Excelsior
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 46 pass
S. Dest
S. Dest
D · PSV
7.60
1 👟
2 shots · 58 pass
A. Bouhamdi
A. Bouhamdi
F · PSV
7.50
· 15 pass
R. van Bommel
R. van Bommel
F · PSV
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
Excelsior Excelsior — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. van Gassel G 94 6.90 — — — 51 35% — — —
S. Janssen D 80 6.30 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
J. Plug D 94 6.20 — — — 68 59% 1 1 —
C. Widell D 94 7.90 1 — 1 57 48% 1 — —
R. Meissen D 94 6.30 — — — 42 35% 1 — —
D. van Vianen M 80 6.50 — — — 24 21% — — —
L. Hartjes M 74 7.00 — — — 41 37% 3 — —
I. Yegoian M 94 7.70 — 1 1 46 34% 4 — —
I. Silva Timas F 45 6.50 — — — 7 6% 2 — —
D. Garden F 68 6.60 — — — 11 9% — — —
A. Sliti F 45 6.60 — — 1 17 12% — — —
A. Jahanbakhsh F 20 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
Mario Domínguez F 14 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
N. Groen F 26 6.20 — — 1 1 1% — — —
Nolan Martens D 49 5.60 — — — 13 9% 1 — —
O. Turay D 49 5.90 — — — 6 6% — — —
Y. Finey M 14 6.30 — — — 6 2% — — —
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Kovář G 94 6.90 — — — 50 40% — — —
Mauro Júnior D 94 6.30 — — 1 52 48% 1 — —
A. Obispo D 94 6.60 — — — 80 74% 2 — —
R. Flamingo D 94 6.90 — — 1 82 76% 1 — —
S. Dest D 89 7.60 — 1 2 58 54% 3 — —
P. Wanner M 63 6.70 — — — 31 27% 1 — —
J. Veerman M 94 8.00 — — — 86 75% 1 — —
G. Til M 94 6.90 — — — 32 30% 1 — —
R. van Bommel F 63 7.30 1 — 1 27 21% 1 — —
R. Pepi F 84 7.00 1 — 4 17 12% 1 — —
I. Perišić F 72 6.90 — — 2 28 22% 3 — —
A. Bouhamdi F 31 7.50 — — — 15 12% 3 — —
D. Man F 22 6.30 — — 3 12 8% — — —
Kiliann Sildillia D 5 — — — — 2 2% — — —
K. Sano M 31 6.70 — — 1 21 18% — — —
S. Mijnans M 10 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?
The final score was Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven.
What did the model predict before Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Excelsior win, 30% to a draw, and 39% to an PSV Eindhoven win.