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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 12:15
Excelsior
#5 · 10 pts
5 – 0
Final score
Utrecht
#15 · 2 pts
N. Naujoks (ast. D. Sanches Fernandes) 11'
D. Sanches Fernandes (ast. G. de Regt) 36'
D. Sanches Fernandes (ast. A. Zagre) 55'
I. Yegoian 69'
L. Hartjes 90'+3
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Utrecht a 51% win probability (draw 24%, Excelsior 23%). The final result was Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht. In 1 previous meetings, Excelsior have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Utrecht.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
3
3.32
Actual xG
0.84
3
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
3
Corners
2
14
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽N. Naujoks · ast. D. Sanches Fernandes
11'
17'
29'
M. Didden
31'
M. Didden
31'
M. Didden
⚽D. Sanches Fernandes · ast. G. de Regt
36'
41'
S. Horemans / A. Stepanov ↕
46'
E. Adiele / S. El Karouani ↕
⚽D. Sanches Fernandes · ast. A. Zagre
55'
↕ E. Hansson / S. Wlodarczyk
63'
64'
G. Zechiel
⚽I. Yegoian
69'
72'
C. Bozdogan / G. Zechiel ↕
↕ D. Sanches Fernandes / A. Carlen
76'
↕ I. Yegoian / I. Bronkhorst
76'
80'
D. Min / A. Alarcon ↕
80'
J. Karlsson / Y. Cathline ↕
↕ N. Naujoks / S. Janssen
85'
↕ R. Meissen / G. Cairo
85'
⚽L. Hartjes
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
23.82%
Excelsior ←
24.53%
X
51.64%
Utrecht
we assigned to the actual result (Excelsior) 23.82% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Excelsior
0.93
3.32
+2.39
Utrecht
1.76
0.84
-0.92
Excelsior dominated by xG (3.32 vs 0.84). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 16
2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5 13
3 Twente Twente 6 13
4 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5 11
5 Excelsior Excelsior 5 10
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 5 10
7 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 5 8
8 Ajax Ajax 4 7
9 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 5 7
10 Groningen Groningen 5 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 5 5
12 Heerenveen Heerenveen 5 5
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 5 4
14 Telstar Telstar 5 4
15 Utrecht Utrecht 5 2
16 Willem II Willem II 5 2
17 Cambuur Cambuur 5 1
18 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6 1
Lineups
Excelsior Excelsior 4-3-3
1
G 7.50
12 A. Zagré A. Zagré 1 👟 D 7.60
14 L. Schouten L. Schouten D 7.90
4 C. Widell C. Widell D 7.60
3 R. Meissen R. Meissen 85' D 6.90
23 I. Yegoian I. Yegoian 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.20
20 L. Hartjes L. Hartjes 1 ⚽ M 8.20
10 N. Naujoks N. Naujoks 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.30
7 Emil Hansson Emil Hansson 63' F 6.70
11 G. de Regt G. de Regt 1 👟 F 6.60
30 D. Sanches Fernandes D. Sanches Fernandes 2 ⚽ 1 👟 76' F 10.00
Bench
2 I. Bronkhorst I. Bronkhorst 18' D 7.30
33 Jerolldino Bergraaf Jerolldino Bergraaf F
9 S. Włodarczyk S. Włodarczyk 31' F 6.30
Utrecht Utrecht 4-2-3-1
1
G 4.90
16 S. El Karouani S. El Karouani 45' D 6.50
3
D 6.00
40 M. Didden M. Didden 31' D 4.90
23 N. Vesterlund N. Vesterlund D 5.90
21 G. Zechiël G. Zechiël 72' M 6.70
27 Alonzo Engwanda Alonzo Engwanda M 6.90
10 Y. Cathline Y. Cathline 80' M 6.60
20 D. de Wit D. de Wit M 6.50
77
A. Alarcon 80' M 6.30
18 Artem Stepanov Artem Stepanov 41' F 6.50
Bench
15 A. Blake A. Blake F
5 Emeka Adeile Emeka Adeile 49' D 5.90
11 Jesper Karlsson Jesper Karlsson 14' F 6.30
44 M. Eerdhuijzen M. Eerdhuijzen D
53 Neal Viereck Neal Viereck D
2 S. Horemans S. Horemans 53' D 5.30
Best on the pitch
D. Sanches Fernandes
D. Sanches Fernandes
F · Excelsior
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 38 pass
N. Naujoks
N. Naujoks
M · Excelsior
8.30
1 ⚽
5 shots · 22 pass
L. Hartjes
L. Hartjes
M · Excelsior
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 59 pass
L. Schouten
L. Schouten
D · Excelsior
7.90
· 70 pass
A. Zagré
A. Zagré
D · Excelsior
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 66 pass
C. Widell
C. Widell
D · Excelsior
7.60
· 63 pass
Excelsior Excelsior — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 7.50 — — — 29 17% — — —
A. Zagré D 94 7.60 — 1 1 66 60% 2 — —
L. Schouten D 94 7.90 — — — 70 63% 1 — —
C. Widell D 94 7.60 — — — 63 55% 1 — —
R. Meissen D 85 6.90 — — — 60 43% 2 — —
I. Yegoian M 76 7.20 1 — 2 36 30% 2 — —
L. Hartjes M 94 8.20 1 — 1 59 55% 2 — —
N. Naujoks M 85 8.30 1 — 5 22 20% 3 — —
Emil Hansson F 63 6.70 — — 1 26 24% — — —
G. de Regt F 94 6.60 — 1 1 24 20% — — —
D. Sanches Fernandes F 76 10.00 2 1 3 38 37% 1 — —
I. Bronkhorst D 18 7.30 — — — 10 10% — — —
S. Włodarczyk F 31 6.30 — — 1 8 8% — — —
Utrecht Utrecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 4.90 — — — 34 17% — — —
S. El Karouani D 45 6.50 — — — 19 15% 2 — —
D 94 6.00 — — — 63 50% 1 — —
M. Didden D 31 4.90 — — — 20 19% — 2 1
N. Vesterlund D 94 5.90 — — — 35 24% 3 — —
G. Zechiël M 72 6.70 — — 1 39 34% 1 1 —
Alonzo Engwanda M 94 6.90 — — — 37 33% 3 — —
Y. Cathline M 80 6.60 — — 2 15 10% — — —
D. de Wit M 94 6.50 — — 1 23 17% 2 — —
A. Alarcon M 80 6.30 — — 2 20 12% 1 — —
Artem Stepanov F 41 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
Emeka Adeile D 49 5.90 — — — 16 15% — — —
Jesper Karlsson F 14 6.30 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
S. Horemans D 53 5.30 — — — 26 21% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Excelsior vs Utrecht?
The final score was Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht.
What did the model predict before Excelsior vs Utrecht?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Excelsior win, 24% to a draw, and 51% to an Utrecht win.