← Eredivisie
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 14:15
Excelsior
#14 · 35 pts
5 – 0
Final score
Utrecht
#7 · 50 pts
N. Naujoks (ast. D. Sanches Fernandes) 11'
D. Sanches Fernandes (ast. G. de Regt) 36'
D. Sanches Fernandes (ast. A. Zagre) 55'
I. Yegoian 69'
L. Hartjes 90'+3

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Utrecht a 51% win probability (draw 24%, Excelsior 23%). The final result was Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht. In 1 previous meetings, Excelsior have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Utrecht.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
3
3.32
Actual xG
0.84
3
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
3
Corners
2
14
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽N. Naujoks · ast. D. Sanches Fernandes
11'
17'
29'
M. Didden
31'
M. Didden
31'
M. Didden
⚽D. Sanches Fernandes · ast. G. de Regt
36'
41'
S. Horemans / A. Stepanov ↕
46'
E. Adiele / S. El Karouani ↕
⚽D. Sanches Fernandes · ast. A. Zagre
55'
↕ E. Hansson / S. Wlodarczyk
63'
64'
G. Zechiel
⚽I. Yegoian
69'
72'
C. Bozdogan / G. Zechiel ↕
↕ D. Sanches Fernandes / A. Carlen
76'
↕ I. Yegoian / I. Bronkhorst
76'
80'
D. Min / A. Alarcon ↕
80'
J. Karlsson / Y. Cathline ↕
↕ N. Naujoks / S. Janssen
85'
↕ R. Meissen / G. Cairo
85'
⚽L. Hartjes
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
23.82%
Excelsior ←
24.53%
X
51.64%
Utrecht
we assigned to the actual result (Excelsior) 23.82% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Excelsior
0.93
3.32
+2.39
Utrecht
1.76
0.84
-0.92
Excelsior dominated by xG (3.32 vs 0.84). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 33 81
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 33 62
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 Twente Twente 33 58
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 33 56
5 Ajax Ajax 33 55
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 33 51
7 Utrecht Utrecht 33 50
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 33 50
9 Groningen Groningen 33 45
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 33 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 33 38
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 37
14 Excelsior Excelsior 33 35
15 Telstar Telstar 33 34
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 33 28
18 Heracles Heracles 33 19
Lineups
Excelsior Excelsior 4-3-3
1
G 7.50
12 A. Zagré A. Zagré 1 👟 D 7.60
14 Lewis Schouten Lewis Schouten D 7.90
4 Casper Widell Casper Widell D 7.60
3 Rick Meissen Rick Meissen 85' D 6.90
23 Irakli Yegoian Irakli Yegoian 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.20
20 Lennard Hartjes Lennard Hartjes 1 ⚽ M 8.20
10 N. Naujoks N. Naujoks 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.30
7 Emil Hansson Emil Hansson 63' F 6.70
11 Gyan de Regt Gyan de Regt 1 👟 F 6.60
30 Derensili Sanches Fernandes Derensili Sanches Fernandes 2 ⚽ 1 👟 76' F 10.00
Bench
2 I. Bronkhorst I. Bronkhorst 18' D 7.30
33 Jerolldino Bergraaf Jerolldino Bergraaf F
9 Szymon Włodarczyk Szymon Włodarczyk 31' F 6.30
Utrecht Utrecht 4-2-3-1
1
G 4.90
16 S. El Karouani S. El Karouani 45' D 6.50
3
D 6.00
40
M. Didden 31' D 4.90
23 Niklas Vesterlund Niklas Vesterlund D 5.90
21 G. Zechiël G. Zechiël 72' M 6.70
27 Alonzo Engwanda Alonzo Engwanda M 6.90
10 Yoann Cathline Yoann Cathline 80' M 6.60
20 D. de Wit D. de Wit M 6.50
77
A. Alarcon 80' M 6.30
18
A. Stepanov 41' F 6.50
Bench
15 Adrian Blake Adrian Blake F
5 Emeka Adeile Emeka Adeile 49' D 5.90
11 Jesper Karlsson Jesper Karlsson 14' F 6.30
44 Mike Eerdhuijzen Mike Eerdhuijzen D
53 Neal Viereck Neal Viereck D
2 Siebe Horemans Siebe Horemans 53' D 5.30
Best on the pitch
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
F · Excelsior
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 38 pass
N. Naujoks
N. Naujoks
M · Excelsior
8.30
1 ⚽
5 shots · 22 pass
Lennard Hartjes
Lennard Hartjes
M · Excelsior
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 59 pass
Lewis Schouten
Lewis Schouten
D · Excelsior
7.90
· 70 pass
A. Zagré
A. Zagré
D · Excelsior
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 66 pass
Casper Widell
Casper Widell
D · Excelsior
7.60
· 63 pass
Excelsior Excelsior — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 7.50 — — — 29 17% — — —
A. Zagré D 94 7.60 — 1 1 66 60% 2 — —
Lewis Schouten D 94 7.90 — — — 70 63% 1 — —
Casper Widell D 94 7.60 — — — 63 55% 1 — —
Rick Meissen D 85 6.90 — — — 60 43% 2 — —
Irakli Yegoian M 76 7.20 1 — 2 36 30% 2 — —
Lennard Hartjes M 94 8.20 1 — 1 59 55% 2 — —
N. Naujoks M 85 8.30 1 — 5 22 20% 3 — —
Emil Hansson F 63 6.70 — — 1 26 24% — — —
Gyan de Regt F 94 6.60 — 1 1 24 20% — — —
Derensili Sanches Fernandes F 76 10.00 2 1 3 38 37% 1 — —
I. Bronkhorst D 18 7.30 — — — 10 10% — — —
Szymon Włodarczyk F 31 6.30 — — 1 8 8% — — —
Utrecht Utrecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 4.90 — — — 34 17% — — —
S. El Karouani D 45 6.50 — — — 19 15% 2 — —
D 94 6.00 — — — 63 50% 1 — —
M. Didden D 31 4.90 — — — 20 19% — 2 1
Niklas Vesterlund D 94 5.90 — — — 35 24% 3 — —
G. Zechiël M 72 6.70 — — 1 39 34% 1 1 —
Alonzo Engwanda M 94 6.90 — — — 37 33% 3 — —
Yoann Cathline M 80 6.60 — — 2 15 10% — — —
D. de Wit M 94 6.50 — — 1 23 17% 2 — —
A. Alarcon M 80 6.30 — — 2 20 12% 1 — —
A. Stepanov F 41 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
Emeka Adeile D 49 5.90 — — — 16 15% — — —
Jesper Karlsson F 14 6.30 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Siebe Horemans D 53 5.30 — — — 26 21% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Excelsior vs Utrecht?
The final score was Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht.
What did the model predict before Excelsior vs Utrecht?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Excelsior win, 24% to a draw, and 51% to an Utrecht win.