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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 12:15
Excelsior
#13 · 11 pts
5 – 0
Final score
Utrecht
#11 · 12 pts
N. Naujoks (ast. D. Sanches Fernandes) 11'
D. Sanches Fernandes (ast. G. de Regt) 36'
D. Sanches Fernandes (ast. A. Zagre) 55'
I. Yegoian 69'
L. Hartjes 90'+3
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Utrecht a 51% win probability (draw 24%, Excelsior 23%). The final result was Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht. In 2 previous meetings, Excelsior have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Utrecht.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
3
3.32
Actual xG
0.84
3
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
3
Corners
2
14
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽N. Naujoks · ast. D. Sanches Fernandes
11'
17'
29'
M. Didden
31'
M. Didden
31'
M. Didden
⚽D. Sanches Fernandes · ast. G. de Regt
36'
41'
S. Horemans / A. Stepanov ↕
46'
E. Adiele / S. El Karouani ↕
⚽D. Sanches Fernandes · ast. A. Zagre
55'
↕ E. Hansson / S. Wlodarczyk
63'
64'
G. Zechiel
⚽I. Yegoian
69'
72'
C. Bozdogan / G. Zechiel ↕
↕ D. Sanches Fernandes / A. Carlen
76'
↕ I. Yegoian / I. Bronkhorst
76'
80'
D. Min / A. Alarcon ↕
80'
J. Karlsson / Y. Cathline ↕
↕ N. Naujoks / S. Janssen
85'
↕ R. Meissen / G. Cairo
85'
⚽L. Hartjes
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
23.82%
Excelsior ←
24.53%
X
51.64%
Utrecht
we assigned to the actual result (Excelsior) 23.82% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Excelsior
0.93
3.32
+2.39
Utrecht
1.76
0.84
-0.92
Excelsior dominated by xG (3.32 vs 0.84). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
Excelsior Excelsior 4-3-3
1
G 7.50
12 A. Zagré A. Zagré 1 👟 D 7.60
14 L. Schouten L. Schouten D 7.90
4 Casper Widell Casper Widell D 7.60
3 Rick Meissen Rick Meissen 85' D 6.90
23 Irakli Yegoian Irakli Yegoian 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.20
20 L. Hartjes L. Hartjes 1 ⚽ M 8.20
10 Noah Naujoks Noah Naujoks 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.30
7 Emil Hansson Emil Hansson 63' F 6.70
11 G. de Regt G. de Regt 1 👟 F 6.60
30 D. Sanches Fernandes D. Sanches Fernandes 2 ⚽ 1 👟 76' F 10.00
Bench
2 I. Bronkhorst I. Bronkhorst 18' D 7.30
33 Jerolldino Armantrading Jerolldino Armantrading F
9 S. Włodarczyk S. Włodarczyk 31' F 6.30
Utrecht Utrecht 4-2-3-1
1
G 4.90
16 S. El Karouani S. El Karouani 45' D 6.50
3
D 6.00
40 M. Didden M. Didden 31' D 4.90
23 N. Vesterlund N. Vesterlund D 5.90
21 G. Zechiël G. Zechiël 72' M 6.70
27 Alonzo Engwanda Alonzo Engwanda M 6.90
10 Y. Cathline Y. Cathline 80' M 6.60
20 D. de Wit D. de Wit M 6.50
77
A. Alarcon 80' M 6.30
18 Artem Stepanov Artem Stepanov 41' F 6.50
Bench
15 A. Blake A. Blake F
5 Emeka Adeile Emeka Adeile 49' D 5.90
11 J. Karlsson J. Karlsson 14' F 6.30
44 Mike Eerdhuijzen Mike Eerdhuijzen D
53 Neal Viereck Neal Viereck D
2 S. Horemans S. Horemans 53' D 5.30
Best on the pitch
D. Sanches Fernandes
D. Sanches Fernandes
F · Excelsior
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 38 pass
Noah Naujoks
Noah Naujoks
M · Excelsior
8.30
1 ⚽
5 shots · 22 pass
L. Hartjes
L. Hartjes
M · Excelsior
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 59 pass
L. Schouten
L. Schouten
D · Excelsior
7.90
· 70 pass
A. Zagré
A. Zagré
D · Excelsior
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 66 pass
Casper Widell
Casper Widell
D · Excelsior
7.60
· 63 pass
Excelsior Excelsior — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 7.50 — — — 29 17% — — —
A. Zagré D 94 7.60 — 1 1 66 60% 2 — —
L. Schouten D 94 7.90 — — — 70 63% 1 — —
Casper Widell D 94 7.60 — — — 63 55% 1 — —
Rick Meissen D 85 6.90 — — — 60 43% 2 — —
Irakli Yegoian M 76 7.20 1 — 2 36 30% 2 — —
L. Hartjes M 94 8.20 1 — 1 59 55% 2 — —
Noah Naujoks M 85 8.30 1 — 5 22 20% 3 — —
Emil Hansson F 63 6.70 — — 1 26 24% — — —
G. de Regt F 94 6.60 — 1 1 24 20% — — —
D. Sanches Fernandes F 76 10.00 2 1 3 38 37% 1 — —
I. Bronkhorst D 18 7.30 — — — 10 10% — — —
S. Włodarczyk F 31 6.30 — — 1 8 8% — — —
Utrecht Utrecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 4.90 — — — 34 17% — — —
S. El Karouani D 45 6.50 — — — 19 15% 2 — —
D 94 6.00 — — — 63 50% 1 — —
M. Didden D 31 4.90 — — — 20 19% — 2 1
N. Vesterlund D 94 5.90 — — — 35 24% 3 — —
G. Zechiël M 72 6.70 — — 1 39 34% 1 1 —
Alonzo Engwanda M 94 6.90 — — — 37 33% 3 — —
Y. Cathline M 80 6.60 — — 2 15 10% — — —
D. de Wit M 94 6.50 — — 1 23 17% 2 — —
A. Alarcon M 80 6.30 — — 2 20 12% 1 — —
Artem Stepanov F 41 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
Emeka Adeile D 49 5.90 — — — 16 15% — — —
J. Karlsson F 14 6.30 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
S. Horemans D 53 5.30 — — — 26 21% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Excelsior vs Utrecht?
The final score was Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht.
What did the model predict before Excelsior vs Utrecht?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Excelsior win, 24% to a draw, and 51% to an Utrecht win.