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Fafe - Lajense

Taça de Portugal September 20, 2026 16:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Fafe
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Lajense
4.5
Expected xG
0.52

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.42%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fafe a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Lajense. Expected goals are 4.5 for Fafe and 0.5 for Lajense (total 5.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.42% probability.

Season Stats

Fafe
6W 1D 1L
Lajense
0W 0D 2L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
0.5
0.6
Conceded
4.0
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
50%
25%
O 2.5
50%
38%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 8 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Fafe Lajense →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 10.0% 5.2% 1.4% 0.2%
4 11.3% 5.9% 1.5% 0.3%
5 10.1% 5.3% 1.4% 0.2%

Recent form

W Pacos Ferreira 0–1
L Torreense 2–0
D Torreense 1–1
W SC Braga 2–1
W Lusitano Évora 1911 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
L Lusitano Évora 1911 1–7
L 1º Dezembro 0–1

Playing profile

Fafe Fafe
Attack
39
Defence
83
Form
64
Lajense Lajense
Attack
13
Defence
37
Form
34
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fafe vs Lajense?
The model gives Fafe a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Lajense win.
How many goals are expected in Fafe vs Lajense?
Expected goals: Fafe 4.5, Lajense 0.5 (total 5.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Fafe vs Lajense?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.42%.