49'
Yuya Osako
56'
(ast. Yoshinori Muto)
Yuya Osako
64'
Matheus Thuler
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vissel Kobe a 34% win probability (draw 34%, Fagiano Okayama 31%). The final result was Fagiano Okayama 0–3 Vissel Kobe. In 2 previous meetings, Fagiano Okayama have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vissel Kobe.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
21
4
Shots on target
8
1.17
Actual xG
1.65
5
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
10
Corners
8
7
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Lucas Marcos Meireles
2'
Oberdan Alionço de Lima
43'
45'
Yuan Iwamoto
/
Katsuya Nagato
Lucas Marcos Meireles
/ Léo Gaúcho
45'
Léo Gaúcho
46'
49'
Yuya Osako⚽
56'
ast. Yoshinori Muto ·
Yuya Osako⚽
56'
Yoshitake Suzuki
63'
64'
Matheus Thuler⚽
Oberdan Alionço de Lima
/ Ryoga Sato
66'
Towa Yamane
/ Kamiya Yuta
66'
76'
Ren Komatsu
/
Yuya Osako
77'
Jean Patric Lima dos Reis
/
Yoshinori Muto
Ataru Esaka
/ Kota Kawano
79'
83'
Nanasei Iino
/
Erik Nascimento de Lima
Na Sang-Ho
/ Noah Kenshin Browne
85'
90'
Yuta Goke
/
Gotoku Sakai
Pre-match prediction
31.1%
Fagiano
34.58%
X
34.32%
Vissel ←
we assigned to the actual result (Vissel Kobe)
34.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.62
1.17
+0.55
0.75
1.65
+0.9
Vissel Kobe dominated by xG (1.65 vs 1.17).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
L. Moser
G
L. Moser
G
43
Y. Suzuki
D
Y. Suzuki
D
48
Y. Tatsuta
D
Y. Tatsuta
D
44
S. Mori
D
S. Mori
D
88
T. Yamane
66'
M
T. Yamane
66'
M
80
Oberdan
66'
M
Oberdan
66'
M
41
E. Miyamoto
M
E. Miyamoto
M
51
K. Shirai
M
K. Shirai
M
8
A. Esaka
79'
M
A. Esaka
79'
M
10
Na Sang-Ho
85'
M
Na Sang-Ho
85'
M
99
Lucão
45'
F
Lucão
45'
F
Bench
20
K. Kawano
11'
F
K. Kawano
11'
F
9
Léo Gaúcho
45'
F
Léo Gaúcho
45'
F
28
M. Matsumoto
M
M. Matsumoto
M
79
N. Browne
5'
M
N. Browne
5'
M
19
R. Sato
24'
F
R. Sato
24'
F
7
R. Takeuchi
M
R. Takeuchi
M
52
T. Hamada
G
T. Hamada
G
55
Y. Fujii
D
Y. Fujii
D
33
Y. Kamiya
24'
M
Y. Kamiya
24'
M
71
S. Gonda
G
S. Gonda
G
15
Diego
D
Diego
D
3
Matheus Thuler
1 ⚽
D
Matheus Thuler
1 ⚽
D
4
T. Yamakawa
D
T. Yamakawa
D
24
G. Sakai
89'
D
G. Sakai
89'
D
94
Erik
83'
M
Erik
83'
M
25
Y. Kuwasaki
M
Y. Kuwasaki
M
7
Y. Ideguchi
M
Y. Ideguchi
M
41
K. Nagato
45'
F
K. Nagato
45'
F
10
Y. Osako
2 ⚽
76'
F
Y. Osako
2 ⚽
76'
F
11
Y. Muto
1 👟
77'
F
Y. Muto
1 👟
77'
F
Bench
16
Caetano
D
Caetano
D
1
D. Maekawa
G
D. Maekawa
G
26
Jean Patrick
13'
F
Jean Patrick
13'
F
20
K. Watanabe
M
K. Watanabe
M
44
M. Hidaka
M
M. Hidaka
M
2
N. Iino
7'
D
N. Iino
7'
D
29
R. Komatsu
14'
F
R. Komatsu
14'
F
5
Y. Goke
1'
M
Y. Goke
1'
M
23
Yuan Iwamoto
45'
M
Yuan Iwamoto
45'
M
Best on the pitch
Y. Osako
F · Vissel
9.39
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 30 pass
Matheus Thuler
D · Vissel
7.87
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
G. Sakai
D · Vissel
7.28
3 shots
· 41 pass
R. Komatsu
F · Vissel
7.12
1 shots
· 6 pass
Y. Muto
F · Vissel
7.11
1 👟
· 32 pass
S. Gonda
G · Vissel
6.99
· 41 pass
Fagiano Okayama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Moser | G | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Suzuki | D | 90 | 5.76 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Y. Tatsuta | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Mori | D | 90 | 6.13 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Yamane | M | 66 | 6.05 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Oberdan | M | 66 | 6.24 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 0 | 1 | — |
| E. Miyamoto | M | 90 | 5.63 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Shirai | M | 90 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Esaka | M | 79 | 5.22 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Na Sang-Ho | M | 85 | 6.10 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Lucão | F | 45 | 5.72 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 8% | 0 | 1 | — |
| K. Kawano | F | 11 | 6.37 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Léo Gaúcho | F | 45 | 5.86 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 0 | 1 | — |
| N. Browne | M | 5 | 5.84 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Sato | F | 24 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Kamiya | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Vissel Kobe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gonda | G | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 38% | 0 | — | — |
| Matheus Thuler | D | 90 | 7.87 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Yamakawa | D | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Sakai | D | 89 | 7.28 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Erik | M | 83 | 6.18 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Kuwasaki | M | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Ideguchi | M | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Nagato | F | 45 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Osako | F | 76 | 9.39 | 2 | — | 4 | 30 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Muto | F | 77 | 7.11 | — | 1 | 0 | 32 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Jean Patrick | F | 13 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Iino | D | 7 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Komatsu | F | 14 | 7.12 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Goke | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Yuan Iwamoto | M | 45 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
The final score was Fagiano Okayama 0–3 Vissel Kobe.
What did the model predict before Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Fagiano Okayama win, 34% to a draw, and 34% to an Vissel Kobe win.