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Fakel - Dynamo

Cup August 05, 2026 17:30
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.61%
Win
Fakel
31.01%
Draw
33.38%
Win
Dynamo
1.52
Expected xG
1.52

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (14.26%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 31%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 64%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 65%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fakel a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Dynamo. Expected goals are 1.5 for Fakel and 1.5 for Dynamo (total 3.0), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 14.26% probability.

Season Stats

Fakel
1W 1D 1L
Dynamo
5W 4D 3L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.6
1.3
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
50%
33%
O 2.5
50%
67%
BTTS
25%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
Based on the last 12 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Fakel
1W 0D 1L · at home
Dynamo
2W 3D 1L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.2
1.5
Conceded
0.3
50%
Win %
33%
50%
Win or Draw
83%
50%
O 1.5
33%
50%
O 2.5
33%
50%
O 3.5
33%
50%
BTTS
17%
50%
Clean Sht
67%
0%
Failed to Score
67%
last 6
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Fakel Dynamo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8% 7.3% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.3% 11.1% 8.4% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.4% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.8% 4.2% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

L Arsenal Tula 2–3
W Ural 1–0
D Tekstilshchik 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
D FC Krasnodar 0–0
D FC Krasnodar 0–0
L Spartak Moscow 1–0
W Spartak Moscow 5–2
L Zenit 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Fakel Fakel
Attack
40
Defence
73
Form
56
Dynamo Dynamo
Attack
51
Defence
74
Form
69
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fakel vs Dynamo?
The model gives Fakel a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an Dynamo win.
How many goals are expected in Fakel vs Dynamo?
Expected goals: Fakel 1.5, Dynamo 1.5 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Fakel vs Dynamo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.26%.