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Fakel - FC Krasnodar

Cup September 01, 2026 17:30
Fakel
vs
FC Krasnodar
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.32%
Win
Fakel
30.58%
Draw
39.1%
Win
FC Krasnodar
1.21
Expected xG
1.71

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (14.14%)
1X2 Result
1 30%
X 31%
2 39%
Double Chance
1X 61%
X2 70%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 65%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Krasnodar a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Fakel. Expected goals are 1.2 for Fakel and 1.7 for FC Krasnodar (total 2.9), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 14.14% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Fakel have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Krasnodar.

Season Stats

Fakel
1W 1D 2L
FC Krasnodar
7W 5D 2L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.0
1.2
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
79%
25%
O 2.5
64%
50%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 14 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
52%
BTTS
Fakel
1W 0D 2L · at home
FC Krasnodar
4W 2D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
2.1
1.3
Conceded
1.1
33%
Win %
57%
33%
Win or Draw
86%
33%
O 1.5
86%
33%
O 2.5
71%
33%
O 3.5
57%
33%
BTTS
71%
33%
Clean Sht
29%
33%
Failed to Score
14%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Fakel FC Krasnodar →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4% 9.2% 7.9% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7%
1 6.5% 11.2% 9.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.9% 6.7% 5.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Fakel Fakel
L Dynamo 0–1
L Arsenal Tula 2–3
W Ural 1–0
D Tekstilshchik 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar
D Akhmat 1–1
D Spartak Moscow 1–1
D Dynamo 0–0
D Dynamo 0–0
W CSKA Moscow 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Fakel Fakel
Attack
32
Defence
68
Form
49
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar
Attack
56
Defence
67
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Fakel
0
Draw
1
FC Krasnodar
2 Aug 2026 Premier League 2–3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fakel vs FC Krasnodar?
The model gives Fakel a 30% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 39% for an FC Krasnodar win.
How many goals are expected in Fakel vs FC Krasnodar?
Expected goals: Fakel 1.2, FC Krasnodar 1.7 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Fakel vs FC Krasnodar?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.14%.