Fakel 0–0 FC Orenburg — pre-match prediction — Premier League — August 22, 2026

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Premier League · Regular Season - 5 August 22, 2026 14:30

Fakel

#16 · 3 pts

0 – 0

Final score

FC Orenburg

#11 · 9 pts

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fakel a 35% win probability (draw 30%, FC Orenburg 33%). The final result was Fakel 0–0 FC Orenburg.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

56%

Possession

44%

Corners

Tackles

Match Events

35'

D. Rybchinskiy

↕ A. Bagamaev / N. Giorgobiani

46'

51'

(missed pen.) D. Puebla⚽

↕ A. Sutormin / I. Yurganov

64'

↕ R. Netfullin / B. Magomedov

64'

67'

J. Palacios

Pre-match prediction

35.57%

Fakel

30.8%

X ←

33.63%

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.8% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Fakel

1.42

—

1.34

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	21
2	Dynamo	9	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	19
5	Zenit	9	18
6	Rubin	9	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	12
8	Baltika	9	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	11
10	Akhmat	9	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	9
12	FC Rostov	9	8
13	Akron	9	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	5
16	Fakel	9	3

Lineups

Fakel 3-4-3

D. Frolkin 33' G 6.90

Y. Zhuravlev 33' D 6.60

M. Bardachev 33' D 7.30

A. Gabaraev 33' D 6.60

I. Alshin 33' M 6.60

R. Netfullin 33' M 6.60

V. Yakimov 33' M 6.60

D. Todorović 33' M 6.50

A. Sutormin 33' F 6.90

A. Gnapi Dable 33' F 6.60

A. Bagamaev 33' F 6.00

Bench

A. Belyaev F

A. Kovalev M

B. Magomedov M

B. Pusi F

H. El Mahasni D

I. Obukhov G

I. Yurganov D

Kirill Simonov M

M. Uridia F

N. Giorgobiani M

V. Dorovskikh G

FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1

B. Ovsyannikov 33' G 6.60

E. Tsenov 33' D 6.90

A. Tataev 33' D 6.70

J. Palacios 33' D 6.70

M. Sivis 33' D 6.70

E. Bolotov 33' M 6.30

R. Kul 33' M 6.90

D. Rybchinskiy 33' M 6.70

Egor Nazarenko 33' M 6.50

D. Puebla 33' M 6.60

G. Guzina 33' F 6.60

Bench

A. Kasadzhikov F

A. Kasimov D

A. Khodanovich G

Alexandre Jesus F

Benjamín Bosch F

D. Vedernikov D

I. Ivashchenko M

J. González F

Maksim Syshchenko D

M. Pykhcheev M

O. Minatulaev M

S. Poroykov D

Best on the pitch

M. Bardachev

D · Fakel

7.30

· 21 pass

D. Frolkin

G · Fakel

6.90

· 10 pass

R. Kul

M · FC

6.90

· 6 pass

A. Sutormin

F · Fakel

6.90

· 7 pass

E. Tsenov

D · FC

6.90

· 14 pass

D. Rybchinskiy

M · FC

6.70

· 11 pass

Fakel — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Frolkin	G	33	6.90	—	—	—	10	4%	—	—	—
Y. Zhuravlev	D	33	6.60	—	—	—	17	14%	2	—	—
M. Bardachev	D	33	7.30	—	—	—	21	13%	1	—	—
A. Gabaraev	D	33	6.60	—	—	—	15	12%	—	—	—
I. Alshin	M	33	6.60	—	—	—	11	10%	1	—	—
R. Netfullin	M	33	6.60	—	—	—	12	11%	—	—	—
V. Yakimov	M	33	6.60	—	—	—	8	3%	1	—	—
D. Todorović	M	33	6.50	—	—	—	13	5%	—	—	—
A. Sutormin	F	33	6.90	—	—	—	7	6%	1	—	—
A. Gnapi Dable	F	33	6.60	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—
A. Bagamaev	F	33	6.00	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—

FC Orenburg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
B. Ovsyannikov	G	33	6.60	—	—	—	7	3%	—	—	—
E. Tsenov	D	33	6.90	—	—	—	14	10%	1	—	—
A. Tataev	D	33	6.70	—	—	1	12	11%	—	—	—
J. Palacios	D	33	6.70	—	—	—	12	8%	—	—	—
M. Sivis	D	33	6.70	—	—	—	10	9%	—	—	—
E. Bolotov	M	33	6.30	—	—	1	18	10%	—	—	—
R. Kul	M	33	6.90	—	—	—	6	6%	2	—	—
D. Rybchinskiy	M	33	6.70	—	—	—	11	6%	1	—	—
Egor Nazarenko	M	33	6.50	—	—	1	11	6%	—	—	—
D. Puebla	M	33	6.60	—	—	—	8	4%	—	—	—
G. Guzina	F	33	6.60	—	—	—	6	3%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Fakel vs FC Orenburg?

The final score was Fakel 0–0 FC Orenburg.

What did the model predict before Fakel vs FC Orenburg?

The model assigned 35% probability to a Fakel win, 30% to a draw, and 33% to an FC Orenburg win.