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Premier League · Regular Season - 10 October 10, 2026 14:15 Fakel Stadium, Voronezh
Fakel
#16 · 6 pts
0 – 5
Final score
Lokomotiv
#13 · 11 pts
25' (ast. Sergey Pinyaev) Nikolay Titkov
32' (ast. Zelimkhan Bakaev) Nikolay Komlichenko
49' (ast. Aleksandr Rudenko) César Montes
64' (ast. Sergey Pinyaev) Egor Pogostnov
74' (ast. Zelimkhan Bakaev) Nikolay Komlichenko
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lokomotiv a 30% win probability (draw 41%, Fakel 27%). The final result was Fakel 0–5 Lokomotiv.

Match statistics
24
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
8
2.22
Actual xG
2.48
3
Saves
4
60%
Possession
40%
12
Corners
3
12
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
25'
ast. Sergey Pinyaev · Nikolay Titkov⚽
28'
Danila Godyaev
32'
ast. Zelimkhan Bakaev · Nikolay Komlichenko⚽
36'
Egor Pogostnov
↕ Anton Kovalev / Aleksandr Koksharov
45'
49'
ast. Aleksandr Rudenko · César Montes⚽
62'
Lucas Fasson / Danila Godyaev ↕
64'
ast. Sergey Pinyaev · Egor Pogostnov⚽
↕ Aleksey Sutormin / Ravil Netfullin
68'
↕ Abdula Bagamaev / Ilnur Alshin
68'
↕ Maksim Turishchev / Belajdi Pusi
68'
74'
ast. Zelimkhan Bakaev · Nikolay Komlichenko⚽
75'
Vadim Rakov / Zelimkhan Bakaev ↕
75'
Ilya Eremeev / Sergey Pinyaev ↕
85'
Mikhail Shchetinin / Aleksandr Rudenko ↕
86'
Aleksandr Kovalenko / Sergey Babkin ↕
Pre-match prediction
27.96%
Fakel
41.41%
X
30.64%
Lokomotiv ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lokomotiv) 30.64% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fakel
0.40
2.22
+1.82
Lokomotiv
0.50
2.48
+1.98
xG dominance was balanced (2.22 – 2.48). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zenit Zenit 12 27
2 Dynamo Dynamo 12 25
3 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 12 25
4 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 12 23
5 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 12 23
6 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 12 16
7 FC Rostov FC Rostov 12 15
8 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 12 15
9 Baltika Baltika 12 14
10 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 12 13
11 Rubin Rubin 12 12
12 Akron Akron 12 12
13 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 12 11
14 Akhmat Akhmat 12 11
15 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 12 9
16 Fakel Fakel 12 6
Lineups
Fakel Fakel 3-4-3
35 V. Dorovskikh V. Dorovskikh G 5.60
44 Y. Zhuravlev Y. Zhuravlev D 5.70
40 Clayton Clayton D 5.58
5 A. Gabaraev A. Gabaraev D 5.93
8 A. Bagamaev A. Bagamaev 68' M 6.34
23 V. Yakimov V. Yakimov M 6.39
97 B. Magomedov B. Magomedov M 6.09
55 D. Todorović D. Todorović M 5.51
11 A. Sutormin A. Sutormin 68' F 6.36
7 M. Turishchev M. Turishchev 68' F 6.48
17 A. Kovalev A. Kovalev 45' F 6.50
Bench
9 A. Gnapi Dable A. Gnapi Dable F 0.00
90 A. Koksharov A. Koksharov 45' F 6.71
19 B. Pusi B. Pusi 22' F 6.64
1 D. Frolkin D. Frolkin G 0.00
22 H. El Mahasni H. El Mahasni D 0.00
10 I. Alshin I. Alshin 22' M 5.84
96 I. Obukhov I. Obukhov G 0.00
52 R. Netfullin R. Netfullin 22' M 6.16
27 S. Magkeev S. Magkeev D 0.00
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 4-2-3-1
1 A. Mitryushkin A. Mitryushkin G 7.49
47 D. Godyaev D. Godyaev 62' D 6.69
23 C. Montes C. Montes 1 ⚽ D 8.22
59 E. Pogostnov E. Pogostnov 1 ⚽ D 8.06
24 M. Nenakhov M. Nenakhov D 6.84
6 S. Babkin S. Babkin 86' M 6.28
18 N. Titkov N. Titkov 1 ⚽ M 8.20
9 S. Pinyaev S. Pinyaev 2 👟 75' M 8.60
7 Z. Bakaev Z. Bakaev 2 👟 75' M 8.44
19 A. Rudenko A. Rudenko 1 👟 85' M 7.26
27 N. Komlichenko N. Komlichenko 2 ⚽ F 8.84
Bench
8 A. Kovalenko A. Kovalenko 4' M 6.78
74 D. Chevardin D. Chevardin D 0.00
16 D. Veselov D. Veselov G 0.00
14 G. Dzhikiya G. Dzhikiya D 0.00
5 G. Nyamsi G. Nyamsi D 0.00
75 I. Eremeev I. Eremeev 15' M 6.91
22 I. Lantratov I. Lantratov G 0.00
3 Lucas Fasson Lucas Fasson 28' D 6.96
88 M. Shchetinin M. Shchetinin 5' M 7.12
99 R. Myalkovskiy R. Myalkovskiy F 0.00
63 V. Golubev V. Golubev F 0.00
11 V. Rakov V. Rakov 15' F 6.41
Best on the pitch
N. Komlichenko
N. Komlichenko
F · Lokomotiv
8.84
2 ⚽
2 shots · 13 pass
S. Pinyaev
S. Pinyaev
M · Lokomotiv
8.60
2 👟
4 shots · 15 pass
Z. Bakaev
Z. Bakaev
M · Lokomotiv
8.44
2 👟
· 24 pass
C. Montes
C. Montes
D · Lokomotiv
8.22
1 ⚽
2 shots · 41 pass
N. Titkov
N. Titkov
M · Lokomotiv
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 32 pass
E. Pogostnov
E. Pogostnov
D · Lokomotiv
8.06
1 ⚽
1 shots · 36 pass
Fakel Fakel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Dorovskikh G 90 5.60 — — 0 21 15% 0 — —
Y. Zhuravlev D 90 5.70 — — 1 68 51% 0 — —
Clayton D 90 5.58 — — 1 67 55% 0 — —
A. Gabaraev D 90 5.93 — — 2 66 55% 0 — —
A. Bagamaev M 68 6.34 — — 3 21 17% 1 — —
V. Yakimov M 90 6.39 — — 2 39 29% 4 — —
B. Magomedov M 90 6.09 — — 2 51 40% 3 — —
D. Todorović M 90 5.51 — — 0 40 28% 0 — —
A. Sutormin F 68 6.36 — — 2 43 30% 0 — —
M. Turishchev F 68 6.48 — — 4 9 7% 0 — —
A. Kovalev F 45 6.50 — — 2 5 4% 1 — —
A. Koksharov F 45 6.71 — — 2 15 11% 2 — —
B. Pusi F 22 6.64 — — 2 5 5% 0 — —
I. Alshin M 22 5.84 — — 1 16 13% 0 — —
R. Netfullin M 22 6.16 — — 0 21 17% 1 — —
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Mitryushkin G 90 7.49 — — 0 28 15% 0 — —
D. Godyaev D 62 6.69 — — 0 25 18% 2 1 —
C. Montes D 90 8.22 1 — 2 41 34% 1 — —
E. Pogostnov D 90 8.06 1 — 1 36 32% 1 1 —
M. Nenakhov D 90 6.84 — — 1 32 21% 0 — —
S. Babkin M 86 6.28 — — 0 35 24% 1 — —
N. Titkov M 90 8.20 1 — 2 32 29% 2 — —
S. Pinyaev M 75 8.60 — 2 4 15 8% 0 — —
Z. Bakaev M 75 8.44 — 2 0 24 15% 0 — —
A. Rudenko M 85 7.26 — 1 0 20 14% 1 — —
N. Komlichenko F 90 8.84 2 — 2 13 7% 2 — —
A. Kovalenko M 4 6.78 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
I. Eremeev M 15 6.91 — — 1 5 5% 0 — —
Lucas Fasson D 28 6.96 — — 0 25 22% 0 — —
M. Shchetinin M 5 7.12 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
V. Rakov F 15 6.41 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fakel vs Lokomotiv?
The final score was Fakel 0–5 Lokomotiv.
What did the model predict before Fakel vs Lokomotiv?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Fakel win, 41% to a draw, and 30% to an Lokomotiv win.