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Premier League · Regular Season - 12 October 24, 2026 14:00 Fakel Stadium, Voronezh
Fakel
#16 · 6 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Rodina Moskva
#15 · 9 pts
(pen.) 43' German Onugkha
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fakel a 39% win probability (draw 34%, Rodina Moskva 26%). The final result was Fakel 0–1 Rodina Moskva. In 2 previous meetings, Fakel have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Rodina Moskva.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
0
Shots on target
1
0.64
Actual xG
1.13
59%
Possession
41%
1
Corners
4
19
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
Aleksandr Koksharov
19'
43'
(pen.) German Onugkha⚽
↕ Darko Todorovic / Anton Kovalev
45'
58'
Iker Pozo / Andrey Egorychev ↕
60'
Leon Musaev
Albert Gabaraev
61'
↕ Belajdi Pusi / Maksim Turishchev
63'
↕ Aleksandr Koksharov / Axel Gnapi
63'
67'
Artem Maksimenko / Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov ↕
67'
Ruslan Fishchenko / Leon Musaev ↕
↕ Butta Magomedov / Ravil Netfullin
73'
76'
Ruslan Fishchenko
Anton Kovalev
76'
76'
German Onugkha
83'
Dmitriy Tananeev / Soltmurad Bakaev ↕
83'
Artur Gharibyan / Rodrigo Becão ↕
↕ Vyacheslav Yakimov / Nikolay Giorgobiani
87'
Abdula Bagamaev
90'+2
90'+6
Iker Pozo
90'
Artem Meshchaninov
Pre-match prediction
39.47%
Fakel
34.32%
X
26.21%
Rodina ←
we assigned to the actual result (Rodina Moskva) 26.21% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fakel
0.81
0.64
-0.17
Rodina
0.58
1.13
+0.55
Rodina Moskva dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.64). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zenit Zenit 12 27
2 Dynamo Dynamo 12 25
3 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 12 25
4 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 12 23
5 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 12 23
6 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 12 16
7 FC Rostov FC Rostov 12 15
8 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 12 15
9 Baltika Baltika 12 14
10 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 12 13
11 Rubin Rubin 12 12
12 Akron Akron 12 12
13 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 12 11
14 Akhmat Akhmat 12 11
15 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 12 9
16 Fakel Fakel 12 6
Lineups
Fakel Fakel 5-3-2
96 I. Obukhov I. Obukhov G 5.99
10 I. Alshin I. Alshin D 6.40
53 M. Bardachev M. Bardachev D 6.37
40 Clayton Clayton D 6.92
5 A. Gabaraev A. Gabaraev D 6.29
55 D. Todorović D. Todorović 45' D 6.65
8 A. Bagamaev A. Bagamaev M 5.57
23 V. Yakimov V. Yakimov 87' M 6.46
97 B. Magomedov B. Magomedov 73' M 5.59
19 B. Pusi B. Pusi 63' F 6.30
90 A. Koksharov A. Koksharov 63' F 6.76
Bench
9 A. Gnapi Dable A. Gnapi Dable 27' F 5.89
17 A. Kovalev A. Kovalev 45' M 6.19
1 D. Frolkin D. Frolkin G 0.00
22 H. El Mahasni H. El Mahasni D 0.00
20 I. Yurganov I. Yurganov D 0.00
18 K. Simonov K. Simonov M 0.00
7 M. Turishchev M. Turishchev 27' F 6.25
99 N. Giorgobiani N. Giorgobiani 3' M 6.21
52 R. Netfullin R. Netfullin 17' M 6.10
35 V. Dorovskikh V. Dorovskikh G 0.00
44 Y. Zhuravlev Y. Zhuravlev D 0.00
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 5-4-1
13 S. Volkov S. Volkov G 6.68
20 D. Machado D. Machado D 7.22
26 A. Meshchaninov A. Meshchaninov D 7.08
38 L. Musaev L. Musaev 67' D 7.02
50 Rodrigo Becão Rodrigo Becão 83' D 7.53
2 Igor Silva Igor Silva D 7.14
17 S. Bakaev S. Bakaev 83' M 6.54
5 A. Egorychev A. Egorychev 58' M 6.17
10 Y. Reyna Y. Reyna M 6.66
18 M. Abdusalamov M. Abdusalamov 67' M 6.48
7 G. Onugkha G. Onugkha 1 ⚽ F 7.03
Bench
77 A. Gharibyan A. Gharibyan 7' F 6.43
9 A. Maksimenko A. Maksimenko 23' F 6.06
19 D. Tananeev D. Tananeev 7' D 6.79
8 Iker Pozo Iker Pozo 32' M 6.30
99 I. Timoshenko I. Timoshenko F 0.00
95 K. Cissoko K. Cissoko F 0.00
23 K. Ushatov K. Ushatov M 0.00
3 L. Goglichidze L. Goglichidze D 0.00
75 M. Nadé M. Nadé D 0.00
6 R. Fishchenko R. Fishchenko 23' M 6.64
1 S. Aydarov S. Aydarov G 0.00
80 S. Bessmertny S. Bessmertny D 0.00
Best on the pitch
Rodrigo Becão
Rodrigo Becão
D · Rodina
7.53
2 shots · 31 pass
D. Machado
D. Machado
D · Rodina
7.22
· 39 pass
Igor Silva
Igor Silva
D · Rodina
7.14
· 36 pass
A. Meshchaninov
A. Meshchaninov
D · Rodina
7.08
1 shots · 48 pass
G. Onugkha
G. Onugkha
F · Rodina
7.03
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
L. Musaev
L. Musaev
D · Rodina
7.02
· 24 pass
Fakel Fakel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Obukhov G 90 5.99 — — 0 30 16% 0 — —
I. Alshin D 90 6.40 — — 1 33 27% 1 — —
M. Bardachev D 90 6.37 — — 0 68 56% 2 — —
Clayton D 90 6.92 — — 0 75 69% 2 — —
A. Gabaraev D 90 6.29 — — 0 78 59% 2 1 —
D. Todorović D 45 6.65 — — 1 21 16% 1 — —
A. Bagamaev M 90 5.57 — — 0 29 20% 2 1 —
V. Yakimov M 87 6.46 — — 1 45 35% 3 — —
B. Magomedov M 73 5.59 — — 0 35 21% 1 — —
B. Pusi F 63 6.30 — — 0 5 4% 1 — —
A. Koksharov F 63 6.76 — — 2 11 9% 2 1 —
A. Gnapi Dable F 27 5.89 — — 0 5 2% 0 — —
A. Kovalev M 45 6.19 — — 0 15 13% 1 1 —
M. Turishchev F 27 6.25 — — 1 4 3% 0 — —
N. Giorgobiani M 3 6.21 — — 0 7 4% 0 — —
R. Netfullin M 17 6.10 — — 0 12 10% 1 — —
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Volkov G 90 6.68 — — 0 19 13% 0 — —
D. Machado D 90 7.22 — — 0 39 30% 2 — —
A. Meshchaninov D 90 7.08 — — 1 48 38% 0 1 —
L. Musaev D 67 7.02 — — 0 24 22% 1 1 —
Rodrigo Becão D 83 7.53 — — 2 31 30% 3 — —
Igor Silva D 90 7.14 — — 0 36 28% 1 — —
S. Bakaev M 83 6.54 — — 0 19 11% 1 — —
A. Egorychev M 58 6.17 — — 0 21 11% 0 — —
Y. Reyna M 90 6.66 — — 1 24 10% 1 — —
M. Abdusalamov M 67 6.48 — — 0 16 11% 0 — —
G. Onugkha F 90 7.03 1 — 1 14 6% 0 1 —
A. Gharibyan F 7 6.43 — — 1 2 1% 0 — —
A. Maksimenko F 23 6.06 — — 0 6 4% 1 — —
D. Tananeev D 7 6.79 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Iker Pozo M 32 6.30 — — 1 12 8% 1 1 —
R. Fishchenko M 23 6.64 — — 0 4 1% 2 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fakel vs Rodina Moskva?
The final score was Fakel 0–1 Rodina Moskva.
What did the model predict before Fakel vs Rodina Moskva?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Fakel win, 34% to a draw, and 26% to an Rodina Moskva win.