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Premier League · Regular Season - 6 August 29, 2026 14:00
Fakel
#16 · 3 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Zenit
#5 · 18 pts
(pen.) 90'+2 Aleksandr Sobolev
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zenit a 47% win probability (draw 27%, Fakel 25%). The final result was Fakel 0–1 Zenit.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
21
2
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
2
32%
Possession
68%
2
Corners
6
18
Tackles
6
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Butta Magomedov
20'
↕ Ilnur Alshin / Anton Kovalev
48'
65'
65'
Aleksandr Sobolev / Felipe Augusto ↕
65'
Vyacheslav Karavaev / Jhon Jhon ↕
65'
Kevin Andrade / Roman Vega ↕
↕ Axel Gnapi / Maksim Turishchev
67'
↕ Aleksey Sutormin / Vyacheslav Yakimov
67'
78'
Aleksandr Erokhin / Wílmar Barrios ↕
82'
85'
Igor Diveev
↕ Butta Magomedov / Igor Yurganov
86'
↕ Darko Todorovic / Abdula Bagamaev
86'
Nikolay Giorgobiani
87'
90'+2
(pen.) Aleksandr Sobolev⚽
90'+4
Marcilio Florencio Mota Filho / Luiz Henrique ↕
Pre-match prediction
25.74%
Fakel
27.08%
X
47.18%
Zenit ←
we assigned to the actual result (Zenit) 47.18% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fakel
1.08
—
—
Zenit
2.43
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 9 21
2 Dynamo Dynamo 9 19
3 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 9 19
4 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 9 19
5 Zenit Zenit 9 18
6 Rubin Rubin 9 12
7 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 9 12
8 Baltika Baltika 9 11
9 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 9 11
10 Akhmat Akhmat 9 10
11 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 9 9
12 FC Rostov FC Rostov 9 8
13 Akron Akron 9 8
14 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 9 7
15 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 9 5
16 Fakel Fakel 9 3
Lineups
Fakel Fakel 3-4-3
1 D. Frolkin D. Frolkin G 7.29
44 Y. Zhuravlev Y. Zhuravlev D 6.35
53 M. Bardachev M. Bardachev D 7.20
5 A. Gabaraev A. Gabaraev D 5.99
10 I. Alshin I. Alshin 48' M 6.66
52 R. Netfullin R. Netfullin M 6.38
97 B. Magomedov B. Magomedov 86' M 6.39
55 D. Todorović D. Todorović 86' M 6.34
11 A. Sutormin A. Sutormin 67' F 6.20
99 N. Giorgobiani N. Giorgobiani F 6.59
Bench
8 A. Bagamaev A. Bagamaev 4' M 6.50
25 A. Belyaev A. Belyaev F 0.00
17 A. Kovalev A. Kovalev 42' M 6.53
19 B. Pusi B. Pusi F 0.00
96 I. Obukhov I. Obukhov G 0.00
20 I. Yurganov I. Yurganov 4' D 6.56
7 M. Turishchev M. Turishchev 23' F 5.82
93 M. Uridia M. Uridia F 0.00
35 V. Dorovskikh V. Dorovskikh G 0.00
23 V. Yakimov V. Yakimov 23' M 6.99
Zenit Zenit 4-2-3-1
16 D. Adamov D. Adamov G 7.20
66 R. Vega R. Vega 65' D 7.65
28 N. Alip N. Alip D 7.27
78 I. Diveev I. Diveev 85' D 6.69
31 Gustavo Mantuan Gustavo Mantuan D 7.62
5 W. Barrios W. Barrios 78' M 6.84
93 A. Karpukas A. Karpukas M 7.10
14 Jhon Jhon Jhon Jhon 65' M 7.18
61 D. Kondakov D. Kondakov M 7.00
11 Luiz Henrique Luiz Henrique 89' M 6.64
9 Felipe Augusto Felipe Augusto 65' F 6.43
Bench
21 A. Erokhin A. Erokhin 12' M 6.76
7 A. Sobolev A. Sobolev 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.80
57 B. Moskvichev B. Moskvichev G 0.00
71 D. Odoevskiy D. Odoevskiy G 0.00
25 K. Andrade K. Andrade 25' D 7.39
33 Nino Nino 1' D 6.99
82 S. Volkov S. Volkov D 0.00
15 V. Karavaev V. Karavaev 25' D 7.48
51 V. Shilov V. Shilov F 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Sobolev
A. Sobolev
F · Zenit
7.80
1 ⚽
3 shots · 12 pass
R. Vega
R. Vega
D · Zenit
7.65
4 shots · 30 pass
Gustavo Mantuan
Gustavo Mantuan
D · Zenit
7.62
2 shots · 53 pass
V. Karavaev
V. Karavaev
D · Zenit
7.48
· 10 pass
K. Andrade
K. Andrade
D · Zenit
7.39
· 27 pass
D. Frolkin
D. Frolkin
G · Fakel
7.29
· 19 pass
Fakel Fakel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Frolkin G 90 7.29 — — 0 19 2% 1 — —
Y. Zhuravlev D 90 6.35 — — 0 24 17% 1 — —
M. Bardachev D 90 7.20 — — 1 24 21% 2 — —
A. Gabaraev D 90 5.99 — — 0 31 21% 2 — —
I. Alshin M 48 6.66 — — 1 9 6% 1 — —
R. Netfullin M 90 6.38 — — 1 19 13% 2 — —
B. Magomedov M 86 6.39 — — 0 26 20% 2 1 —
D. Todorović M 86 6.34 — — 0 19 12% 0 — —
A. Sutormin F 67 6.20 — — 0 23 16% 2 — —
N. Giorgobiani F 90 6.59 — — 2 17 14% 3 1 —
A. Bagamaev M 4 6.50 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
A. Kovalev M 42 6.53 — — 0 3 3% 1 — —
I. Yurganov D 4 6.56 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
M. Turishchev F 23 5.82 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
V. Yakimov M 23 6.99 — — 1 7 4% 0 — —
Zenit Zenit — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Adamov G 90 7.20 — — 0 24 20% 0 — —
R. Vega D 65 7.65 — — 4 30 23% 0 — —
N. Alip D 90 7.27 — — 0 73 59% 1 — —
I. Diveev D 85 6.69 — — 2 67 62% 1 — 1
Gustavo Mantuan D 90 7.62 — — 2 53 43% 0 — —
W. Barrios M 78 6.84 — — 0 63 54% 0 — —
A. Karpukas M 90 7.10 — — 1 77 70% 1 — —
Jhon Jhon M 65 7.18 — — 1 28 22% 2 — —
D. Kondakov M 90 7.00 — — 3 23 17% 0 — —
Luiz Henrique M 89 6.64 — — 1 33 28% 1 — —
Felipe Augusto F 65 6.43 — — 4 11 7% 0 — —
A. Erokhin M 12 6.76 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
A. Sobolev F 25 7.80 1 — 3 12 8% 0 — —
K. Andrade D 25 7.39 — — 0 27 25% 0 — —
Nino D 1 6.99 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
V. Karavaev D 25 7.48 — — 0 10 9% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fakel vs Zenit?
The final score was Fakel 0–1 Zenit.
What did the model predict before Fakel vs Zenit?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Fakel win, 27% to a draw, and 47% to an Zenit win.