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Premier League · Regular Season - 6 August 29, 2026 14:00
Fakel
#16 · 6 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Zenit
#1 · 31 pts
(pen.) 90'+2 Aleksandr Sobolev
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zenit a 47% win probability (draw 27%, Fakel 25%). The final result was Fakel 0–1 Zenit.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
21
2
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
2
32%
Possession
68%
2
Corners
6
18
Tackles
6
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Butta Magomedov
20'
↕ Ilnur Alshin / Anton Kovalev
48'
65'
65'
Aleksandr Sobolev / Felipe Augusto ↕
65'
Vyacheslav Karavaev / Jhon Jhon ↕
65'
Kevin Andrade / Roman Vega ↕
↕ Axel Gnapi / Maksim Turishchev
67'
↕ Aleksey Sutormin / Vyacheslav Yakimov
67'
78'
Aleksandr Erokhin / Wílmar Barrios ↕
82'
85'
Igor Diveev
↕ Butta Magomedov / Igor Yurganov
86'
↕ Darko Todorovic / Abdula Bagamaev
86'
Nikolay Giorgobiani
87'
90'+2
(pen.) Aleksandr Sobolev⚽
90'+4
Marcilio Florencio Mota Filho / Luiz Henrique ↕
Pre-match prediction
25.74%
Fakel
27.08%
X
47.18%
Zenit ←
we assigned to the actual result (Zenit) 47.18% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fakel
1.08
—
—
Zenit
2.43
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zenit Zenit 14 31
2 Dynamo Dynamo 14 31
3 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 14 29
4 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 14 26
5 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 14 26
6 FC Rostov FC Rostov 14 19
7 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 14 18
8 Rubin Rubin 14 18
9 Baltika Baltika 14 17
10 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 14 17
11 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 14 16
12 Akhmat Akhmat 14 14
13 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 14 12
14 Akron Akron 14 12
15 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 14 11
16 Fakel Fakel 14 6
Lineups
Fakel Fakel 3-4-3
1 D. Frolkin D. Frolkin G 7.29
44 Y. Zhuravlev Y. Zhuravlev D 6.35
53 M. Bardachev M. Bardachev D 7.20
5 A. Gabaraev A. Gabaraev D 5.99
10 I. Alshin I. Alshin 48' M 6.66
52 R. Netfullin R. Netfullin M 6.38
97 B. Magomedov B. Magomedov 86' M 6.39
55 D. Todorović D. Todorović 86' M 6.34
11 A. Sutormin A. Sutormin 67' F 6.20
99 N. Giorgobiani N. Giorgobiani F 6.59
Bench
8 A. Bagamaev A. Bagamaev 4' M 6.50
25 A. Belyaev A. Belyaev F 0.00
17 A. Kovalev A. Kovalev 42' M 6.53
19 B. Pusi B. Pusi F 0.00
96 I. Obukhov I. Obukhov G 0.00
20 I. Yurganov I. Yurganov 4' D 6.56
7 M. Turishchev M. Turishchev 23' F 5.82
93 M. Uridia M. Uridia F 0.00
35 V. Dorovskikh V. Dorovskikh G 0.00
23 V. Yakimov V. Yakimov 23' M 6.99
Zenit Zenit 4-2-3-1
16 D. Adamov D. Adamov G 7.20
66 R. Vega R. Vega 65' D 7.65
28 N. Alip N. Alip D 7.27
78 I. Diveev I. Diveev 85' D 6.69
31 Gustavo Mantuan Gustavo Mantuan D 7.62
5 W. Barrios W. Barrios 78' M 6.84
93 A. Karpukas A. Karpukas M 7.10
14 Jhon Jhon Jhon Jhon 65' M 7.18
61 D. Kondakov D. Kondakov M 7.00
11 Luiz Henrique Luiz Henrique 89' M 6.64
9 Felipe Augusto Felipe Augusto 65' F 6.43
Bench
21 A. Erokhin A. Erokhin 12' M 6.76
7 A. Sobolev A. Sobolev 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.80
57 B. Moskvichev B. Moskvichev G 0.00
71 D. Odoevskiy D. Odoevskiy G 0.00
25 K. Andrade K. Andrade 25' D 7.39
33 Nino Nino 1' D 6.99
82 S. Volkov S. Volkov D 0.00
15 V. Karavaev V. Karavaev 25' D 7.48
51 V. Shilov V. Shilov F 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Sobolev
A. Sobolev
F · Zenit
7.80
1 ⚽
3 shots · 12 pass
R. Vega
R. Vega
D · Zenit
7.65
4 shots · 30 pass
Gustavo Mantuan
Gustavo Mantuan
D · Zenit
7.62
2 shots · 53 pass
V. Karavaev
V. Karavaev
D · Zenit
7.48
· 10 pass
K. Andrade
K. Andrade
D · Zenit
7.39
· 27 pass
D. Frolkin
D. Frolkin
G · Fakel
7.29
· 19 pass
Fakel Fakel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Frolkin G 90 7.29 — — 0 19 2% 1 — —
Y. Zhuravlev D 90 6.35 — — 0 24 17% 1 — —
M. Bardachev D 90 7.20 — — 1 24 21% 2 — —
A. Gabaraev D 90 5.99 — — 0 31 21% 2 — —
I. Alshin M 48 6.66 — — 1 9 6% 1 — —
R. Netfullin M 90 6.38 — — 1 19 13% 2 — —
B. Magomedov M 86 6.39 — — 0 26 20% 2 1 —
D. Todorović M 86 6.34 — — 0 19 12% 0 — —
A. Sutormin F 67 6.20 — — 0 23 16% 2 — —
N. Giorgobiani F 90 6.59 — — 2 17 14% 3 1 —
A. Bagamaev M 4 6.50 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
A. Kovalev M 42 6.53 — — 0 3 3% 1 — —
I. Yurganov D 4 6.56 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
M. Turishchev F 23 5.82 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
V. Yakimov M 23 6.99 — — 1 7 4% 0 — —
Zenit Zenit — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Adamov G 90 7.20 — — 0 24 20% 0 — —
R. Vega D 65 7.65 — — 4 30 23% 0 — —
N. Alip D 90 7.27 — — 0 73 59% 1 — —
I. Diveev D 85 6.69 — — 2 67 62% 1 — 1
Gustavo Mantuan D 90 7.62 — — 2 53 43% 0 — —
W. Barrios M 78 6.84 — — 0 63 54% 0 — —
A. Karpukas M 90 7.10 — — 1 77 70% 1 — —
Jhon Jhon M 65 7.18 — — 1 28 22% 2 — —
D. Kondakov M 90 7.00 — — 3 23 17% 0 — —
Luiz Henrique M 89 6.64 — — 1 33 28% 1 — —
Felipe Augusto F 65 6.43 — — 4 11 7% 0 — —
A. Erokhin M 12 6.76 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
A. Sobolev F 25 7.80 1 — 3 12 8% 0 — —
K. Andrade D 25 7.39 — — 0 27 25% 0 — —
Nino D 1 6.99 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
V. Karavaev D 25 7.48 — — 0 10 9% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fakel vs Zenit?
The final score was Fakel 0–1 Zenit.
What did the model predict before Fakel vs Zenit?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Fakel win, 27% to a draw, and 47% to an Zenit win.