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Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 8 October 10, 2026 16:00 Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Falkirk
#7 · 12 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Dundee
#5 · 14 pts
Jacob Murrell 31' (pen.)
52' (ast. Drey Wright) Owen Bevan
90'+1 (ast. Ethan Hamilton) Ashley Hay
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundee a 33% win probability (draw 34%, Falkirk 31%). The final result was Falkirk 1–2 Dundee. In 3 previous meetings, Falkirk have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Dundee.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
23
5
Shots on target
10
2.12
Actual xG
1.54
8
Saves
4
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
10
16
Tackles
10
Match Events
⚽Jacob Murrell (pen.)
31'
52'
ast. Drey Wright · Owen Bevan⚽
↕ Jacob Murrell / Finn Yeats
70'
↕ Ben krauhaus / Ben Parkinson
70'
↕ Finley Frank Barbrook / Craig Sibbald
85'
↕ Ethan Ross / Conor McLeod
90'+1
↕ Ryan Strain / Jack McMillan
90'+1
90'+1
ast. Ethan Hamilton · Ashley Hay⚽
Pre-match prediction
31.68%
Falkirk
34.93%
X
33.38%
Dundee ←
we assigned to the actual result (Dundee) 33.38% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Falkirk
0.47
2.12
+1.65
Dundee
0.74
1.54
+0.8
Falkirk dominated by xG (2.12 vs 1.54). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 10 27
2 Rangers Rangers 10 23
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 10 19
4 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 10 15
5 Dundee Dundee 10 14
6 ST Mirren ST Mirren 10 13
7 Falkirk Falkirk 10 12
8 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 10 12
9 Aberdeen Aberdeen 10 11
10 Motherwell Motherwell 10 8
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 10 8
12 Hibernian Hibernian 10 7
Lineups
Falkirk Falkirk 4-2-3-1
19 S. Bain S. Bain G 7.41
3 L. McCann L. McCann D 6.71
5 L. Henderson L. Henderson D 6.14
15 L. Neilson L. Neilson D 6.47
22 R. Strain R. Strain 89' D 6.04
16 Finley Frank Barbrook Finley Frank Barbrook 85' M 6.67
8 B. Spencer B. Spencer M 6.61
42 Owen Eames Owen Eames M 6.81
28 B. Krauhaus B. Krauhaus 70' M 6.20
23 E. Ross E. Ross 89' M 6.46
24 J. Murrell J. Murrell 1 ⚽ 70' F 7.03
Bench
7 Ben Parkinson Ben Parkinson 20' F 6.38
99 C. Fodrey C. Fodrey M 0.00
27 C. McLeod C. McLeod 1' M 0.00
10 C. Sibbald C. Sibbald 5' M 5.99
21 D. Meļņiks D. Meļņiks M 0.00
14 F. Yeats F. Yeats 20' M 6.37
4 J. McMillan J. McMillan 1' D 0.00
1 N. Hogarth N. Hogarth G 0.00
9 R. MacIver R. MacIver F 0.00
Dundee Dundee 4-4-2
1 O. Goodman O. Goodman G 7.50
12 I. Samuels I. Samuels D 6.16
5 O. Bevan O. Bevan 1 ⚽ D 7.33
4 R. Astley R. Astley D 7.25
7 D. Wright D. Wright 1 👟 D 6.82
27 J. Bevan J. Bevan M 6.35
48 E. Hamilton E. Hamilton 1 👟 M 6.98
28 C. Jones C. Jones M 6.26
14 A. Forrest A. Forrest M 6.67
11 A. Hay A. Hay 1 ⚽ F 8.20
21 B. Fink B. Fink F 6.23
Bench
77 Alfie Harrison Alfie Harrison M 0.00
2 B. Halliday B. Halliday D 0.00
3 I. Odutayo I. Odutayo D 0.00
26 J. Wright J. Wright D 0.00
13 K. O'Hara K. O'Hara G 0.00
6 M. Akinmboni M. Akinmboni D 0.00
60 R. Bland R. Bland M 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Hay
A. Hay
F · Dundee
8.20
1 ⚽
7 shots · 12 pass
O. Goodman
O. Goodman
G · Dundee
7.50
1 shots · 34 pass
S. Bain
S. Bain
G · Falkirk
7.41
· 49 pass
O. Bevan
O. Bevan
D · Dundee
7.33
1 ⚽
1 shots · 69 pass
R. Astley
R. Astley
D · Dundee
7.25
2 shots · 64 pass
J. Murrell
J. Murrell
F · Falkirk
7.03
1 ⚽
4 shots · 11 pass
Falkirk Falkirk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Bain G 90 7.41 — — 0 49 28% 0 — —
L. McCann D 90 6.71 — — 1 53 41% 4 — —
L. Henderson D 90 6.14 — — 0 62 54% 1 — —
L. Neilson D 90 6.47 — — 0 65 56% 1 — —
R. Strain D 89 6.04 — — 0 63 50% 2 — —
Finley Frank Barbrook M 85 6.67 — — 0 49 47% 2 — —
B. Spencer M 90 6.61 — — 1 79 66% 3 — —
Owen Eames M 90 6.81 — — 4 25 20% 0 — —
B. Krauhaus M 70 6.20 — — 1 20 18% 2 — —
E. Ross M 89 6.46 — — 0 29 25% 0 — —
J. Murrell F 70 7.03 1 — 4 11 4% 0 — —
Ben Parkinson F 20 6.38 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
C. McLeod M 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
C. Sibbald M 5 5.99 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
F. Yeats M 20 6.37 — — 5 5 4% 1 — —
J. McMillan D 1 0.00 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Dundee Dundee — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Goodman G 90 7.50 — — 1 34 26% 0 — —
I. Samuels D 90 6.16 — — 0 43 31% 0 — —
O. Bevan D 90 7.33 1 — 1 69 57% 0 — —
R. Astley D 90 7.25 — — 2 64 54% 2 — —
D. Wright D 90 6.82 — 1 2 36 26% 1 — —
J. Bevan M 90 6.35 — — 2 21 16% 0 — —
E. Hamilton M 90 6.98 — 1 0 40 33% 2 — —
C. Jones M 90 6.26 — — 0 38 28% 1 — —
A. Forrest M 90 6.67 — — 4 31 27% 2 — —
A. Hay F 90 8.20 1 — 7 12 9% 1 — —
B. Fink F 90 6.23 — — 4 19 15% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Falkirk vs Dundee?
The final score was Falkirk 1–2 Dundee.
What did the model predict before Falkirk vs Dundee?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Falkirk win, 34% to a draw, and 33% to an Dundee win.