Scottish Premiership
· Championship Group - 35
May 02, 2026 16:00
H. Cartwright
(ast. B. Broggio)
63'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Falkirk a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Motherwell 33%). The final result was Falkirk 1–0 Motherwell. In 3 previous meetings, Falkirk have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Motherwell.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
3
1.87
Actual xG
1.03
3
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
4
16
Tackles
8
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
B. Broggio
28'
B. Spencer
29'
35'
T. Sparrow
50'
C. Slattery
D. Tait
56'
62'
I. Said
/
T. Sparrow
D. Tait
/ H. Cartwright
62'
⚽H. Cartwright
· ast. B. Broggio
63'
F. Yeats
75'
B. Broggio
/ K. Wilson
75'
C. Miller
/ B. Parkinson
76'
76'
C. Hendry
/
T. Maswanhise
77'
R. Charles-Cook
/
C. Slattery
77'
S. Nicholson
/
L. Fadinger
L. McCann
/ C. Donaldson
84'
F. Lissah
/ K. Adams
85'
88'
E. Longelo
90'+1
C. Hendry
90'+2
E. Just
Pre-match prediction
41.89%
Falkirk ←
25.01%
X
33.11%
Motherwell
we assigned to the actual result (Falkirk)
41.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
1.87
+0.22
1.46
1.03
-0.43
Falkirk dominated by xG (1.87 vs 1.03).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
3
L. McCann
84'
D
20
Connor Allan
D
Connor Allan
D
15
D
28
F. Lissah
85'
D
21
D. Tait
62'
M
D. Tait
62'
M
8
B. Spencer
M
B. Spencer
M
29
C. Miller
76'
M
C. Miller
76'
M
14
Finn Yeats
M
Finn Yeats
M
11
Ben Broggio
1 👟
75'
M
Ben Broggio
1 👟
75'
M
16
B. Stewart
F
Bench
27
Ben Parkinson
15'
F
Ben Parkinson
15'
F
6
Coll Donaldson
7'
D
Coll Donaldson
7'
D
17
Henry Cartwright
1 ⚽
29'
M
Henry Cartwright
1 ⚽
29'
M
2
Keelan Adams
6'
D
22
Kyrell Wilson
16'
F
Kyrell Wilson
16'
F
13
G
2
Stephen O'Donnell
D
Stephen O'Donnell
D
57
Stephen Welsh
D
Stephen Welsh
D
16
P. McGinn
D
7
Tom Sparrow
62'
D
Tom Sparrow
62'
D
20
E. Watt
M
E. Watt
M
12
Lukas Fadinger
77'
M
Lukas Fadinger
77'
M
45
M. Emmanuel
M
M. Emmanuel
M
8
C. Slattery
76'
M
C. Slattery
76'
M
18
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
76'
M
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
76'
M
21
E. Just
F
E. Just
F
Bench
66
Callum Hendry
15'
F
Callum Hendry
15'
F
90
Ibrahim Said
29'
F
Ibrahim Said
29'
F
Best on the pitch
Henry Cartwright
M · Falkirk
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
E. Watt
M · Motherwell
7.50
1 shots
· 68 pass
L. McCann
D · Falkirk
7.30
· 37 pass
P. McGinn
D · Motherwell
7.30
· 44 pass
G · Motherwell
7.30
· 32 pass
B. Spencer
M · Falkirk
7.30
· 61 pass
Falkirk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| L. McCann | D | 84 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Connor Allan | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | — | — | — | |
| F. Lissah | D | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Tait | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Spencer | M | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 54% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Miller | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Finn Yeats | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ben Broggio | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Stewart | F | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 6 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ben Parkinson | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Coll Donaldson | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Henry Cartwright | M | 29 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Keelan Adams | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Kyrell Wilson | F | 16 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Stephen O'Donnell | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Stephen Welsh | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| P. McGinn | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Tom Sparrow | D | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Watt | M | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Lukas Fadinger | M | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Emmanuel | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Slattery | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Just | F | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Callum Hendry | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Ibrahim Said | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Falkirk vs Motherwell?
The final score was Falkirk 1–0 Motherwell.
What did the model predict before Falkirk vs Motherwell?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Falkirk win, 25% to a draw, and 33% to an Motherwell win.