← Scottish Premiership

Falkirk - Rangers

Scottish Premiership May 16, 2026 13:30
Falkirk
#6 · 46 pts
vs
Rangers
#2 · 69 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
23.66%
Win
Falkirk
17.9%
Draw
58.44%
Win
Rangers
1.47
Expected xG
2.59
Model prediction
Rangers
58.44%
Probability
64.7%
1X2 accuracy · 17 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rangers a 58% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 23% for Falkirk. Expected goals are 1.5 for Falkirk and 2.6 for Rangers (total 4.1), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.5% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Falkirk have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Rangers.

Score Matrix
↕ Falkirk Rangers →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7% 4.5% 5.8% 5.0% 3.2% 1.7%
1 2.5% 6.6% 8.5% 7.4% 4.8% 2.5%
2 1.9% 4.8% 6.2% 5.4% 3.5% 1.8%
3 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
Falkirk Falkirk
L Heart Of Midlothian 3–0
L Hibernian 1–3
W Motherwell 1–0
L Celtic 3–1
L Rangers 3–6
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 24%
Rangers Rangers
L Hibernian 1–2
L Celtic 3–1
L Heart Of Midlothian 2–1
L Motherwell 2–3
W Falkirk 3–6
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%
Playing profile
Falkirk Falkirk
Attack
31
Defence
53
Form
39
Rangers Rangers
Attack
57
Defence
63
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Falkirk
2
Draw
1
Rangers
L 12 Apr 2026 Scottish Premiership 3–6
D 30 Nov 2025 Scottish Premiership 0–0
D 5 Oct 2025 Scottish Premiership 1–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 33 70
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 80
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 44
2 Rangers Rangers 33 69
2 Celtic Celtic 37 79
2 Aberdeen Aberdeen 37 40
3 Dundee Dundee 37 39
3 Celtic Celtic 33 67
3 Rangers Rangers 37 69
4 Motherwell Motherwell 37 58
4 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 37 37
4 Motherwell Motherwell 33 54
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 37 33
5 Hibernian Hibernian 33 51
5 Hibernian Hibernian 37 57
6 Livingston Livingston 37 21
6 Falkirk Falkirk 33 46
6 Falkirk Falkirk 37 49
7 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 33 40
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 33 33
9 Dundee Dundee 33 33
10 ST Mirren ST Mirren 33 30
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 33 28
12 Livingston Livingston 33 16
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Falkirk vs Rangers?
The model gives Falkirk a 23% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 58% for an Rangers win.
How many goals are expected in Falkirk vs Rangers?
Expected goals: Falkirk 1.5, Rangers 2.6 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Falkirk vs Rangers?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.5%.