Scottish Premiership
· Championship Group - 38
May 16, 2026 13:30
✓Model correct — prediction Rangers
J. Butland
7'
(og)
C. Miller
43'
(pen.)
2'
(ast. M. Moore)
Chermiti
6'
Chermiti
27'
(ast. Chermiti)
D. Gassama
47'
(ast. T. Rommens)
Chermiti
(pen.)
78'
T. Aasgaard
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rangers a 58% win probability (draw 18%, Falkirk 23%). The final result was Falkirk 2–5 Rangers. In 4 previous meetings, Falkirk have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for Rangers.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
7
2.26
Actual xG
2.61
2
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
4
12
Tackles
5
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
2'
ast. M. Moore ·
Chermiti⚽
6'
Chermiti⚽
⚽J. Butland
(og)
7'
H. Cartwright
19'
B. Spencer
26'
27'
ast. Chermiti ·
D. Gassama⚽
C. Miller
32'
35'
M. Aarons
/
N. Djiga
⚽C. Miller
(pen.)
43'
B. Parkinson
/ R. MacIver
46'
H. Cartwright
/ C. Allan
46'
B. Spencer
/ D. Tait
46'
47'
ast. T. Rommens ·
Chermiti⚽
64'
T. Chukwuani
/
C. Barron
B. Broggio
/ G. Oliver
64'
S. Hart
/ K. Wilson
72'
78'
(pen.)
T. Aasgaard⚽
80'
A. McCallion
/
T. Aasgaard
80'
Z. Lawson
/
M. Moore
80'
A. Scally
/
T. Rommens
Pre-match prediction
23.7%
Falkirk
18.15%
X
58.15%
Rangers ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Rangers)
58.15%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.51
2.26
+0.75
2.66
2.61
-0.05
Rangers dominated by xG (2.61 vs 2.26).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
N. Hogarth
G
N. Hogarth
G
42
Sam Hart
72'
D
Sam Hart
72'
D
5
L. Henderson
D
L. Henderson
D
15
L. Neilson
D
L. Neilson
D
14
F. Yeats
D
F. Yeats
D
8
B. Spencer
45'
M
B. Spencer
45'
M
17
Henry Cartwright
45'
M
Henry Cartwright
45'
M
23
E. Ross
M
E. Ross
M
11
B. Broggio
64'
M
B. Broggio
64'
M
29
C. Miller
1 ⚽
M
C. Miller
1 ⚽
M
27
Ben Parkinson
45'
F
Ben Parkinson
45'
F
Bench
7
Brian Graham
F
Brian Graham
F
20
C. Allan
47'
M
C. Allan
47'
M
6
C. Donaldson
D
C. Donaldson
D
21
D. Tait
47'
M
D. Tait
47'
M
18
Gary Oliver
28'
F
Gary Oliver
28'
F
12
Jamie Sneddon
G
Jamie Sneddon
G
36
Kai Brown
F
Kai Brown
F
22
Kyrell Wilson
20'
F
Kyrell Wilson
20'
F
9
R. MacIver
47'
F
R. MacIver
47'
F
1
Jack Butland
1 ⚽
G
Jack Butland
1 ⚽
G
25
T. Rommens
1 👟
80'
D
T. Rommens
1 👟
80'
D
37
E. Fernandez
D
E. Fernandez
D
5
John Souttar
D
John Souttar
D
24
N. Djiga
35'
D
N. Djiga
35'
D
10
M. Diomandé
M
M. Diomandé
M
8
C. Barron
64'
M
C. Barron
64'
M
47
M. Moore
1 👟
80'
M
M. Moore
1 👟
80'
M
11
Thelo Aasgaard
1 ⚽
80'
M
Thelo Aasgaard
1 ⚽
80'
M
23
D. Gassama
1 ⚽
M
D. Gassama
1 ⚽
M
9
Youssef Chermiti
3 ⚽
1 👟
F
Youssef Chermiti
3 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
64
A. McCallion
12'
M
7
A. Skov Olsen
F
A. Skov Olsen
F
30
J. Meghoma
D
J. Meghoma
D
31
L. Kelly
G
L. Kelly
G
3
M. Aarons
57'
D
M. Aarons
57'
D
18
Oliver Antman
F
Oliver Antman
F
42
T. Chukwuani
28'
M
T. Chukwuani
28'
M
46
Z. Lawson
12'
F
Best on the pitch
Youssef Chermiti
F · Rangers
10.00
3 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 24 pass
C. Miller
M · Falkirk
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 25 pass
M. Diomandé
M · Rangers
7.30
· 29 pass
D. Gassama
M · Rangers
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
R. MacIver
F · Falkirk
7.20
· 4 pass
D. Tait
M · Falkirk
7.20
1 shots
· 37 pass
Falkirk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hogarth | G | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Sam Hart | D | 72 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| L. Henderson | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Neilson | D | 92 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| F. Yeats | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Spencer | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Henry Cartwright | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Ross | M | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| B. Broggio | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Miller | M | 92 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| Ben Parkinson | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| C. Allan | M | 47 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Tait | M | 47 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Gary Oliver | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Kyrell Wilson | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| R. MacIver | F | 47 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Rangers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Butland | G | 92 | 6.70 | 1 | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| T. Rommens | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Fernandez | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | — | — | — |
| John Souttar | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | — | — | — |
| N. Djiga | D | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Diomandé | M | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| C. Barron | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| M. Moore | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Thelo Aasgaard | M | 80 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Gassama | M | 92 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Youssef Chermiti | F | 92 | 10.00 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. McCallion | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Aarons | D | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| T. Chukwuani | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Z. Lawson | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Falkirk vs Rangers?
The final score was Falkirk 2–5 Rangers.
What did the model predict before Falkirk vs Rangers?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Falkirk win, 18% to a draw, and 58% to an Rangers win.