Scottish Premiership
· Championship Group - 38
May 16, 2026 13:30
✓Model correct — prediction Rangers
J. Butland
7'
(og)
C. Miller
43'
(pen.)
2'
(ast. M. Moore)
Chermiti
6'
Chermiti
27'
(ast. Chermiti)
D. Gassama
47'
(ast. T. Rommens)
Chermiti
(pen.)
78'
T. Aasgaard
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rangers a 58% win probability (draw 18%, Falkirk 23%). The final result was Falkirk 2–5 Rangers. In 3 previous meetings, Falkirk have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Rangers.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
7
2.26
Actual xG
2.61
2
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
4
12
Tackles
5
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
2'
ast. M. Moore ·
Chermiti⚽
6'
Chermiti⚽
⚽J. Butland
(og)
7'
H. Cartwright
19'
B. Spencer
26'
27'
ast. Chermiti ·
D. Gassama⚽
C. Miller
32'
35'
M. Aarons
/
N. Djiga
⚽C. Miller
(pen.)
43'
B. Parkinson
/ R. MacIver
46'
H. Cartwright
/ C. Allan
46'
B. Spencer
/ D. Tait
46'
47'
ast. T. Rommens ·
Chermiti⚽
64'
T. Chukwuani
/
C. Barron
B. Broggio
/ G. Oliver
64'
S. Hart
/ K. Wilson
72'
78'
(pen.)
T. Aasgaard⚽
80'
A. McCallion
/
T. Aasgaard
80'
Z. Lawson
/
M. Moore
80'
A. Scally
/
T. Rommens
Pre-match prediction
23.7%
Falkirk
18.15%
X
58.15%
Rangers ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Rangers)
58.15%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.51
2.26
+0.75
2.66
2.61
-0.05
Rangers dominated by xG (2.61 vs 2.26).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Nicky Hogarth
G
Nicky Hogarth
G
42
Sam Hart
72'
D
Sam Hart
72'
D
5
Liam Henderson
D
Liam Henderson
D
15
Lewis Neilson
D
Lewis Neilson
D
14
Finn Yeats
D
Finn Yeats
D
8
B. Spencer
45'
M
B. Spencer
45'
M
17
Henry Cartwright
45'
M
Henry Cartwright
45'
M
23
Ethan Ross
M
Ethan Ross
M
11
Ben Broggio
64'
M
Ben Broggio
64'
M
29
C. Miller
1 ⚽
M
C. Miller
1 ⚽
M
27
Ben Parkinson
45'
F
Ben Parkinson
45'
F
Bench
7
Brian Graham
F
Brian Graham
F
6
Coll Donaldson
D
Coll Donaldson
D
20
Connor Allan
47'
M
Connor Allan
47'
M
21
D. Tait
47'
M
D. Tait
47'
M
18
Gary Oliver
28'
F
Gary Oliver
28'
F
12
Jamie Sneddon
G
Jamie Sneddon
G
36
Kai Brown
F
Kai Brown
F
22
Kyrell Wilson
20'
F
Kyrell Wilson
20'
F
9
Ross Maclver
47'
F
Ross Maclver
47'
F
1
Jack Butland
1 ⚽
G
Jack Butland
1 ⚽
G
25
Tuur Rommens
1 👟
80'
D
Tuur Rommens
1 👟
80'
D
37
Emmanuel Fernandez
D
Emmanuel Fernandez
D
5
John Souttar
D
John Souttar
D
24
Nasser Djiga
35'
D
Nasser Djiga
35'
D
10
M. Diomandé
M
M. Diomandé
M
8
Connor Barron
64'
M
Connor Barron
64'
M
47
M. Moore
1 👟
80'
M
M. Moore
1 👟
80'
M
11
Thelo Aasgaard
1 ⚽
80'
M
Thelo Aasgaard
1 ⚽
80'
M
23
D. Gassama
1 ⚽
M
D. Gassama
1 ⚽
M
9
Youssef Chermiti
3 ⚽
1 👟
F
Youssef Chermiti
3 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
64
Aiden Mccallion
12'
M
Aiden Mccallion
12'
M
7
Andreas Skov Olsen
F
Andreas Skov Olsen
F
30
Jayden Meghoma
D
Jayden Meghoma
D
31
Liam Kelly
G
Liam Kelly
G
3
M. Aarons
57'
D
M. Aarons
57'
D
18
Oliver Antman
F
Oliver Antman
F
42
T. Chukwuani
28'
M
T. Chukwuani
28'
M
46
Zebedee Lawson
12'
F
Zebedee Lawson
12'
F
Best on the pitch
Youssef Chermiti
F · Rangers
10.00
3 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 24 pass
C. Miller
M · Falkirk
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 25 pass
M. Diomandé
M · Rangers
7.30
· 29 pass
D. Gassama
M · Rangers
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
Ross Maclver
F · Falkirk
7.20
· 4 pass
D. Tait
M · Falkirk
7.20
1 shots
· 37 pass
Falkirk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicky Hogarth | G | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Sam Hart | D | 72 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Liam Henderson | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Lewis Neilson | D | 92 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Finn Yeats | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Spencer | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Henry Cartwright | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ethan Ross | M | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Ben Broggio | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Miller | M | 92 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| Ben Parkinson | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Connor Allan | M | 47 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Tait | M | 47 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Gary Oliver | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Kyrell Wilson | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Ross Maclver | F | 47 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Rangers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Butland | G | 92 | 6.70 | 1 | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Tuur Rommens | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Fernandez | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | — | — | — |
| John Souttar | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Nasser Djiga | D | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Diomandé | M | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Connor Barron | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| M. Moore | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Thelo Aasgaard | M | 80 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Gassama | M | 92 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Youssef Chermiti | F | 92 | 10.00 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Aiden Mccallion | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Aarons | D | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| T. Chukwuani | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Zebedee Lawson | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Falkirk vs Rangers?
The final score was Falkirk 2–5 Rangers.
What did the model predict before Falkirk vs Rangers?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Falkirk win, 18% to a draw, and 58% to an Rangers win.