Scottish Premiership
· Regular Season - 1
August 01, 2026 16:00
11'
(ast. H. Fieldson)
K. Phillips
87'
(ast. R. Idowu)
K. Phillips
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Falkirk a 34% win probability (draw 32%, ST Mirren 32%). The final result was Falkirk 0–2 ST Mirren. In 3 previous meetings, Falkirk have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for ST Mirren.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
12
1
Shots on target
5
0.75
Actual xG
1.49
4
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
6
23
Tackles
27
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
11'
ast. H. Fieldson ·
K. Phillips⚽
J. Gardner
/ A. Doherty
59'
63'
J. Young
/
E. Sule
66'
R. Carr
R. MacIver
/ B. Parkinson
70'
J. McMillan
/ E. Ross
70'
70'
76'
L. Thomas
/
S. Ramos
76'
L. Donnelly
/
R. Carr
S. Tanser
/ L. McCann
79'
E. Laidlaw
/ P. McGovern
79'
80'
H. Fieldson
83'
R. Idowu
/
C. R. Mochrie
87'
ast. R. Idowu ·
K. Phillips⚽
88'
K. Phillips
90'+1
L. Thomas
Pre-match prediction
34.43%
Falkirk
32.75%
X
32.81%
ST ←
we assigned to the actual result (ST Mirren)
32.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.75
-0.69
1.39
1.49
+0.1
ST Mirren dominated by xG (1.49 vs 0.75).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
19
S. Bain
G
S. Bain
G
17
S. Tanser
79'
D
S. Tanser
79'
D
5
L. Henderson
D
L. Henderson
D
21
D. Meļņiks
D
D. Meļņiks
D
22
R. Strain
D
R. Strain
D
10
C. Sibbald
M
C. Sibbald
M
4
J. McMillan
70'
M
J. McMillan
70'
M
12
Ethan Laidlaw
79'
M
Ethan Laidlaw
79'
M
14
F. Yeats
M
F. Yeats
M
18
Joseph Charles Gardner
59'
M
Joseph Charles Gardner
59'
M
9
R. MacIver
70'
F
R. MacIver
70'
F
Bench
47
A. Doherty
35'
F
A. Doherty
35'
F
7
Ben Parkinson
24'
F
Ben Parkinson
24'
F
20
C. Allan
D
C. Allan
D
6
C. Donaldson
D
C. Donaldson
D
23
E. Ross
24'
F
E. Ross
24'
F
3
L. McCann
15'
D
L. McCann
15'
D
15
L. Neilson
D
L. Neilson
D
1
N. Hogarth
G
N. Hogarth
G
11
Paul McGovern
15'
F
Paul McGovern
15'
F
1
J. Chapman
G
J. Chapman
G
53
Henry Fieldson
1 👟
D
Henry Fieldson
1 👟
D
22
M. Fraser
D
M. Fraser
D
13
A. Gogić
D
A. Gogić
D
2
J. Richardson
D
J. Richardson
D
48
P. Nsio
M
P. Nsio
M
8
R. Carr
76'
M
R. Carr
76'
M
23
C. Mochrie
83'
M
C. Mochrie
83'
M
88
K. Phillips
2 ⚽
M
K. Phillips
2 ⚽
M
10
Samuel Ramos
76'
M
Samuel Ramos
76'
M
9
Eseosa Sule
63'
F
Eseosa Sule
63'
F
Bench
37
C. McEvoy
M
C. McEvoy
M
30
F. Taylor
M
F. Taylor
M
20
J. Young
31'
F
J. Young
31'
F
4
Liam Donnelly
18'
M
Liam Donnelly
18'
M
16
L. Thomas
18'
M
L. Thomas
18'
M
32
Luke Douglas
F
Luke Douglas
F
27
Peter Urminsky
G
Peter Urminsky
G
7
R. Idowu
1 👟
11'
M
R. Idowu
1 👟
11'
M
5
R. King
D
R. King
D
Best on the pitch
K. Phillips
M · ST
9.20
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 25 pass
M. Fraser
D · ST
7.70
· 26 pass
S. Bain
G · Falkirk
7.30
· 44 pass
R. Strain
D · Falkirk
7.30
· 41 pass
Henry Fieldson
D · ST
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
J. Chapman
G · ST
7.30
· 35 pass
Falkirk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bain | G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 32% | — | — | — |
| S. Tanser | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | — | — | — |
| L. Henderson | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Meļņiks | D | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 63 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Strain | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 5 | — | — |
| C. Sibbald | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| J. McMillan | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Ethan Laidlaw | M | 79 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Yeats | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Joseph Charles Gardner | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| R. MacIver | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Doherty | F | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Ben Parkinson | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| E. Ross | F | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| L. McCann | D | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Paul McGovern | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
ST Mirren — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Chapman | G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Henry Fieldson | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 15% | 5 | 1 | — |
| M. Fraser | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Gogić | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Richardson | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 5 | — | — |
| P. Nsio | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Carr | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Mochrie | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Phillips | M | 94 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 5 | 25 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Samuel Ramos | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Eseosa Sule | F | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Young | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Liam Donnelly | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Thomas | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Idowu | M | 11 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Falkirk vs ST Mirren?
The final score was Falkirk 0–2 ST Mirren.
What did the model predict before Falkirk vs ST Mirren?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Falkirk win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an ST Mirren win.