Scottish Premiership
· Regular Season - 1
August 01, 2026 16:00
11'
(ast. H. Fieldson)
K. Phillips
87'
(ast. R. Idowu)
K. Phillips
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Falkirk a 34% win probability (draw 32%, ST Mirren 32%). The final result was Falkirk 0–2 ST Mirren. In 3 previous meetings, Falkirk have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for ST Mirren.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
12
1
Shots on target
5
0.75
Actual xG
1.49
4
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
6
23
Tackles
27
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
11'
ast. H. Fieldson ·
K. Phillips⚽
J. Gardner
/ A. Doherty
59'
63'
J. Young
/
E. Sule
66'
R. Carr
R. MacIver
/ B. Parkinson
70'
J. McMillan
/ E. Ross
70'
70'
76'
L. Thomas
/
S. Ramos
76'
L. Donnelly
/
R. Carr
S. Tanser
/ L. McCann
79'
E. Laidlaw
/ P. McGovern
79'
80'
H. Fieldson
83'
R. Idowu
/
C. R. Mochrie
87'
ast. R. Idowu ·
K. Phillips⚽
88'
K. Phillips
90'+1
L. Thomas
Pre-match prediction
34.43%
Falkirk
32.75%
X
32.81%
ST ←
we assigned to the actual result (ST Mirren)
32.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.75
-0.69
1.39
1.49
+0.1
ST Mirren dominated by xG (1.49 vs 0.75).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
19
Scott Bain
G
Scott Bain
G
17
Scott Tanser
79'
D
Scott Tanser
79'
D
5
Liam Henderson
D
Liam Henderson
D
21
Deniss Melniks
D
Deniss Melniks
D
22
Ryan Strain
D
Ryan Strain
D
10
Craig Sibbald
M
Craig Sibbald
M
4
Jack McMillan
70'
M
Jack McMillan
70'
M
12
Ethan Laidlaw
79'
M
Ethan Laidlaw
79'
M
14
Finn Yeats
M
Finn Yeats
M
18
Joe Gardner
59'
M
Joe Gardner
59'
M
9
Ross Maclver
70'
F
Ross Maclver
70'
F
Bench
47
Aodhan Doherty
35'
F
Aodhan Doherty
35'
F
7
Ben Parkinson
24'
F
Ben Parkinson
24'
F
6
Coll Donaldson
D
Coll Donaldson
D
20
Connor Allan
D
Connor Allan
D
23
Ethan Ross
24'
F
Ethan Ross
24'
F
15
Lewis Neilson
D
Lewis Neilson
D
3
L. McCann
15'
D
L. McCann
15'
D
1
Nicky Hogarth
G
Nicky Hogarth
G
11
P. McGovern
15'
F
P. McGovern
15'
F
1
Jacob Chapman
G
Jacob Chapman
G
53
Henry Fieldson
1 👟
D
Henry Fieldson
1 👟
D
22
Marcus Fraser
D
Marcus Fraser
D
13
Alexander Gogić
D
Alexander Gogić
D
2
Jayden Richardson
D
Jayden Richardson
D
48
Paul Nsio
M
Paul Nsio
M
8
R. Carr
76'
M
R. Carr
76'
M
23
Chris Mochrie
83'
M
Chris Mochrie
83'
M
88
K. Phillips
2 ⚽
M
K. Phillips
2 ⚽
M
10
Samuel Ramos
76'
M
Samuel Ramos
76'
M
9
Eseosa Sule
63'
F
Eseosa Sule
63'
F
Bench
37
Carrick McEvoy
M
Carrick McEvoy
M
30
Fraser Taylor
M
Fraser Taylor
M
20
Jake Young
31'
F
Jake Young
31'
F
4
L. Donnelly
18'
M
L. Donnelly
18'
M
16
L. Thomas
18'
M
L. Thomas
18'
M
32
Luke Douglas
F
Luke Douglas
F
27
Peter Urminsky
G
Peter Urminsky
G
5
Richard King
D
Richard King
D
7
R. Idowu
1 👟
11'
M
R. Idowu
1 👟
11'
M
Best on the pitch
K. Phillips
M · ST
9.20
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 25 pass
Marcus Fraser
D · ST
7.70
· 26 pass
Scott Bain
G · Falkirk
7.30
· 44 pass
Ryan Strain
D · Falkirk
7.30
· 41 pass
Henry Fieldson
D · ST
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
Jacob Chapman
G · ST
7.30
· 35 pass
Falkirk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Bain | G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Scott Tanser | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Liam Henderson | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Deniss Melniks | D | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 63 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Strain | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 5 | — | — |
| Craig Sibbald | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| Jack McMillan | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Ethan Laidlaw | M | 79 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Finn Yeats | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Joe Gardner | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ross Maclver | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Aodhan Doherty | F | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Ben Parkinson | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ethan Ross | F | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| L. McCann | D | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| P. McGovern | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
ST Mirren — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Chapman | G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Henry Fieldson | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 15% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Marcus Fraser | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Alexander Gogić | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Jayden Richardson | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 5 | — | — |
| Paul Nsio | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Carr | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Chris Mochrie | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Phillips | M | 94 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 5 | 25 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Samuel Ramos | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Eseosa Sule | F | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Jake Young | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Donnelly | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Thomas | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Idowu | M | 11 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Falkirk vs ST Mirren?
The final score was Falkirk 0–2 ST Mirren.
What did the model predict before Falkirk vs ST Mirren?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Falkirk win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an ST Mirren win.