Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 2
August 16, 2026 21:30
F. van Breemen
(ast. O. Aranda)
8'
21'
S. Bouzaidi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Famalicao a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Maritimo 32%). The final result was Famalicao 1–2 Maritimo.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
4
0.58
Actual xG
1.61
2
Saves
3
67%
Possession
33%
5
Corners
1
19
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽F. van Breemen
· ast. O. Aranda
8'
21'
S. Bouzaidi⚽
42'
A. Butzke
P. Moreira
/ P. Santos
46'
O. Aranda
/ Gil Dias
46'
Pedro Bondo
/ L. Meyer
46'
F. van Breemen
50'
68'
Pre-match prediction
36.65%
Famalicao
30.84%
X
32.51%
Maritimo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Maritimo)
32.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
0.58
-0.41
2.94
1.61
-1.33
Maritimo dominated by xG (1.61 vs 0.58).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
L. Carević
G
L. Carević
G
28
Pedro Francisco
45'
D
Pedro Francisco
45'
D
4
F. van Breemen
1 ⚽
D
F. van Breemen
1 ⚽
D
3
L. Realpe
D
L. Realpe
D
17
Rodrigo Pinheiro
D
Rodrigo Pinheiro
D
14
Mathias De Amorim
M
Mathias De Amorim
M
6
Tom Van De Looi
M
Tom Van De Looi
M
11
Óscar Aranda
1 👟
45'
M
Óscar Aranda
1 👟
45'
M
19
Paulo Moreira
45'
M
Paulo Moreira
45'
M
7
Sorriso
85'
M
Sorriso
85'
M
70
G. Koutsias
76'
F
G. Koutsias
76'
F
Bench
23
Gil Dias
52'
F
Gil Dias
52'
F
2
Gustavo Garcia
D
Gustavo Garcia
D
1
I. Zlobin
G
I. Zlobin
G
5
L. Meyer
52'
D
L. Meyer
52'
D
8
Marcos Peña
M
Marcos Peña
M
36
M. Mattara
D
M. Mattara
D
10
Pedro Santos
52'
F
Pedro Santos
52'
F
18
R. Beney
12'
F
R. Beney
12'
F
91
Rudi Almeida
F
Rudi Almeida
F
21
Tamás Szücs
M
Tamás Szücs
M
9
U. Abubakar
21'
F
U. Abubakar
21'
F
30
Vojin Serafimović
D
Vojin Serafimović
D
13
Alfonso Pastor
G
Alfonso Pastor
G
23
Paulo Henrique
D
Paulo Henrique
D
44
Romain Correia
D
Romain Correia
D
4
Rafael Fernandes
D
Rafael Fernandes
D
2
Igor Julião
D
Igor Julião
D
14
Raphael Guzzo
M
Raphael Guzzo
M
6
Rodrigo Andrade
88'
M
Rodrigo Andrade
88'
M
18
V. Danilović
88'
M
V. Danilović
88'
M
10
Martín Tejón
73'
F
Martín Tejón
73'
F
17
Adrián Butzke
73'
F
Adrián Butzke
73'
F
11
M. Diouri
1 ⚽
80'
F
M. Diouri
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
35
B. Limbombe
F
B. Limbombe
F
30
Fran Vieites
G
Fran Vieites
G
16
F. Silva
M
F. Silva
M
1
Gonçalo Tabuaço
G
Gonçalo Tabuaço
G
22
G. Szalai
9'
D
G. Szalai
9'
D
66
I. Ayuma
9'
M
I. Ayuma
9'
M
90
Maurice Osei Boakye
24'
F
Maurice Osei Boakye
24'
F
68
N. Batista
M
N. Batista
M
27
S. Bamba
24'
F
S. Bamba
24'
F
15
Tomás Tavares
17'
D
Tomás Tavares
17'
D
Best on the pitch
F. van Breemen
D · Famalicao
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 106 pass
Maurice Osei Boakye
F · Maritimo
7.50
1 shots
· 6 pass
Mathias De Amorim
M · Famalicao
7.20
· 47 pass
M. Diouri
F · Maritimo
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
L. Realpe
D · Famalicao
7.00
· 103 pass
Martín Tejón
F · Maritimo
7.00
2 shots
· 9 pass
Famalicao — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Carević | G | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Francisco | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| F. van Breemen | D | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 106 | 101% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Realpe | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 103 | 95% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Pinheiro | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 67 | 57% | 4 | — | — |
| Mathias De Amorim | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Tom Van De Looi | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 78% | 2 | — | — |
| Óscar Aranda | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Moreira | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Sorriso | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| G. Koutsias | F | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Gil Dias | F | 52 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Meyer | D | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedro Santos | F | 52 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Beney | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| U. Abubakar | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Maritimo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Pastor | G | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Romain Correia | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Fernandes | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Julião | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Raphael Guzzo | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Andrade | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Danilović | M | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Martín Tejón | F | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| Adrián Butzke | F | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Diouri | F | 80 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| G. Szalai | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Ayuma | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maurice Osei Boakye | F | 24 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Bamba | F | 24 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Tavares | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Famalicao vs Maritimo?
The final score was Famalicao 1–2 Maritimo.
What did the model predict before Famalicao vs Maritimo?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Famalicao win, 30% to a draw, and 32% to an Maritimo win.