Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 29
April 10, 2026 21:45
✗Model wrong — prediction Famalicao, result Draw
P. Santos
(ast. Rafa Soares)
71'
4'
(ast. N. John)
Rodri
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Famalicao a 71% win probability (draw 16%, Moreirense 11%). The final result was Famalicao 1–1 Moreirense. In 1 previous meetings, Famalicao have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Moreirense.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
1
7
Shots on target
1
2.11
Actual xG
0.51
0
Saves
5
63%
Possession
37%
12
Corners
0
7
Tackles
21
5
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
4'
ast. N. John ·
Rodri⚽
Sorriso
11'
30'
Rodrigo Alonso
Mathias De Amorim
43'
43'
Alan
47'
Nile John
G. Sa
/ P. Santos
59'
Tom Van De Looi
65'
66'
Kevyn Monteiro
/
Alanzinho
67'
Landerson
/
Kiko Bondoso
⚽P. Santos
· ast. Rafa Soares
71'
Gil Dias
73'
74'
Kiko
Gil Dias
/ O. Aranda
74'
Sorriso
/ R. Beney
74'
78'
Maracás
81'
83'
C. Teguia
/
Rodri
83'
Yan Maranhao
/
Fabiano
S. Elisor
/ U. Abubakar
89'
90'+1
André Ferreira
Ibrahima Ba
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
71.82%
Famalicao
16.57%
X ←
11.61%
Moreirense
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
16.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.18
2.11
-0.06
0.48
0.51
+0.03
Famalicao dominated by xG (2.11 vs 0.51).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
25
Lazar Carević
G
Lazar Carević
G
5
Rafa Soares
1 👟
D
Rafa Soares
1 👟
D
16
Justin De Haas
D
Justin De Haas
D
55
I. Ba
D
17
Rodrigo Pinheiro
D
Rodrigo Pinheiro
D
14
Mathias De Amorim
M
Mathias De Amorim
M
6
T. van de Looi
M
T. van de Looi
M
20
Gustavo Sá
59'
M
Gustavo Sá
59'
M
7
Sorriso
74'
F
Sorriso
74'
F
12
Simon Elisor
89'
F
Simon Elisor
89'
F
23
Gil Dias
74'
F
Gil Dias
74'
F
Bench
80
Pedro Santos
1 ⚽
39'
F
Pedro Santos
1 ⚽
39'
F
9
Umar Abubakar
9'
F
Umar Abubakar
9'
F
13
André Ferreira
G
André Ferreira
G
27
Kiko
D
Kiko
D
26
Maracás
D
Maracás
D
66
Gilberto Batista
D
Gilberto Batista
D
70
Fabiano Souza
83'
D
Fabiano Souza
83'
D
2
Diogo Travassos
M
Diogo Travassos
M
8
Mateja Stjepanović
M
Mateja Stjepanović
M
23
Nile John
1 👟
M
Nile John
1 👟
M
10
Kiko Bondoso
67'
M
Kiko Bondoso
67'
M
21
Rodrigo Alonso
1 ⚽
83'
F
Rodrigo Alonso
1 ⚽
83'
F
11
Alan
67'
F
Alan
67'
F
Bench
25
Afonso Assis
M
Afonso Assis
M
22
Caio Secco
G
Caio Secco
G
7
Cedric Teguia
15'
F
Cedric Teguia
15'
F
78
Landerson
31'
F
Landerson
31'
F
9
Luís Semedo
F
Luís Semedo
F
99
Yan Maranhão
15'
F
Yan Maranhão
15'
F
Best on the pitch
André Ferreira
G · Moreirense
8.90
· 39 pass
I. Ba
D · Famalicao
8.90
2 shots
· 81 pass
Pedro Santos
F · Famalicao
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Kiko
D · Moreirense
8.20
· 28 pass
Rodrigo Pinheiro
D · Famalicao
7.50
1 shots
· 50 pass
Rodrigo Alonso
F · Moreirense
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Famalicao — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazar Carević | G | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Rafa Soares | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 51 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Justin De Haas | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 84 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Ba | D | 98 | 8.90 | — | — | 2 | 81 | 69% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Pinheiro | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Mathias De Amorim | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| T. van de Looi | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 53% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Sá | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Sorriso | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Simon Elisor | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Gil Dias | F | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Santos | F | 39 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Umar Abubakar | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Moreirense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Ferreira | G | 98 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| Kiko | D | 98 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Maracás | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gilberto Batista | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabiano Souza | D | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Diogo Travassos | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Mateja Stjepanović | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Nile John | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kiko Bondoso | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Alonso | F | 83 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Alan | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Cedric Teguia | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Landerson | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Yan Maranhão | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Famalicao vs Moreirense?
The final score was Famalicao 1–1 Moreirense.
What did the model predict before Famalicao vs Moreirense?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Famalicao win, 16% to a draw, and 11% to an Moreirense win.