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Farense - AD Marco 09

Taça de Portugal October 17, 2026 16:00
Farense
vs
AD Marco 09
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.41%
Win
Farense
29.37%
Draw
32.21%
Win
AD Marco 09
1.33
Expected xG
1.12

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.37%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 29%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 62%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Farense a 38% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 32% for AD Marco 09. Expected goals are 1.3 for Farense and 1.1 for AD Marco 09 (total 2.4), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.37% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Farense have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for AD Marco 09.

Season Stats

Farense
4W 0D 1L
AD Marco 09
4W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
0.8
0.6
Conceded
0.6
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
20%
40%
O 2.5
20%
20%
BTTS
0%
60%
Clean Sht
80%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Farense
1W 0D 1L · at home
AD Marco 09
2W 0D 0L · away
2.5
gls/g
1.0
1.5
Conceded
0.0
50%
Win %
100%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
0%
50%
O 2.5
0%
50%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Farense AD Marco 09 →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.9% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.7% 8.5% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% —
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Farense Farense
W Sacavenense 0–1
L Benfica 0–2
W Silves 5–1
W AD Marco 09 0–3
W Vidago 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09
W Maia Lidador 1–0
W Régua 0–1
L Farense 0–3
W O Elvas 1–0
W Cinfães 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Farense Farense
Attack
35
Defence
73
Form
56
AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09
Attack
27
Defence
89
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Farense
0
Draw
0
AD Marco 09
18 Oct 2025 Taça de Portugal 3–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Farense vs AD Marco 09?
The model gives Farense a 38% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 32% for an AD Marco 09 win.
How many goals are expected in Farense vs AD Marco 09?
Expected goals: Farense 1.3, AD Marco 09 1.1 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Farense vs AD Marco 09?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.37%.