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Farense - Fátima

Taça de Portugal November 21, 2026 16:00
Farense
vs
Fátima
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.51%
Win
Farense
32.87%
Draw
34.62%
Win
Fátima
0.81
Expected xG
1.02

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.59%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 68%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 47%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fátima a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Farense. Expected goals are 0.8 for Farense and 1.0 for Fátima (total 1.8), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.59% probability.

Season Stats

Farense
5W 0D 1L
Fátima
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
2.0
0.5
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
75%
50%
O 2.5
75%
17%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
17%
BTTS
Farense
2W 0D 1L · at home
Fátima
0W 0D 1L · away
2.7
gls/g
0.0
1.0
Conceded
3.0
67%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
100%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Farense Fátima →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.1% 16.4% 8.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.3% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.3% 5.4% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% —
3 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% —
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Farense Farense
W AD Marco 09 3–0
W Sacavenense 0–1
L Benfica 0–2
W Silves 5–1
W AD Marco 09 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
Fátima Fátima
W Academico Viseu 1–0
W Vinhais 4–1
W Benfica Castelo Branco 3–1
L Caldas 3–0

Playing profile

Farense Farense
Attack
49
Defence
75
Form
64
Fátima Fátima
Attack
62
Defence
83
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Farense vs Fátima?
The model gives Farense a 32% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Fátima win.
How many goals are expected in Farense vs Fátima?
Expected goals: Farense 0.8, Fátima 1.0 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Farense vs Fátima?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.59%.